Report
Mark Taylor
EUR 100.00 For Business Accounts Only

Viva Energy Group: Another Late Earnings Downgrade on Persisting Low Refiner Margins; FVE Intact

We make no change to our AUD 3.00 fair value estimate for no-moat Viva Energy. The company has again downgraded fiscal 2018 earnings guidance due to weaker-than-expected regional refiner margins. But we hold to our longer-term view, including assumed reversion of the refiner margin to a midcycle USD 9.00 per barrel in real terms. Viva says the actual refiner margin for December was just USD 3.30 per barrel, driven lower due to gasoline cracks falling on excess regional supply. Consequently, the ...
Underlying
VIVA Energy

Viva Energy Group Ltd. Viva Energy Group Ltd is an Australia-based integrated downstream petroleum company. The Company operates across three business segments: Retail, Fuels and Marketing; Refining; and Supply, Corporate and Overheads. Retail, Fuels and Marketing segment consists of retail and commercial operations. Retail, which supplies and markets fuel products and lubricants through a national network sites. Commercial, which supplies of fuel, lubricants and specialty products to commercial customers. Refining segment owns and operates the Geelong Refinery, in Victoria, which converts imported and locally sourced crude oil into petroleum products including gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, aviation gasoline, gas, solvents, bitumen and other specialty products. Supply, Corporate and Overheads segment owns contracted access to a national infrastructure network comprising terminals, retail sites, storage tanks, depots and pipelines positioned across metropolitan and regional Australia.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Mark Taylor

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