Vodafone : Ajustements des prévisions avec la sortie de l’Espagne

>Cession de l’Espagne, avant celle à venir de l’Italie - Nous révisons à la baisse nos prévisions pour intégrer la cession de l’Espagne (nos prévisions n’intègrent toutefois pas encore la cession de l’Italie dans l’attente de l’accord réglementaire) : nous abaissons de 15% nos estimations de CA à partir de FY 2025 (à 40 Md€), de 5% en EBITDAal (à 12,2 Md€) et de 12% en FCFaL (à 2,6 Md€). L’impact BPA est toutefois non signficaitf, l’activité espagnole n’étant pas prof...

Michelin : March volumes weaker as expected, but not worse

>Weak March volumes data already largely flagged, April looking better - Overall, weak volumes were largely expected last month, notably because of the lower number of working days (up to 2 days less) and high comps. It has also been flagged by Continental earlier this week but the German tyre maker however added that April was looking considerably stronger. Regarding Michelin, and as we also expect some weakness in specialty, we aim for volumes down 4.2% in Q1 (vs c...

Nokia : Le T1 est le point bas, mais visibilité limitée sur le rythme ...

>Opinion Neutre maintenue, OC 3 € - Suite à la publication des résultats T1 24 de Nokia, nous en ajustons en baisse de 4% nos BPA sur 2024/2025, mais laissons notre OC inchangé à 3.0 €. Nous réitérons par conséquent notre opinion Neutre. Malgré un marché des équipementiers télécoms toujours sous pression, le management s’est voulu rassurant en soulignant que le T1 était le point bas et en anticipant une reprise à partir du S2 24. Pour preuve, la reprise des commandes ...

EssilorLux: in-line Q1 sales performance and good vibes ahead of Q2

Yesterday evening, EssilorLux unveiled Q1 sales up 5.5% FX-n to EUR6.34bn, fairly in line with CSSe (EUR6.38bn) despite a tough comp base and unfavourable calendar effect. We see room for accelerating trends given increased tailwinds from: 1/ pricing in frames (BGe: MSD price hike), 2/ the ramp-up

Fastenal Co: 1 director

A director at Fastenal Co gave away/bought 6,700 shares at 0.000USD and the significance rating of the trade was 63/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...

Q1 beat driven by lower costs

Amundi : Anticipated continuation of the Q4 2023 trend in Q1 2024

>A 2.2% increase in assets under management in Q1 - Amundi is due to publish its Q1 2024 net income on 26 April. We forecast assets under management of € 2,081bn at end-March (up 2.2% vs end-2023 and a 7.6% increase vs end-March 2023). Our estimate is just below the consensus (€ 2,088bn), due to our slightly more cautious forecast for inflows in the institutional clients segment. Our forecast corresponds to an average amount of assets under management excluding JV of...

US : Les risques d’un nouveau choc de taux

Jerome Powell a encore martelé cette semaine un message simple : la persistance de l’inflation rend inappropriée toute baisse de taux directeurs. On pourrait penser que si la politique monétaire est maintenue en l’état, l’effet est quasi neutre sur l’économie. En réalité, l’effet est restrictif. Primo, cela prolonge l’impact des hausses de taux passées. Secundo, cela amène à revoir les perspectives de taux futurs. Il y a quelques mois, les taux longs avaient baissé en anticipati...

Schindler Holding Ltd : A solid Q1, despite the continued deterioratio...

>A good Q1 2024 overall, with an EBIT margin above expectations at 10.9% - Yesterday morning, Schindler Q1 2024 results a shade above expectations (see our First Take published Thursday, 18 April), mainly thanks to the mix and pricing, both favourable to the margin. The order intake reflected a 2.5% increase at constant currency (cc), slightly below expectations (consensus at +4%). Revenues were up 1.1% at cc, also a shade below expectations (consensus at +2.9%). How...

Edenred : Encouraging start to 2024, to be confirmed in the next publi...

>Solid growth in Q1 2024, reassuring on underlying business - Edenred reported yesterday before the market open organic growth in Q1 operating revenues up +16.9%, ahead of expectations at 14.2%. This momentum is underpinned by all of the group’s businesses and products, including the meal voucher business, engagement platforms, mobility solutions and beyond fuel (maintenance and tolls in particular), which continue to benefit from a low penetration rate (meal voucher...