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Team Research

MOSL: Morning India (2/November/17): 1. Rain Industries (Enduring tailwinds)- 2. Auto volumes nos. (Nov-17)- 3. Bharti Airtel- 4. GAIL- 5. Hero MotoCorp- 6. Godrej Consumer- 7. Tech Mahindra- 8. TVS Motor

​MOrning India (2/November/17): 1. Rain Industries (Enduring tailwinds); 2. Auto volumes nos. (Nov-17); 3. Bharti Airtel; 4. GAIL; 5. Hero MotoCorp; 6. Godrej Consumer; 7. Tech Mahindra; 8. TVS Motor

Today’s top research theme

  • Rain Industries (Initiating Coverage): Enduring tailwinds; Re-rated, yet attractive
  • RAIN is globally the second largest producer of calcine pet coke (CPC) and coal tar pitch (CTP), which are used in aluminum smelting.
  • The dual benefit of demand growth and supply shock is driving CPC prices and margins.
  • Capacity cuts in RAIN’s key markets have turned the margin outlook favorably for CTP.
  • Global leadership, product innovation, and long-standing relationships with leading customers and raw material suppliers are the key barriers to entry.
  • RAIN is investing in high-IRR projects to capitalize on the exponential rise in CPC demand in India and in debottlenecking coal tar distillation in Europe.
  • Although the stock has got re-rated, valuations still appear attractive. We value the stock at INR362 based on 6.5x EV/EBITDA of CY19E, and initiate coverage with a Buy rating.

Piping hot news

US states sue 5 Indian generic drug makers over price cartelisation

At least five Indian companies are among 12 generic drug manufacturers named in a new lawsuit over alleged price cartelisation in the US, adding to their existing headaches including regulator inspections and pricing pressures in their largest market.

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