Report

Special Focus Covid-19: Initial assessment of lessons learned

The emergence of Covid-19 and the subsequent development into a worldwide pandemic has triggered a sudden, unprecedented and far-reaching economic shock. The imposition of lockdown measures to prevent the spread of the virus has caused deep scars in the macroeconomic environment and many countries are introducing economic and fiscal support programmes or will do so. As it appears that the virus spread is increasingly contained in many countries and with lockdowns having been increasingly eased or lifted we think it is about time for an initial assessment of what could be potentially lasting and structural effects. In this respect we have considered implications on sectors and companies in our Austrian, CEE and Russian coverage universe. We purposely exclude those effects that in our view provide only a temporary setback, e.g. to otherwise unchanged growth patterns. The following topics appear relevant to us and we tried to provide some colour to which extent the companies under coverage could be impacted.

- Post-Covid-19 banking & New banking landscape ahead in CEE?
- The future shape of shopping centres is at stake
- How will work from home impact the office industry?
- Could Covid-19 accelerate the arrival of peak oil demand?
- The crisis as digital transformation accelerator
- Russian e-commerce got a boost as Covid-19 pandemic unfolded
- Negative impacts on mail items but jump of parcel volumes
- Current and lasting impacts on hotel operators
Underlyings
Addiko Bank

Alior Bank SA

Alior Bank is a universal lending and deposit-taking bank which renders services to individuals, legal persons and other entities which are Polish and foreign persons. Co.'s core activities include maintaining bank accounts, granting loans and advances, issuing banking securities and purchasing and selling foreign currency. Co. also conducts brokerage activities, consulting and financial agency services and renders other financial services.

AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik Aktiengesellschaft

AT&S Austria Technologie und Systemtechnik is engaged in the production of printed circuit boards. Co. has three core printed circuit board businesses: Mobile Devices, Automotive and Industrial. Co.'s product assortment ranges from single and double-sided printed circuit boards to multilayer, flexible and rigid, insulated metallic substrate, nucleus, to laser drilled circuit boards. Co.'s products are used as electromechanical linking elements, mainly in the telecommunication sector, automobile industry and medical technology applications, defense and aerospace.

Atrium European Real Estate Limited

Atrium European Real Estate is engaged in the ownership, management and operation of commercial real estate in the retail sector. Co. primarily operates in Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Russia, Hungary and Romania. Co. has two reportable segments: the standing investment segment includes all commercial real estate held to generate rental income for Co.; and the development segment includes all development activities and activities related to land plots. As of Dec 31 2016, the portfolio of standing investments consisted of 59 properties in Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Russia, Hungary, and Romania.

Banca Transilvania S.A.

Bank Handlowy w Warszawie S.A.

Bank Handlowy W Warszawie is a Polish bank holding company engaged in a wide range of banking services for individuals and corporate customers in the domestic and foreign markets. Additionally Co. operates in brokerage operations, lease services and investment operations. Customers have access to these services at the branches, ATM's, telephone services and electronic banking services.

Bank Millennium SA

Bank Millennium provides various banking products and services to individual clients, small businesses, corporate, and public sector entities in Poland. Co. offers current account, custody account, and escrow account; standard deposits, negotiated deposits, millenet deposits, and automatic overnight deposits; debit and charge cards; funds management; professional cash services; and management of balances of current and auxiliary accounts. Co. also provides current account overdraft facility, real estate loans, revolving credits, working capital loans, investment loans, energy financing facility, sureties, line of guarantees, letters-of-credit, preferential loans, and bid bond guarantees.

BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA

Bank Polska Kasa Opieki (the Bank) is a commercial bank providing a range of banking services, mainly in Poland. The segments of the Bank are as follows: Retail banking, which comprises all banking activities related to retail customers and small and micro companies; Private banking, which comprises all banking activities related to the affluent individual customers; Corporate and Investment banking, which comprises all banking activities related to the companies, interbank market, debt securities and other instruments; and Assets and Liabilities Management and other, which is engaged in the supervision and monitoring of fund transfers, and other activities centrally managed.

BAWAG Group AG

Bank fuer Arbeit und Wirtschaft is engaged in financial services. Co. maintains four segments: Retail and Corporate Customers, Key Accounts, Financial Markets, and Real Estate and Leasing. The Retail and Corporate Customers provides accounts and cards, e-banking, payments, savings, private and pension investments, and financing and leasing services to small and medium-sized enterprises. The Key Accounts segment involves in documentary business, financing, international payments, and e-banking activities. The Financial Markets segment provides treasury and investment banking. The Real Estate and Leasing segment includes real estate projects financing and real estate leasing activities.

BRD-Groupe Societe Generale

CA Immobilien Anlagen AG

CA Immobilien Anlagenis a real estate investment company. Co. invests in commercial real estate, comprising hotel, residential, office, industrial, storage space, and logistics. Co. is also active in project development business. Co.'s activities are focused in Austria, Germany and Eastern Europe. Co. has 263 subsidiaries (including 24 joint ventures) in the following countries: Germany, Austria, Hungary, Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Netherlands, Slovakia, Cyprus, Russia, Czech Republic, Poland, Croatia, Ukraine, Romania and Serbia. Co., through its subsidiaries, is engaged in creation of entire urban districts, acquisition of real estate, project development, as well as property renovation.

CCC SA

CCC is engaged in the wholesale and retail trade of clothing and footwear. Co. offers its products to wide range of consumers, from demanding clientele of trendy boutiques to value-oriented medium segment customers, to less wealthy customers seeking reasonably priced quality footwear. Co. pursues a strategy of brand diversification, which is reflected in its three autonomous distribution channels: a chain of official CCC stores, BOTI footwear shops and QUAZI boutiques. Co. offers more than 2,500 designs of footwear. Co. also owns more than 67 proprietary brand names e.g. Lasocki.

Detsky Mir

Detskiy Mir PAO is a Russia-based company, which is primarily engaged in the children products retail sector. The Company offers a wide range of products, such as toys, clothing and footwear, baby goods, stationery, school and learning related products, creative kits, sport related products, food, car seats, furniture, among others. The Company's structure includes the chain of stores Detskiy Mir and the retail network ELC (Early Learning Center). The Company's Detskiy Mir chain comprises over 480 stores located on the territory of the Russian Federation and Kazakhstan, as well as more than 40 ECL stores. Detskiy Mir PAO is primarily active domestically and in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) countries. In addition, the Company sells products online via its Website. The Company's major shareholder is AFK Sistema PAO.

Erste Group Bank AG

Erste Group is a financial services provider based in Austria. As of Dec 31 2015, Co.'s total assets amounted to Euro199,743 million and the number of customers was approximately 16.5 million. Co.'s key business is the retail business, covering the entire spectrum from lending, deposit and investment products to current accounts and credit cards. In addition to providing financial services to private individuals, Co.'s core activities also include advisory services and support for corporate clients in financing, investment and access to international capital markets, public sector funding and interbank market operations.

Gazprom Neft PJSC

Gazprom Neft PJSC is vertically integrated oil company operating in the Russian Federation, CIS and internationally. Co.'s principal activities include exploration, production and development of crude oil and gas, production of refined petroleum products and distribution and market ing operations through its retail outlets. Co.'s Upstream segment includes the exploration, development and production of crude oil and natural gas (including joint ventures results), oil field services. Co.'s Downstream segment processes crude into refined products and purchases and sells and transports crude and refined petroleum products (refining and marketing).

Getin Noble Bank SA

Getin Noble Bank SA is a Poland-based universal bank. The Company divides its activity into three segments: Banking, providing banking services and operating in the area of accepting cash deposits, running deposit and other bank accounts, granting loans, issuing and confirming bank guarantees, issuing bank securities, checque and bill of exchange operations and operations related to warrants, issuing payment cards, among others; Financial Intermediary, providing services related to financial intermediation, loans, deposits, savings, investment intermediation; Asset and Fund Management, placing cash collected by means of public offering of unit fund, advising, managing securities portfolios, creating and managing investment funds, as well as providing rental services and property management. It is the parent company of Getin Noble Bank SA Capital Group and operates through subsidiaries, including Noble Funds TFI SA, Noble Concierge Sp z o o, Getin Leasing, among others.

