Albert Ploegh, CEFA

NIBC/Potential Blackstone offer a decisive moment/HOLD (previously: Buy)

NIBC is in advanced discussions on a possible cash offer of €9.85 (cum dividend). In our opinion this is seller-driven and likely a done deal in terms of offer price. 75.2% of outstanding shares (the 2 largest shareholders) back the proposal. In our view the fact that JCF is willing to accept an illiquidity discount (somewhat unusually) highlights that there is no interest from other parties (and thus low risk of a higher counteroffer). Downgrade to HOLD, new TP €9.85.

NIBC Holding NV is a Netherlands-based merchant bank with a focus on the mid-cap segment in Western Europe. NIBC offers corporate finance, risk management and investment management solutions to corporate and financial institutions, institutional investors, financial sponsors and family offices. The Bank's activities are centered on two main pillars. The Merchant Banking business offers advisory, financing and co-financing services to businesses in the technology, manufacturing and food, agricultural and retail sectors in the Benelux and Germany. The Specialised Finance pillar offers asset and project financing services to a range of business sectors, including the shipping, oil & gas services, infrastructure & renewables and commercial real estate sectors. The Company also provides Treasury services. As of December 31, 2010, the Bank owned direct and indirect subsidiaries in the Netherlands, the United States, Germany and Singapore, including NIBC Bank NV.


In FICC (Fixed Income, commodities and Currencies) Research, we offer niche EM expertise, especially in EMEA. We are the go-to bank for Benelux issues, from regulations to rates to a Benelux credit focus. We have developed top notch covered bonds research, and have niche offerings in money markets, rate derivatives and European high yield. We overlay this with a global offering in macro, FX, commodities research and technical analysis. Europe is a key focus for us, but our global sphere extends to the Americas and Asia, in areas where we have selected DM & EM edges. Our analysts provide both written output and conference calls, but also travel the world to provide face-to-face presentations.

ING’s Equity Research team provides in-depth research on over 120 companies in the BeNeLux region, offering both breadth and depth of stock coverage. In addition to investment recommendations, our analysts offer thematic research, proprietary data points. insights into industry trends and unique valuation perspectives. ING’s Equity Research team was ranked the #1 Country Research team in the BeNeLux region in 2017 by the Extel Survey. Next to this, ING is the only bank to have been involved in all the BeNeLux IPOs in 2017. ING has the largest equities team focussed on Benelux listed securities and is the only Benelux broker with sales and research operations in both Amsterdam and Brussels and a sales hub in New York.

Albert Ploegh, CEFA

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