Report
Research Team

Focus: Turkish automotive - turning the corner (Ford Otosan stays BUY, Tofas downgraded to HOLD); Jeronimo Martins’ 3Q19 results a notch ahead of expectations on 8% lfl in Biedronka; strong FCF; AmRest’s 3Q19 preliminary sales up 29% yoy

HEADLINES:
• Turkish automotive: turning the corner (Ford Otosan stays BUY, Tofas downgraded to HOLD)
• Jeronimo Martins: 3Q19 results a notch ahead of expectations on 8% lfl in Biedronka; strong FCF POSITIVE
• AmRest: 3Q19 preliminary sales up 29% yoy, 17% excluding M&A POSITIVE
• PKN Orlen: 3Q19 results - small beat on EBITDA
• Kety: 3Q19 results - EBITDA 4% above the preliminary forecasts, very strong export sales POSITIVE
• Orange Polska: UKE has extended the list of districts exempt from BSA and LLU regulation POSITIVE
• X5: key takeaways from the capital markets day
• Polish banks: 3Q19E previews - only one shining star - NII growth (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander Bank Polska, mBank, Bank Handlowy, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank)
• Vestel Beyaz: 3Q19 preview (due on 25 October) NEUTRAL
• Magnit: 3Q19E results preview (due on 29 October) NEUTRAL
Underlyings
Alior Bank SA

Alior Bank is a universal lending and deposit-taking bank which renders services to individuals, legal persons and other entities which are Polish and foreign persons. Co.'s core activities include maintaining bank accounts, granting loans and advances, issuing banking securities and purchasing and selling foreign currency. Co. also conducts brokerage activities, consulting and financial agency services and renders other financial services.

AmRest Holdings SE

Amrest Holdings SE is a Spain-based company active in the restaurants and bars sector. The Company's core activity is operating Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC), Pizza Hut, Burger King and Starbucks restaurants through its subsidiaries in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, the Russian Federation, Serbia, Croatia, Bulgaria, Spain and France, on the basis of franchises granted, and Applebee's in the United States. Additionally, in Spain and France the Company operates its own brands La Tagiatella, Trastevere and il Pastificcio. It also operates PizzaPortal.pl, an online portal for ordering food from various restaurants. The Company operates through subsidiaries, such as AmRest Sp z o o, AmRest sro, AmRest doo, AmRest Adria doo, Blue Horizon Hospitality Group PTE, AmRest TAG SL, SC Marinopoulos Coffee Company III Srl and Marinopoulos Coffee Company Bulgaria EOOD, among others.

Bank Handlowy w Warszawie S.A.

Bank Handlowy W Warszawie is a Polish bank holding company engaged in a wide range of banking services for individuals and corporate customers in the domestic and foreign markets. Additionally Co. operates in brokerage operations, lease services and investment operations. Customers have access to these services at the branches, ATM's, telephone services and electronic banking services.

Bank Millennium SA

Bank Millennium provides various banking products and services to individual clients, small businesses, corporate, and public sector entities in Poland. Co. offers current account, custody account, and escrow account; standard deposits, negotiated deposits, millenet deposits, and automatic overnight deposits; debit and charge cards; funds management; professional cash services; and management of balances of current and auxiliary accounts. Co. also provides current account overdraft facility, real estate loans, revolving credits, working capital loans, investment loans, energy financing facility, sureties, line of guarantees, letters-of-credit, preferential loans, and bid bond guarantees.

BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA

Bank Polska Kasa Opieki (the Bank) is a commercial bank providing a range of banking services, mainly in Poland. The segments of the Bank are as follows: Retail banking, which comprises all banking activities related to retail customers and small and micro companies; Private banking, which comprises all banking activities related to the affluent individual customers; Corporate and Investment banking, which comprises all banking activities related to the companies, interbank market, debt securities and other instruments; and Assets and Liabilities Management and other, which is engaged in the supervision and monitoring of fund transfers, and other activities centrally managed.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi is an automobile manufacturing company based in Turkey. Co. operates as a joint venture between Ford Motor Company and the Koc Group of Companies. Co. is engaged in manufacturing, assembling and selling motor vehicles, primarily commercial vehicles, imports and sells passenger cars and manufactures and imports and sells spare parts of those vehicles. Co. has two plants located in Kocaeli and Eskisehir, has a spare part distribution warehouse in Kartal, Istanbul and a branch in Tubitak Marmara Research Centre, Gebze Campus Technological Free Zone (TEKSEB).

Grupa Kety SA

Grupa Kety is an aluminum industry company based in Poland. Co.'s operations are organized in three business segments: Aluminum Extrusions, Aluminum Architectural Systems and Flexible Packaging. Co. offers aluminum extrusions in different shapes, bars, tubes and wires of aluminum and its alloys, which are used in the construction & building, advertising, indoor fittings, transportation, automotive industry, white goods, machinery engineering and electrical engineering. Co.'s Aluminum Architectural Systems produces aluminum joinery, realizing investment projects and selling systems. Co.'s flexible packaging segment offers packaging made of aluminum foil, films and paper.

