Deutsche Boerse AG

Deutsche Boerse is a financial services provider. Co.'s segments include Eurex, which comprises areas such as T7 electronic derivatives market trading platform, T7 electronic options trading platform, and Eurex Repo® over-the-counter trading platform; Xetra, which comprises areas such as cash market, the Specialist trading, and Eurex Bonds® OTC trading platform. Clearstream, which comprises custody and settlement services, securities financing services and collateral management, and investment funds services; and Market Data + Services, which comprises areas such as Distribution of licenses for real-time trading and market signals, and development and sales of indices.
  • TickerDB1
  • ISINDE0005810055
  • SectorFinancial Services
  • CountryGermany
Ahmed Ben Salem ...
  • Alain William
  • Alfred Glaser
  • Antoine Boivin-Champeaux
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Delphine Brault
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Geoffroy Michalet
  • Jean Sassus
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Louis Boujard, CFA
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Pierre Tegner
  • Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Gould
  • Sven Edelfelt
  • Virginie Rousseau
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/04/2020

...

Ahmed Ben Salem ...
  • Alain William
  • Alfred Glaser
  • Antoine Boivin-Champeaux
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Delphine Brault
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Geoffroy Michalet
  • Jean Sassus
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Louis Boujard, CFA
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Pierre Tegner
  • Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Gould
  • Sven Edelfelt
  • Virginie Rousseau
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 04/05/2020

...

Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA

Deutsche Borse : Q1 2020 results even stronger than expected

>Positive cyclical effects were main profit drivers in Q1 2020 - Deutsche Börse reported net revenue growth of 27% y-o-y in Q1 2020 to € 914.8m (ODDO BHF: € 888.2m, consensus € 878m). Cyclical growth stood at 16%, secular growth at 8% and consolidation effects contributed 3% to overall net revenue growth in the quarter. Major positive deviations to our estimates were attributable to the Eurex and Clearstream business segments. Adjusted EPS came in at € 2.11, ahead of ...

Expert Corporate Governance Service (ECGS)

Deutsche Börse – AGM 19 May 2020

General: The AGM is to be held in the form of a virtual AGM in accordance with the German Law to Mitigate the Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic. The physical presence of shareholders or their authorised proxies is not possible. The voting rights may therefore be exercised solely by (electronic) postal vote or by granting authority to the proxies designated by the Company.   Item 8: We recommend to oppose the approval of the remuneration system for the Management Board members due to our concerns over the insufficient disclosure on future remuneration amounts and the structure of remunera...

Alain William ...
  • Alfred Glaser
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Charles Lepetitpas
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Delphine Brault
  • Jean Danjou
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Johanna Jourdain
  • Martial Descoutures
  • Matthias Desmarais
  • Michael Foundoukidis
  • Nicolas David
  • Pierre Tegner
  • Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA
  • Sebastien Malafosse
  • Stephane Houri
  • Sven Edelfelt
  • Sylvain Goyon, CFA
  • Virginie Rousseau

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/22/2020

The rise in share prices from the low points raises questions. The arguments in favour, an unprecedented response from states and central banks, the probable reaching of the pandemic peak and the beginning of the lifting of lockdown measures, are known. But a slew of unknown elements (the profits mass post-normalisation, possible epidemic rebound) persist and the macro low point has not yet been reached. A modelling of the time to reach the trough carried out on the last 5 bear marke...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Global Equities Dive, Testing Major Support Global equities have gone from extreme bullish sentiment and an extended market to panic and fear over coronavirus concerns. It is virtually impossible to predict what will happen regarding the virus or how much further markets could sell off as a result. Below we explain our outlook based on what we do know, which has been dampened but is not yet dire. • Indexes Testing Major Support. Major indexes are testing long-term base support and/or support at their respective 200-day MAs. These include the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, S&P 500, Nikkei 2...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Growth Over Value We continue to see coronavirus concerns as helping correct the excess bullish sentiment in the short-term. Additionally, considering the dearth of breakdowns, we continue to believe this is a bull market until proven otherwise and a “buy the dip” strategy remains warranted. • Major Indexes Holding Up Well. As mentioned above, breakdowns in major indexes are hard to come by. EM (MSCI EM), China (MSCI China), Europe (STOXX 600), MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE have all pulled back to their 50-day MAs, while Japan (TOPIX) appears to be finding support at its 100-day MA. With s...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Breakout probability on the rise The probability for a breakout for global equities (MSCI ACWI) has increased in the past week based on several positive technical developments which we highlight below. Still, there are several indicators that continue to tell us we are not yet out of the woods. • Emerging Markets. The MSCI EM index exhibits bullish price and RS reversals -- add exposure/market weight. This is a major positive for both EM and global equities as it is a characteristic consistent with global bull markets and signals a significant improvement in investors' risk appetites... see...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

