YIT (Buy, TP: EUR4.90) - Russia earnings cut to zero
Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and international financial sanctions, we have cut our earnings estimates for YIT’s Russian residential developments to zero. We expect no return on the EUR172m capital employed (and assume it is effectively frozen) or any cash flow to YIT from these operations, and have cut our group 2022–2024e EPS by >20%. We have also lowered our target price to EUR4.9 (5.5); however, with still-significant potential upside, we reiterate our BUY.YIT provides services for the construction sector. Co. has two segments: Housing and Business Premises and Infrastructure. The Housing segment is engaged in the development and construction of housing, holiday homes and entire residential areas, with a focus on its own developments. This segment is also engaged in property maintenance in Russia. The Business Premises and Infrastructure segment is engaged in the development and construction of offices, shopping malls, public facilities, assisted living facilities and other business premises; renovation projects; construction of roads, bridges, tunnels, rail and metro stations, ports and power plants; as well as road and street maintenance.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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