Report
Christian Auzanneau

Accounting for MyAgency's potential value (MyHotelMatch)

Accounting for MyAgency's potential value

TARGET CHANGE

CHANGE IN TARGET PRICE € 0.06 vs 0.05 +17.8%

We have applied a 10x EV/EBIT multiple to c.€0.5m EBIT generated by MyAgency in FY 22 (group share, AV estimate). We thus add €5m to our SOTP. Other parameters are unchanged. As a reminder, the investment case remains intimately linked to the commercial success of Matching App.

CHANGE IN EPS
2023 : € 0.00 vs (0.01) ns
2024 : € (0.01) vs (0.01) ns

We have removed referencing expenses planned in FY 23 (Google, €7m) due to the full commercial launch planned in early 2024 and increased the contribution of MyAgency (from a €0.2m loss at the EBIT level in FY 23 to a positive consolidated contribution of €0.6m). We don't rule out having to increase this after the full commercial launch process in 2024-25. It should weigh on the bulk of the group's cash expenses once the development of the Matching platform is achieved in 2024-25. We still forecast a significant net consolidated loss in 2023-25.

CHANGE IN NAV € 0.06 vs 0.04 +26.9%

Our NAV has been upgraded because of the new contribution of MyAgency of €5m (vs. nil, initially). GAV attributed to the Matching platform was broadly unchanged.
Underlying
Fonciere Paris Nord

Fonciere Paris Nord SA. Fonciere Paris Nord SA, formerly ADT SIIC SA, is a France-based investment company primarily engaged in the activities related to the acquisition and management of real estate. It has a portfolio of assets comprising various types of buildings, such as offices, commercial and residential buildings. The Company's real estate assets are located in Paris and the Paris suburbs, among others. As of December 31, 2011, the Company operated through subsidiaries, including Compagnie Financiere Fonciere et Immobiliere-CFFI, Maintreuil and Pamier. In June 2013, it sold its stake in Venus to FIPP.

Provider
AlphaValue Corporate Services
AlphaValue Corporate Services

AlphaValue Corporate Services capitalise on the research and credit analysis expertise deployed by AlphaValue with major institutional investors at European level over the past nine years. The proprietary tools and processes enabling AlphaValue Corporate Services to establish a valuation and/or a credit risk assessment are identical to those used by AlphaValue to the benefit of its institutional clients. The only difference is the recognition that a company evaluation cannot be dissociated from the fact that the latter is paying for the service (AlphaValue Corporate Services), as opposed to the investor footing the bill (AlphaValue). AlphaValue’s research tools are characterised by the transparency of the valuation methodologies, their responsiveness to market data and by nine years’ experience of a universe numbering more than 450 European companies. Through its coverage and sector exhaustiveness, AlphaValue ranks alongside the major research houses in Europe and constitutes the only new entrant to the European space in the past decade. This significant presence is reflected in an unrivalled distribution capability via platforms commonly adopted by investors to access research: Factset, Bloomberg, Capital IQ and the numerous websites. AlphaValue is one the largest research contributors to these platforms, to the benefit of AlphaValue Corporate Services issuer clients.  The AlphaValue Corporate Services analysts are AlphaValue’s sector specialists. Their robust knowledge of the business models in their sectors enables the rapid generation of incisive, relevant research and advantageous interaction with the management teams.

Analysts
Christian Auzanneau

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from AlphaValue Corporate Services

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch