Report
Patrick Artus

France is not at all ready for population ageing

A country that will be faced with population ageing in the future should: Increase its productivity gains, whereas they have decline d in France, possibly because of the problem of low labour force skills; Increase the employment rate (to increase production despite the ageing), but France’s employment rate remains low; Use significant immigration, which, being rejected by public opinion, is not the case in France ; Accumulate external assets (since population ageing will lead to a fall in the savings rate), yet France is running up external debt; For the same reason (the prospect of a fall in savings, a fall in long-term growth and an increase in pension spending), reduce its public debt ratio (yet France’s debt ratio is rising). Population ageing in France is therefore going to lead to a significant loss of growth, an external solvency problem (if the fall in the savings rate increases the external deficit and debt) and a fiscal solvency problem (if the weak growth and the increase in pension spending increase the public debt).
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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