More cracks begin to show Weaker than expected data out of China and an as-expected 0.1% preliminary GDP contraction for the 2nd quarter in Germany has global equities back on the defensive, with the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE back near logical support. In last week's Int'l Compass we noted that some cracks are beginning to show in the form of STOXX 600 Banks and Brent crude breakdowns, which led us to believe global equities are vulnerable to a breakdown. Below we highlight more cracks that are showing, which only increases the likelihood that equities may be poised to break down. • Mo...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Int'l Insights: Bullish Developed Markets Stocks

Favor EAFE over EM The U.S. dollar remains elevated and as long as this remains the case we believe developed international equities (EAFE) will continue to outperform relative to emerging markets (MSCI EM)... see charts below. Below we highlight attractive and actionable themes within developed international: • Australia. Australia's All Ordinaries index exhibits bullish price and RS trends, a rarity when it comes to global markets considering most country-specific indexes display neutral or negative price trends. We highlight several Australian names, and would use recent broad market weak...

Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA

Deutsche Borse : Q1 2020 results even stronger than expected

>Positive cyclical effects were main profit drivers in Q1 2020 - Deutsche Börse reported net revenue growth of 27% y-o-y in Q1 2020 to € 914.8m (ODDO BHF: € 888.2m, consensus € 878m). Cyclical growth stood at 16%, secular growth at 8% and consolidation effects contributed 3% to overall net revenue growth in the quarter. Major positive deviations to our estimates were attributable to the Eurex and Clearstream business segments. Adjusted EPS came in at € 2.11, ahead of ...

Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA

Deutsche Borse : A quarter to remember

>We forecast Q1 2020 EPS of € 2.04, up 28.1% y-o-y - Deutsche Börse is due to report very strong Q1 2020e results on 29 April post market close. We estimate the group to have generated net revenue of € 888m in Q1 2020e, up 23.2% y-o-y (consensus € 878m net revenue) and adj. EPS of € 2.04, up 28.1% y-o-y (consensus adj. EPS € 2.03). The company strongly benefited from elevated volatility which drove cash equities and derivatives trading. Eurex revenues st...

Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA

Deutsche Borse : Volatility drives transaction growth; NII takes hit from policy decisions

>Our estimates fine-tuned; new TP of € 137, Neutral rating maintained - We have revisited our estimates following the outbreak of COVID-19 which has triggered elevated volatility in the financial markets and prompted central banks to lower short-term interest rates further. We have increased our 2020e adj. EPS estimate from € 6.57 to € 6.62 and have lowered our 2021e adj. EPS estimate from € 7.03 to € 6.50. For 2022e, we forecast adj. EPS of € 6.93. We reiterate our N...

Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA

Deutsche Börse : Upgrade to Neutral on earnings tailwinds from elevated volatility

>Upgrade to Neutral following model and valuation update - We have revisited our estimates following the preliminary results reported by Deutsche Börse for 2019. We have increased our adjusted EPS estimates for the group by 3.5% to € 6.57 for 2020e and by 5.8% to € 7.03 for 2021e. Our new estimates reflect increased tailwinds from elevated volatility which is pushing trading volumes of cash equities and the Eurex business segment. This should more than compensate for ...

Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA

Deutsche Börse : Q4 2019 EPS growth held back by increasing costs and tough y-o-y comps

>We forecast Q4 2019 adjusted EPS of € 1.27, up 1.3% y-o-y - - Deutsche Börse is due to report its 2019 results on 17 February 2020. We forecast Q4 2019 adjusted EPS of € 1.27, up 1.3% y-o-y, held back by rising costs and a challenging y-o-y base of comparison. 2019 adjusted EPS should come in at € 5.98 (previous ODDO BHF estimate € 6.05, consensus € 5.96), up by 10.3% y-o-y and thus in line with the company’s target to generate adjusted EPS growth =10% p.a. §hp...

Ahmed Ben Salem ...
  • Alain William
  • Alfred Glaser
  • Antoine Boivin-Champeaux
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Delphine Brault
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Geoffroy Michalet
  • Jean Sassus
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Louis Boujard, CFA
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Pierre Tegner
  • Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Gould
  • Sven Edelfelt
  • Virginie Rousseau
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/04/2020

...

Ahmed Ben Salem ...
  • Alain William
  • Alfred Glaser
  • Antoine Boivin-Champeaux
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Delphine Brault
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Geoffroy Michalet
  • Jean Sassus
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Louis Boujard, CFA
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Pierre Tegner
  • Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Gould
  • Sven Edelfelt
  • Virginie Rousseau
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 04/05/2020

...

