ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/05/2018

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ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/09/2018

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Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits : Further deterioration in the outlook

>EBITDA loss of € 20m-25m expected for 2018 - After a sharp drop in sales in H1 (brand business down -26% in Q2 after -19.7% in Q1), the group has revised down its forecasts for the 2018 earnings.Its initial forecast was for 2018 EBITDA to be, granted, negative, but higher than the 2017 figure (estimate of -€ 12m). It has revised this initial estimate considerably since it now forecasts an EBITDA loss of between € 20m and € 25m for 2018.This loss should main...

Negative signals for the US housing sector

Macro indicators for the construction sector, and the housing market in particular, have been poor recently. Homebuilders confidence has plummeted, housing sales and starts are stagnating at low levels. A sector so central to the economy appears to be frozen. President Trump has an idea for boosting the sector, and this would involve cutting Fed rates by 200-300bp in one fell swoop, in the hope of making the cost of mortgage borrowing bearable. His anti-Powell fury no doubt has something to do with this housing slump. It goes without saying that the Fed is not prepared to move that fast or th...

Oddo’s 2 Weeks Ahead_Friday 27 June 2025

Signaux négatifs pour le secteur immobilier US

Dernièrement, les indicateurs macro relatifs au secteur de la construction, en particulier le marché du logement, ont été mauvais. La confiance des promoteurs a chuté, les ventes et la production de logements stagnent à un bas niveau. Un secteur si central pour l’économie paraît gelé. Le président Trump a une idée pour lui redonner du tonus, ce serait de baisser les taux de la Fed de 200-300pdb d’un coup, dans l’espoir de rendre supportable le coût des emprunts immobiliers. Sa fureur anti-Powell a sans doute à voir avec ce marasme. La Fed n’est pas disposée à bouger si vite ni si fort il va sa...