Grupa LOTOS S.A.

Grupa Lotos is an oil concern which deals with oil extraction and processing and trading of high quality oil products. Co. supplies the market with, unleaded petrol, diesel oil, fuel oil, aviation fuel, industrial oil, asphalt and paraffin, among other things. Co. is engaged in the production and sales of engine oils and bitumen in Poland. Co. maintains oil exploration and production activities in the Baltic, North Sea and Norwegian Sea and operates three refineries in Gdansk, Jaslo and Czechowice, Poland. Co. markets its products in wholesale markets, as well as in retail markets through a network of petrol stations.

Komercni banka a.s.

Komercni banka is a universal banking group based in the Czech Republic. Co. is engaged in the provision of a range of financial services in retail, corporate and investment banking. Co.'s operating segments include: Retail Banking, the provision of products and services to individuals, such as among others building savings, pension insurance, overdrafts, credit card and personal loans and mortgages; Corporate Banking, the provision of products and services to corporate entities such as foreign currency and derivative products, syndicated and export financing, and guarantee transactions; and Investment Banking, which involves trading in financial instruments.

Lenta International PJSC

Lenta is a hypermarket group based in Russia. Co. operates 87 hypermarkets in 50 cities across Russia and 16 supermarkets in the Moscow region with a total of approximately 571,328 sq.m. of selling space. Co. also operates four distribution centers for hypermarkets and one for supermarkets. operates three hypermarket formats: Standard, typically with approximately 7,000 sq. m. of selling space (smaller than many Western European hypermarkets) and 24,000 stock keeping unit (SKUs); Compact, typically with approximately 5,000 sq. m. of selling space and 20,300 SKUs; and Supercompact, typically with approximately 3,000 sq. m. of selling space and 15,000 SKUs.

LPP S.A.

LPP SA Gdansk is clothing manufacturing group based in Poland. Co. is engaged in the design and distribution of clothing. Co.'s headquarters is located in Gdan'sk, including designing resources for all its brands. Co.'s stores offer its customer products that include jackets, shirts, sweaters, dresses, skirts, trousers, jeans, underwear and garment products. Co. also sells promotion clothing under a special selected brand. Co.'s product offering is addressed to a variety of customers for whom separate brands and chain stores are set up. Co. launches clothing under such brand names as: RESERVED, CROPP, MOHITO, HOUSE, and PROMOSTARS.

Magnit PJSC Sponsored GDR RegS

Mail.ru Group Ltd. Sponsored GDR

Mail.Ru Group is an Internet company based in the Russian Federation. Co. operates the email service [email protected] and two IM networks in Russia - Mail.Ru Agent and ICQ. Co. operates two Russian-language online social networking sites: Moi [email protected] and Odnoklassniki.ru, and owns a strategic minority equity stake in the social network Vkontakte. Co. is also engaged in developing projects in E-commerce and operating more than 40 thematic vertical sites, targeting various user categories. Co. is also Russia's predominant online games company. Co. maintains a portfolio of online games which includes 34 MMO games and over 30 games for social networking sites.

MBANK SA

mBank is a provider of comprehensive corporate banking services in Poland. Co. and its subsidiaries make up the mBank Group which is engaged in offering financial services. Co.'s service offering includes a comprehensive financial offer tailored to the needs of corporate clients, Private Banking clients, and retail clients. The business activities of Co. is conducted in the following business segments: Retail Banking and Corporates and Markets.

MOL Hungarian Oil & Gas Plc Class A

Magyar Olaj-Es Gazipari is an integrated oil and gas enterprise based in Hungary and active in central and eastern Europe. Co.'s core activities include: exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas and gas products; refining, transportation, storage and distribution of crude oil products in both retail and wholesale markets; importation, transportation, storage and wholesale trading of natural gas and other gas products; and the production and sale of olefins and polyolefins. TVK, the petrochemical affiliate of Co., is an olefin and polyolefin producer in Hungary.

