Odfjell Drilling (Buy, TP: NOK85.00) - Distribution capacity underpinned by visibility
Yesterday’s backlog addition at a dayrate of cUSD500k (2026 execution) has further improved the company’s industry-leading backlog coverage. With 5-year surveys, deleveraging, and paying dividends near-term, we believe the next leg of the investment case is higher dividends in 2025e. We have examined the dividend capacity in a scenario where the company stops deleveraging (leverage 1.5x) and find it could return c90% of its market cap to shareholders by end-2028e. We believe the stock will continue to revalue on earnings and distribution capacity, and away from NAV, leading us to reiterate our BUY and raise our target price to NOK85 (65).Odfjell Drilling Ltd. (Odfjell Drilling) is an integrated offshore drilling and oil service company. The Company operates through three segments: Mobile Offshore Drilling Units (MODU), Drilling & Technology, and Well Services. The Mobile Offshore Drilling Units is responsible for operations of mobile drilling units fully or partly owned by the Company and units owned by other companies. It operates mobile drilling units in Norway, United Kingdom, Angola, Vietnam and Brazil. The Drilling & Technology segment is providing platform drilling, project management and engineering services. Drilling & Technology operates from offices in Bergen, Stavanger and Aberdeen. The Well Services segment is a provider of casing and tubing running services (TRS), drill tool rental and well intervention services to the onshore and offshore oil and gas industry. The Well Services are provided to onshore and offshore drilling operations in the North Sea, mainland Europe and Black Sea, among others.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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