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US tax reform could be the main market driver until year-end

Last week, we said that “one of the key factors liable to reinforce one assumption or the other (i.e., about the expected trajectory of the American equity market) will be whether or not Trump and Congress agree on a stimulus package”. Last Wednesday, the Big Six, a group of top tax policymakers in the Trump administration including the Treasury Secretary, Trump’s chief economic advisor Gary Cohn, and the leaders of the Senate and the House) published a document appearing to approve a future agreement on this subject, although it is not comprehensive or detailed. We are obviously far from Trump’s election pledges, which were more ambitious in terms of taxation and also proposed additional spending (infrastructures, defence, etc)...

 

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LCV Research (Les Cahiers Verts de l'Économie)
LCV Research (Les Cahiers Verts de l'Économie)

​Founded in 1986, LCV Research is France’s leading independent research firm in macro-economics and investment strategy. The team is composed of five economists / strategists.

We offer a diverse range of research services aimed primarily at business leaders (LVMH, Marcel Dassault, PWC,...), bankers, investment funds managers (Fidelity, Carmignac Gestion), international bodies (B.I.S.) and market operators.

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