Report
Peter Thilo Hasler

Zum Halbjahr gut behauptet

Die gestern veröffentlichten Halbjahreszahlen lagen im Rahmen unserer Erwartungen und leicht über dem unverändert schwierigen textilen Einzelhandelsmarkt, der zum Halbjahr einmal mehr um -1% zurückging. Erstmals wurden in der Finanzberichterstattung die Effekte aus dem Verkauf der defizitären Wormland-Beteiligung offensichtlich. Dabei zeigte sich, dass sich die Ertragslage durch die Fokussierung auf das profitable Münchener Stammhaus und den dynamisch wachsenden Onlinehandel ab dem kommenden Jahr nach unserer Einschätzung deutlich verbessern wird. Verbunden mit einer bestätigten Guidance, wonach bei Bruttoumsätzen zwischen EUR 94 und 98 Mio. ein durch den Wormland-Verkauf belastetes EBT von EUR -12 bis -13 Mio. erwartet wird, heben wir unser DCF-basier­tes Kursziel auf EUR 33,30 von EUR 32,20 (Base Case-Szenario) an. Angesichts eines von uns auf Sicht von zwölf Monaten erwarteten Kurspotenzials von 12,5% bekräftigen wir unser Buy-Rating für die Aktien der Ludwig Beck AG.

Underlying
Ludwig Beck am Rathauseck AG

Ludwig Beck am Rathauseck - Textilhaus Feldmeier is the parent company for LUDWIG BECK Group (the Group). The Group is engaged in the sale of all kinds of goods, primarily the wholesale and retail of textiles, clothing, hardware and other merchandise, also by mail order or online, as well as the acquisition, holding and management of investments in unincorporated and incorporated companies, mainly companies that own real estate or who themselves hold interests in such companies. Co. has two segments: textile, which includes all products under apparel; and non-textile., which includes all other LUDWIG BECK products, such as accessories, sound recordings and the HAUTNAH cosmetics line.

Provider
Sphene Capital GmbH
Sphene Capital GmbH

Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.

As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.

After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.

Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.

Analysts
Peter Thilo Hasler

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