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Matthias Desmarais
  • Matthias Desmarais
Matthias Desmarais
  • Matthias Desmarais
Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

MFE B shares : Une bonne dynamique publicitaire sur le T1 en Italie et...

>Opinion Sous-performance réitérée - MFE a publié hier ses résultats annuels 2023 ressortis supérieurs à nos attentes avec un EBIT de 302 M€ contre 288 M€ attendus. La principale différence avec nos attentes provient d’une bonne maitrise des coûts. Rappelons le groupe avait déjà donné des indications sur la tendance publicitaire donc sans surprise, la tendance publicitaire est ressortie à +2,1% pour 2023 ce qui fait ressortir un T4 en hausse de 8%. La dynamique public...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Rheinmetall AG : Q1 2024 in the end set to be more in line with tradit...

>Q1 in the end more in line with traditional seasonality - In a group pre-class call, the company indicated the seasonal pattern would in the end be fairly consistent with that of previous years, with Q4 potentially accounting for around 35% of FY 24 sales. The deferral of around € 0.4bn of sales from FY 23 to FY 24 will be only partially delivered in Q1 (c € 0.1bn est.), with the remainder of the truck deliveries expected more later in the year. We forecast sales of ...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Schneider Electric : Schneider Electric reportedly interested in Bentl...

>Bentley Systems, software company, reportedly been approached by Schneider - According to the WSJ, Schneider Electric is in talks to acquire a controlling stake in the software engineering company Bentley Systems. Cadence Design Systems is apparently also interested.Bentley Systems has set up a special committee of its board of directors to study the options open to it, including the sale of the company or the creation of a JV.Siemens, which has formed seve...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

Ipsos : Start to the year held back by the US-Stock removed from Midca...

>Mixed organic growth in Q1 on a favourable comparison base - Disappointment in the US - Ipsos published yesterday evening its Q1 2024 revenue figures. They came in at € 558m, in line with expectations (ODDO-BHF/consensus = € 555-559m). Organic growth was mixed (4.5% vs ODDO-BHF/consensus = 5.2-5%), accelerating relative to 2023 (+3.0%) but on a favourable comparison base (Q1 2023 = -2.8%).The Americas were hit by an unexpected decline (-3.2% - 2023 = +1.7%) due ...

Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

MFE B shares : Good advertising momentum in Q1 and in Italy and in Spa...

>Underperform recommendation reiterated - MFE released FY 2023 results ahead of our expectations, with EBIT of € 302m vs € 288m forecast. The main difference with our expectations comes from the tight control of costs. Note that the group had already provided some indication of the advertising trend, so it comes as no surprise that the advertising trend for 2023 was +2.1%, giving Q4 growth of 8%. Advertising momentum was therefore particularly brisk in 2023, thanks ma...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

easyJet : Favourable trends for the summer

>Solid pricing which should continue over the summer - The publication of H1 results which topped expectations, with an operating loss limited to between £ 340m and £360m, compared with a consensus expectation of -£ 407m, is explained by tight control of costs and above all by solid pricing. In Q2, easyJet posted an 8.5% increase in passenger RPS y-o-y and a 7.5% increase in ancillary unit revenues y-o-y. This performance was due notably to the contribution made by t...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

easyJet : Un été bien orienté

>Un pricing solide qui devrait se poursuivre sur l’été - La publication d’un S1 au-delà des attentes avec une perte opérationnelle limitée entre 340 et 360 M£ contre une attente du consensus à -407M£ s’explique par une bonne tenue des coûts mais surtout par un pricing solide. Sur le T2, easyJet a affiché un RPS passager en hausse de 8.5% yoy et une progression des recettes unitaires auxiliaires de 7.5% yoy. Cette performance est liée notamment à la contribution du WE...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

Ipsos : Un début d’année freiné par les US – Sortie de la liste de Con...