Nova Ljubljanska Banka DD Ljubljana

NLB dd is a Slovenia-based company, which is primarily involved in the financial services industry. The Company operates as a parent company of NLB Group and has a number of subsidiaries, such as NLB Banka Banja Luka, NLB Banka Sarajevo, NLB Banka Prishtina, NLB Nov penziski fond Skopje, NLB Tutunska Banka Skopje, NLB Bank Podgorica, Bankart, Nova ljubljanska banka, NLB Skladi, NLB Vita, NLB Banka Belgrade, NLB Srbija Beograd, NLB Leasing Sarajevo, Prvi Paktor Sarajevo, NLB Leasing Sofia, Optima Leasing Zagred, among others. The Company operates in such countries, as Slovenia, Bosnia and herzegovina, Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Germany, Italy, Switzerland, among others.

OMV AG

OMV is an international energy company with activities in Exploration and Production (E&P), Refining and Marketing including petrochemicals (R&M), and Gas and Power (G&P). Co. explores and develops oil and gas resources and supply energy to over 100 million people. OMV has three operating segments: Exploration and Production (E&P), Refining and Marketing, including petrochemicals (R&M), and Gas and Power (G&P), as well as the segment Corporate and Other (Co&O).

Osterreichische Post AG

Austrian Post is a logistics and postal services provider in Austria. Its main business activities include the transport and delivery of letters, direct mail items, print media and parcels. Co.'s branch network offers postal, banking and telecommunications products and services to its customers throughout Austria. Co. is also represented by subsidiaries in 12 European markets, particularly in the parcel and logistics segment as well as in unaddressed direct mail items.

Petrom S.A.

PKO Bank Polski S.A.

PKO Bank Polski is a universal commercial bank offering services to both domestic and foreign retail, corporate and other clients. Co. is licensed to hold foreign exchange and currencies and sell/buy them, as well as perform a full range of foreign exchange services; open and hold bank accounts abroad and to deposit foreign exchange in these accounts. In addition, Co. conducts activities relating to leasing, factoring, electronic settlements via payment cards, as well as renders other financial services. As of Dec 31 2009, Co. had total assets of Zl156,478,685,000 and total deposit of Zl124,628,562,000. Co. operates in the Republic of Poland, Ukraine and Sweden.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN S.A.

Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen's activities are divided into three main business segments: the Refining Segment that comprises crude oil processing as well as wholesale and retail trade in refinery products. The Petrochemical Segment that encompasses production and sale of petrochemicals and chemicals. The Retail Segment that comprises of sales at petrol stations. Co.'s basic products include gasolines, diesel oils, light heating oil, Jet fuel, liquid gas, polyetylene, polypropylene, benzene, butadiene, acetone, phenol, glycols, toluen, ortoxylene.

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen Spolka Akcyjna

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen is an insurance group based in Poland. Co. is engaged in offering a broad range of insurance and financial products. Co. pursues three main lines of business: Property and Casualty Insurance, offered by PZU; Life Insurance, offered by PZU Zycie; and Open-end Pension Funds, offered by PTE PZU, the manager of OFE PZU Zlota Jesien. Co. maintains a network of sales and service outlets including 500 outlets throughout Poland, including 243 shared outlets (common for PZU and PZU Zycie), 137 outlets of PZU Zycie and 120 outlets of PZU. Co.'s business is focused on the Polish market but it also conducts insurance business in the Lithuanian and Ukrainian markets.

Riviera Porec d.d.

Rosneft Oil Co.

OJSC OC Rosneft is a vertically-integrated Russian oil and gas company with upstream and downstream operations in each of Russia's oil-producing regions. Headquartered in Moscow, Co. operates ten oil and gas producing enterprises across Russia and is involved in over ten exploration projects. In addition to its upstream operations, Co. also owns two refineries, which have a combined capacity of 10 million tons per year, as well as four main oil export terminals and a nationwide network of over 600 service stations. Co.'s downstream operations consist of its crude oil export structure, refining operations and nationwide network of marketing subsidiaries.

