Report
Delphine Brault ...
  • Quentin Borie

ODDO : Innotrans feedback: demand is there… but so are inflationary pressures

Our meetings with Alstom, CAF, Knorr-Bremse, Siemens Mobility, Stadler and Vossloh at the Innotrans fair in Berlin last week, provided reassuring insights on the outlook, with demand remaining robust, and more mixed messages on short-term pressures (inflation, supply chain), prompting us to cut our 2023 EPS forecasts by 4%. We think that the sector offers opportunities. We prefer Alstom (Outperform, target price adjusted to € 27) and Vossloh (Outperform, target price € 44). - §nys...
Underlyings
Alstom SA

Alstom serves the power generation and transmission markets, and rail transport market. Co.'s activities are divided into four sectors: the Thermal Power Sector (Co. offers power generation solutions using gas or coal to services including plant modernization, maintenance and operational support); the Renewable Power sector offers EPC solutions, turbines and generators, control equipment and maintenance for Hydropower and Wind power activities; the Grid Sector designs and manufactures equipment and turnkey solutions to manage power grids and transmit electricity from the power plant to the large end-user; and the Transport Sector provides rail transport products, systems and services.

Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles S.A.

Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles SA (CAF) is a Spain-based company engaged in the rolling stock manufacture. The Company's activities are divided into two business segments: Rolling stock, as well as Components and spare parts. The Rolling stock division focuses on the design, production and distribution of rolling stock and equipment for railway systems, such as high-speed vehicles, locomotives, trains for middle-distance transportation, commuter trains and electric motorcars, subway trains, streetcars, traction and signaling systems, as well as energy storage solutions. The Components and spare parts division offers elements and spare parts for rolling stock equipment, such as wheels, axles and gear units. In addition, the Company offers technical assistance, maintenance and after-sale services, as well as development of rail infrastructure, among others. It operates through numerous subsidiaries in Spain, France, Germany, the United States, Brazil and Mexico, among others.

Knorr-Bremse AG

Knorr Bremse AG is a Germany-based company that manufactures braking systems and other subsystems for rail and commercial vehicles. It operates through two segments: Rail Vehicle Systems and Commercial Vehicle Systems. The Rail Vehicle Systems segment equips mass transit vehicles, such as metro cars, and mainline freight and passenger trains with brake systems, as well as entrance systems, heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, auxiliary power supply, driver assistance systems, electrical traction equipment and control technology, among others. The Commercial Vehicle Systems segment offers products for trucks, buses, trailers and agricultural machinery. Its product portfolio includes brake systems and vehicle dynamics solutions, such as driver assistance, energy supply and distribution systems, such as air compressors, and fuel efficiency products and transmission subsystems, such as vibration dampers, among others. The Company also offers aftermarket services.

Siemens AG

Siemens is a technology company. Co.'s Energy sector provides a range of products, solutions and services for generating and transmitting power. The Healthcare sector provides customers a range of medical solutions across the treatment chain. The Industry sector supplies products and solutions for industrial companies, primarily in the process and manufacturing industries. The Infrastructure & Cities sector provides a range of technologies that accelerates the capabilities of metropolitan centers and urban infrastructures. The Investments segment is comprised of Co.'s equity stakes in other companies. The Financial Services segment provides business-to-business financial solutions.

Stadler Rail AG

Stadler Rail AG is a Switzerland-based company engaged in design and manufacturing of rail vehicles. The Company's product portfolio includes suburban and regional transport trains, light rail vehicles, trams, high-speed and intercity trains, city transport vehicles, locomotives, passenger trains and tailor-made vehicles. The Company serves customers worldwide.

Talgo SA

Talgo is engaged in designing, manufacturing, repairing and maintaining the railway rolling stock, as well as the manufacturing, assembling, repairing and maintaining the engines, machinery and parts of the railway systems. Co. has an industrial presence in seven countries: Spain, Germany, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Russia, Saudi Arabia and U.S.A. Co. has an active fleet in Europe, Asia and North America that comprises of 94 high-speed trains and more than 1,400 Talgo tilting passenger cars. Also, Co. purchases, redesigns, constructs, leases and sells all types of real estate.

Vossloh AG

Vossloh is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. in engaged in the rail technology markets. Co.'s core businesses comprise rail infrastructure products and services, rail vehicles, and components for rail vehicles and buses. Co. conducts its operations through two divisions: Rail Infrastructure and Transportation. The Rail Infrastructure division provides products and services related to the infrastructure through three business units: Fastening Systems, Switch Systems, and Rail Services. The Transportation division consists of the operations related to rail vehicles and vehicle systems/components and has two business units: Transportation Systems and Electrical Systems.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Delphine Brault

Quentin Borie

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