Report

SDX Energy - Lalla Mimouna - de-risks demand expectations

SDX Energy has discovered gas at the LNB-1, Morocco with 300m of gas-bearing horizons discovered in an over-pressured section in the Lafkarena sequence. Heavy hydrocarbons contained in gas indicate a thermogenic hydrocarbon source rock, indicative of a new petroleum system that has previously not been encountered at Sebou. Preliminary estimates of recoverable gas at LNB-1 are un-risked mid-case volume of 10.2bcf with 55kbbls of condensate. This is significantly larger than the traps encountered at Sebou and exceeds the threshold for commerciality for a processing facility and pipeline to Sebou area. LNB-1 awaits logging and testing which will be carried out in due course once suitable equipment can be mobilised. We see this a material discovery for SDX, should flow tests confirm productivity, for two reasons: 1) well costs are marginally higher than at Sebou at c $2.7m but with un-risked recoverable volumes five times greater, per-well returns are likely to be significantly superior. In addition, once de-risked, the new play at Lalla Mimouna has the potential to rapidly de-risk SDX’s ability to meet projected gas demand in Kenitra. 2) liquids discovered at LNB-1 open up a new play fairway with potential to provide SDX with an additional revenue stream in Morocco that is not constrained by demand.
Underlying
Sea Dragon Energy Inc

SDX Energy is engaged in the exploration, acquisition, development and production of oil and natural gas in Africa and Egypt. As of Dec 31 2010, total gross proved reserves for light and medium oil consisted of 3,593 thousand barrels ("mbbls"), natural gas liquids consisting of 211 mbbls and natural gas consisting of 2,575 million cubic feet.

Provider
Edison Investment Research
Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

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Analysts
Sanjeev Bahl

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