S IMMO AG

S Immo AG is an Austria-based company engaged in the real estate sector. The Company specializes in the acquisition, letting and sale of properties. Furthermore, It offers real estate project developments, which includes Einsteinova office, Quartier Belvedere Central, and The Mark office project, among others, renovation of existing properties, asset and portfolio management and a range of services, such as facility management and brokerage. The Company's real estate portfolio comprises residential, office, retail and hotel properties. It operates four geographical segments: Austria, Germany, Central Europe (CEE) and Southeastern Europe (SEE). In addition, the Company is a parent of CEE Immobilien GmbH, Hansa Immobilien EOOD, Rega Property Invest sro, Ikaruspark GmbH, SC Societate Dezvoltare Comercial Sudului (SDCS) SRL, Maior Domus Hausverwaltung GmbH, and Eurocenter doo, among others.

S&T AG

S&T AG is an Austria-based supplier of information technology (IT) solutions, specializing in Industry 4.0, embedded computer systems and Internet of Things (IoT) technology. The Company operates through three segments: IT Services, which handles the end-to-end realization of IT projects, from planning (consulting), through implementation (integration) to long-term operation (outsourcing); IoT Solutions, which focuses on the development of IoT and Industry 4.0 solutions combining hardware, middleware and services marketed to the industrial automation, medical technologies, infotainment and smart energy sectors, and Embedded Systems, which provides hardware featuring embedded technologies used by the transport, aviation and communication sectors. The Company is a full-service-provider of IT services in Central and Eastern Europe. Its core markets are Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Eastern Europe and North America.

Santander Bank Polska SA

Bank Zachodni is a bank seated in Poland. Co. and its subsidiaries provide a range of banking services for individual and business customers and operate in domestic and interbank foreign markets. Additionally, Co. provides also the following services, including intermediation in trading securities, leasing, factoring, asset/ fund management, insurance services, trading in stock and shares of commercial companies, and brokerage activity. Operational activity of Co. and its subsidiaries has been divided into five segments: Retail Banking, Business and Corporate Banking, Global Banking and Markets, ALM (Assets and Liabilities Management) and Centre, as well as Santander Consumer.

Warimpex Finanz und Beteiligung

Warimpex is a real estate group based in Austria Co. is a "hybrid" real estate company that develops and operates properties itself as an asset manager and property owner until the time at which the highest added value can be realized through sale. The majority of these projects is located in Central and Eastern Europe. Co. has developed real estate with investments including hotels in the five-, four- and three-star categories. In addition, Co. also develops office buildings and other real estate. Accordingly, Co. generates revenue from the operation of hotel properties and the letting of commercial and office space while simultaneously realizing proceeds from real estate sales.

Yandex NV Class A

Yandex is an internet and technology company that operates an internet search engine in Russia. Co. builds intelligent products and services powered by machine learning. Co.'s products and services are based on complex, unique technologies that are not easily replicated. Co. generates substantially all of its revenues from online advertising. Co. also generates revenues from its e-commerce offerings, classifieds and e-hailing service. Co.'s businesses are organized in the following operating segments: Search and Portal; E-commerce; Taxi; Classifieds and Experimental businesses.

Provider
Raiffeisen Bank International AG - Institutional Equity
Raiffeisen Bank International AG - Institutional Equity

The Institutional Equity Research team of Raiffeisen Bank International AG covers 85 stocks from Austria, Central & Eastern Europe with sell-side research and thus levers our local broker status with excellent company relationships. For corporates in Austria, CEE and Western Europe, we offer co-sponsored research, which includes research coverage and marketing activities to investors. Additionally, through our Spotlight Research product we also shed light on leading European small and micro-caps, seeking greater visibility with investors.

The Institutional Equity Research team consists of roughly 15 analysts, both in Vienna and the CEE countries. Our analysts provide long-standing sector expertise in tandem with profound local market know how and a sectoral approach across the entire region.

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