>Croissance organique mitigée au T1 au regard d’une base de comparaison favorable – Déception aux US - Ipsos a publié hier soir son CA au titre du T1 2024. Il s’établit à 558 M€, un niveau en ligne avec les attentes (ODDO BHF/consensus = 555/559 M€). La croissance organique est mitigée (+4.5% vs ODDO BHF/consensus = +5.2/+5%), en accélération par rapport à 2023 (+3.0%) mais à partir d’une base de comparaison favorable (rappel T1 2023 = -2.8%).La zone Amériques af...

Maissa Keskes ... (+2)
  • Maissa Keskes
  • Stephane Houri

Nokia : Q1 marks the low point, but limited visibility on the pace of ...

>Neutral rating maintained – target price € 3 - Following the publication of Nokia's Q1 2024 results, we have added a downward revision of 4% for EPS forecasts for 2024/2025, but left our target price unchanged at € 3.0. As a result, we reiterate our Neutral recommendation. Despite continued pressure on the telecom equipment market, management was keen to reassure, underlining that Q1 marked the low point with the anticipation of a recovery as of H2 2024. Proof of thi...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Johanna Jourdain

PLUXEE : H1 beats estimates, FY 2023-24 guidance upgraded

>Solid H1 results above consensus with beat on EBITDA - Pluxee has reported total H1 2023-24 sales of € 593m, up 22% and 1% above the consensus. This represents organic growth for total revenue of 24% (Q1 at +19.7% and thus Q2 at +25.7%) which is above the consensus at +18.3% (ODDO BHF 19.7%e). In particular, organic growth of operating revenue (i.e. excluding revenue from float) is at 17.4% for H1, significantly above consensus at 13.0%, suggesting +20% in Q2 which b...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Schneider Electric : Schneider Electric serait intéressé par Bentley S...

>Bentley Systems, société de software, aurait été approchée par Schneider - Selon le WSJ, Schneider Electric est en pourparlers pour prendre le contrôle de la société de logiciels d'ingénierie Bentley Systems. Cadence Design Systems est également intéressé.Bentley Systems a constitué un comité spécial de son conseil d'administration afin d'étudier les options qui s'offrent à lui, notamment la vente de l'entreprise ou la création d’une JV.A noter que Siemens,...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Veolia : Surfin’ USA

>A front-ranking position in water and waste in the US - Following its presentation geared towards energy, the group unveiled the second stage, dedicated to its operations in the US. Out of its € 45bn of consolidated sales, the US contributes 11%, with € 5.2bn. Veolia’s US business revolves largely around water (66%) and waste (25%), with a focus on hazardous waste. In detail, the main contributor to sales is the water technology division (32% of sales). This supplies...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Johanna Jourdain

PLUXEE : H1 beats estimates, FY 2023-24 guidance upgraded

>Solid H1 results above consensus with beat on EBITDA - Pluxee has reported total H1 2023-24 sales of € 593m, up 22% and 1% above the consensus. This represents organic growth for total revenue of 24% (Q1 at +19.7% and thus Q2 at +25.7%) which is above the consensus at +18.3% (ODDO BHF 19.7%e). In particular, organic growth of operating revenue (i.e. excluding revenue from float) is at 17.4% for H1, significantly above consensus at 13.0%, suggesting +20% in Q2 which b...

Maissa Keskes ... (+2)
  • Maissa Keskes
  • Stephane Houri

Nokia : Le T1 est le point bas, mais visibilité limitée sur le rythme ...

>Opinion Neutre maintenue, OC 3 € - Suite à la publication des résultats T1 24 de Nokia, nous en ajustons en baisse de 4% nos BPA sur 2024/2025, mais laissons notre OC inchangé à 3.0 €. Nous réitérons par conséquent notre opinion Neutre. Malgré un marché des équipementiers télécoms toujours sous pression, le management s’est voulu rassurant en soulignant que le T1 était le point bas et en anticipant une reprise à partir du S2 24. Pour preuve, la reprise des commandes ...

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