Alain William ...
  • Alfred Glaser
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Charles Lepetitpas
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Delphine Brault
  • Jean Danjou
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Johanna Jourdain
  • Martial Descoutures
  • Matthias Desmarais
  • Michael Foundoukidis
  • Nicolas David
  • Pierre Tegner
  • Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA
  • Sebastien Malafosse
  • Stephane Houri
  • Sven Edelfelt
  • Sylvain Goyon, CFA
  • Virginie Rousseau

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/22/2020

The rise in share prices from the low points raises questions. The arguments in favour, an unprecedented response from states and central banks, the probable reaching of the pandemic peak and the beginning of the lifting of lockdown measures, are known. But a slew of unknown elements (the profits mass post-normalisation, possible epidemic rebound) persist and the macro low point has not yet been reached. A modelling of the time to reach the trough carried out on the last 5 bear marke...

Alain William ...
  • Alfred Glaser
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Charles Lepetitpas
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Delphine Brault
  • Jean Danjou
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Johanna Jourdain
  • Martial Descoutures
  • Matthias Desmarais
  • Michael Foundoukidis
  • Nicolas David
  • Pierre Tegner
  • Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA
  • Sebastien Malafosse
  • Stephane Houri
  • Sven Edelfelt
  • Sylvain Goyon, CFA
  • Virginie Rousseau

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 22/04/2020

La progression des cours depuis les points bas pose question. Les arguments favorables, réponse sans précédent des états et des banques centrales, atteinte probable du pic épidémique et début du déconfinement, sont connus. Mais nombre d’inconnues (masse des profits post normalisation, absence de rebond épidémique) restent entières et le point bas macro n’a pas encore été atteint. Une modélisation du délai d’atteinte du point bas réalisée sur les 5 derniers bear market, qui aboutit à u...

Alexandre Iatrides ...
  • Alfred Glaser
  • Delphine Brault
  • Fatma Agnès Hamdani
  • Harald Eggeling
  • Johanna Jourdain
  • Roland Pfaender,MBA,CFA,CCRA
  • Samantha Jeary
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/07/2020

Given its strategic nature in the COVID-19 crisis, food retail has regained a defensive status, which seems justified in our view. This means we have only cut our 2020 forecasts by 3.2%. There are no financial issues in the sector. The valuations remain attractive. We are not changing our sector hierarchy. Ahold Delhaize is still our Top Pick, but we are steering clear of Metro (Reduce vs Neutral). - ...

DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG sees a downgrade to Neutral on account of less fundamental stars

The independent financial analyst theScreener just lowered the general evaluation of DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG (DE), active in the Investment Services industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title now shows 0 out of 4 stars while market behaviour can be considered defensive. theScreener believes that the title remains under pressure due to the loss of a star(s) and downgrades its general evaluation to Neutral. As of the analysis date December 6, 2019, the closing price was EUR 137.60 and its target price was estimated at EUR 126.27.

Ford Equity International Rating and Forecast Report

Ford Equity International Research Reports cover 60 countries with over 30,000 stocks traded on international exchanges. A proprietary quantitative system compares each company to its peers on proven measures of business value, growth characteristics, and investor behavior. Ford's three recommendation ratings buy, hold and sell, represent each stock’s return potential relative to its own country market.. The rating reports which are generated each week, include the fundamental details behind each recommendation and reflect the fundamental and price data as of the last trading day of the week...

Expert Corporate Governance Service (ECGS)

Deutsche Börse – AGM 19 May 2020

General: The AGM is to be held in the form of a virtual AGM in accordance with the German Law to Mitigate the Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic. The physical presence of shareholders or their authorised proxies is not possible. The voting rights may therefore be exercised solely by (electronic) postal vote or by granting authority to the proxies designated by the Company.   Item 8: We recommend to oppose the approval of the remuneration system for the Management Board members due to our concerns over the insufficient disclosure on future remuneration amounts and the structure of remunera...

Expert Corporate Governance Service (ECGS)

Deutsche Börse - AGM 08 May 2019

Item 10: KPMG, Berlin, is proposed as auditor for the current financial year. Next to concerns over the ratio of non-audit/audit fees over a three-year aggregate period we note that KPMG has audited the Company since the financial year 2001 which exceeds our maximum acceptable term of office of 10 years in case no audit tender has taken place after the initial engagement period. We consider a longer term of office may impair the auditor's independence. We therefore recommend opposing the re-election of KPMG as auditor. 

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