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MOSL: Morning India (13/December/21): 1. SBI Cards and Payment Services (Review of digital payment charges poses an overhang); 2. Telecom; 3. EcoScope

Morning India (13/December/21): 1. SBI Cards and Payment Services (Review of digital payment charges poses an overhang); 2. Telecom; 3. EcoScope

 

Today’s top research idea

SBI Cards and Payment Services: Review of digital payment charges poses an overhang

  • RBI proposed to issue a discussion paper to cover aspects related to charges involved in various digital payment modes covering Credit Cards, Debit Cards, PPIs, UPIs, etc. SBICARD has thus corrected ~9% over the past two days on fears of a reduction in MDR charges, which can adversely impact profitability. SBICARD's spend-based fee constitutes 45-54% of total fees and corresponds to 18-23% of total revenue.
  • As per our sensitivity analysis, we estimate 8-17% earnings impact in case MDR on Credit Cards is reduced by 10-20%. As the company mitigates this impact by effecting a reduction in payment processing charges, cost of reward points, and the interest free payment period to customers, the earnings hit could be shielded by 5-12%. This would limit the RoA/RoE damage to ~21-37bp/87-155bp.
  • After a 9% decline in the stock price, it is now trading at 23x FY24E earnings, which appears attractive. Any reduction in MDR charges will be critical to earnings, keeping us watchful in the near term.

Piping hot news

Bank deposit insurance cover upped to Rs 5 lakh, refund in 90 days: Goyal

  • Union Minister of Commerce and Industry Piyush Goyal on Sunday said that the Central government has increased the bank deposit insurance cover, in case of problems occurring such as closure, from Rs 1 lakh to Rs 5 lakh. The amount has to be refunded to the depositor within 90 days.
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