ING Bank Slaski S.A.

ING Bank Slaski is a bank holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in providing a range of banking services rendered for individual and institutional clients in line with the scope of services outlined in Co.'s charter. Co. runs operations both in the home currency and in foreign currencies. Co. is also active on the domestic and foreign financial markets. The subsidiary, ING Bank Hipoteczny S.A., also runs banking business, including loans secured with mortgage. Additionally through subsidiaries, Co. operates brokerage services, real estate, leasing of real estate and advisory and acts as a financial intermediary as well as provides other financial services.

Jeronimo Martins SGPS S.A.

Jeronimo Martins S.G.P.S. is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged as a food distribution company with operations in Poland and Portugal. Co. operates in four segments: Portugal Retail, which comprises the business unit of JMR - Gestao de Empresas de Retalho, SGPS, S.A. (Pingo Doce supermarkets); Portugal Cash & Carry, which includes the wholesale business unit Recheio; Poland Retail, which includes the business unit with the brand Biedronka; and Others, which includes marketing services and representations, restaurants in Portugal, health and beauty retail in Poland, and its retail business in Colombia.

Magnit PJSC Sponsored GDR RegS

MBANK SA

mBank is a provider of comprehensive corporate banking services in Poland. Co. and its subsidiaries make up the mBank Group which is engaged in offering financial services. Co.'s service offering includes a comprehensive financial offer tailored to the needs of corporate clients, Private Banking clients, and retail clients. The business activities of Co. is conducted in the following business segments: Retail Banking and Corporates and Markets.

Orange Polska S.A.

Orange Polska SA is a supplier of telecommunications services in Poland. Co. provides services, including fixed-line telecommunication services, Integrated Services Digital Network, voice mail, dial-up and fixed access to the Internet and Voice over Internet Protocol. Co. is one of Poland's three DCS 1800 and GSM 900 mobile telecommunications providers. Co. provides also third generation UMTS services. In addition, Co. provides leased lines, radio-communications and other telecommunications value added services, sells telecommunications equipment, produces electronic phone cards and provides data transmission, telephone directories, multimedia services and various Internet services.

PKO Bank Polski S.A.

PKO Bank Polski is a universal commercial bank offering services to both domestic and foreign retail, corporate and other clients. Co. is licensed to hold foreign exchange and currencies and sell/buy them, as well as perform a full range of foreign exchange services; open and hold bank accounts abroad and to deposit foreign exchange in these accounts. In addition, Co. conducts activities relating to leasing, factoring, electronic settlements via payment cards, as well as renders other financial services. As of Dec 31 2009, Co. had total assets of Zl156,478,685,000 and total deposit of Zl124,628,562,000. Co. operates in the Republic of Poland, Ukraine and Sweden.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN S.A.

Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen's activities are divided into three main business segments: the Refining Segment that comprises crude oil processing as well as wholesale and retail trade in refinery products. The Petrochemical Segment that encompasses production and sale of petrochemicals and chemicals. The Retail Segment that comprises of sales at petrol stations. Co.'s basic products include gasolines, diesel oils, light heating oil, Jet fuel, liquid gas, polyetylene, polypropylene, benzene, butadiene, acetone, phenol, glycols, toluen, ortoxylene.

Santander Bank Polska SA

Bank Zachodni is a bank seated in Poland. Co. and its subsidiaries provide a range of banking services for individual and business customers and operate in domestic and interbank foreign markets. Additionally, Co. provides also the following services, including intermediation in trading securities, leasing, factoring, asset/ fund management, insurance services, trading in stock and shares of commercial companies, and brokerage activity. Operational activity of Co. and its subsidiaries has been divided into five segments: Retail Banking, Business and Corporate Banking, Global Banking and Markets, ALM (Assets and Liabilities Management) and Centre, as well as Santander Consumer.

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi A.S.

Vestel Beyaz Esya Sanayi ve Ticaret

Vestel Beyaz Esya Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (Vestel Beyaz Esya) is a Turkey-based manufacturer of home appliances, including no-frost, double door, and single door, refrigerators; washing machines with different capacities; air conditioners; ovens with different functions, and dishwashers. The Company operates production facilities in Manisa and Turkey. The Company's marketing and sales activities are carried out by two other group companies, Vestel Dayanikli Tuketim Mallari Pazarlama AS and Vestel Dis Ticaret AS. Vestel Beyaz Esya is a subsidiary of Vestel Group. In January 2014, Vestel Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS, increased its stake in the Company to 92.6%.

X5 Retail Group N.V. Sponsored GDR RegS

X5 Retail Group is a holding company. The main activity of Co. is the development and operation of grocery retail stores. Co. operates a retail chain of soft-discount, supermarket and hypermarket stores under the brand names "Pyaterochka", "Perekrestok" and "Karusel" in major population centres in Russia, including but not limited to Moscow, St. Petersburg, Nizhniy Novgorod, Rostov-on-Don, Kazan, Samara, Lipetsk, Chelyabinsk, Perm, Ekaterinburg and Kiev, Ukraine.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

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