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Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

Ipsos : Un début d’année freiné par les US – Sortie de la liste de Con...

>Croissance organique mitigée au T1 au regard d’une base de comparaison favorable – Déception aux US - Ipsos a publié hier soir son CA au titre du T1 2024. Il s’établit à 558 M€, un niveau en ligne avec les attentes (ODDO BHF/consensus = 555/559 M€). La croissance organique est mitigée (+4.5% vs ODDO BHF/consensus = +5.2/+5%), en accélération par rapport à 2023 (+3.0%) mais à partir d’une base de comparaison favorable (rappel T1 2023 = -2.8%).La zone Amériques af...

Maissa Keskes ... (+2)
  • Maissa Keskes
  • Stephane Houri

Nokia : Q1 marks the low point, but limited visibility on the pace of ...

>Neutral rating maintained – target price € 3 - Following the publication of Nokia's Q1 2024 results, we have added a downward revision of 4% for EPS forecasts for 2024/2025, but left our target price unchanged at € 3.0. As a result, we reiterate our Neutral recommendation. Despite continued pressure on the telecom equipment market, management was keen to reassure, underlining that Q1 marked the low point with the anticipation of a recovery as of H2 2024. Proof of thi...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Johanna Jourdain

PLUXEE : H1 beats estimates, FY 2023-24 guidance upgraded

>Solid H1 results above consensus with beat on EBITDA - Pluxee has reported total H1 2023-24 sales of € 593m, up 22% and 1% above the consensus. This represents organic growth for total revenue of 24% (Q1 at +19.7% and thus Q2 at +25.7%) which is above the consensus at +18.3% (ODDO BHF 19.7%e). In particular, organic growth of operating revenue (i.e. excluding revenue from float) is at 17.4% for H1, significantly above consensus at 13.0%, suggesting +20% in Q2 which b...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Johanna Jourdain

PLUXEE : H1 beats estimates, FY 2023-24 guidance upgraded

>Solid H1 results above consensus with beat on EBITDA - Pluxee has reported total H1 2023-24 sales of € 593m, up 22% and 1% above the consensus. This represents organic growth for total revenue of 24% (Q1 at +19.7% and thus Q2 at +25.7%) which is above the consensus at +18.3% (ODDO BHF 19.7%e). In particular, organic growth of operating revenue (i.e. excluding revenue from float) is at 17.4% for H1, significantly above consensus at 13.0%, suggesting +20% in Q2 which b...

Maissa Keskes ... (+2)
  • Maissa Keskes
  • Stephane Houri

Nokia : Le T1 est le point bas, mais visibilité limitée sur le rythme ...

>Opinion Neutre maintenue, OC 3 € - Suite à la publication des résultats T1 24 de Nokia, nous en ajustons en baisse de 4% nos BPA sur 2024/2025, mais laissons notre OC inchangé à 3.0 €. Nous réitérons par conséquent notre opinion Neutre. Malgré un marché des équipementiers télécoms toujours sous pression, le management s’est voulu rassurant en soulignant que le T1 était le point bas et en anticipant une reprise à partir du S2 24. Pour preuve, la reprise des commandes ...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

Edenred : Encouraging start to 2024, to be confirmed in the next publi...

>Solid growth in Q1 2024, reassuring on underlying business - Edenred reported yesterday before the market open organic growth in Q1 operating revenues up +16.9%, ahead of expectations at 14.2%. This momentum is underpinned by all of the group’s businesses and products, including the meal voucher business, engagement platforms, mobility solutions and beyond fuel (maintenance and tolls in particular), which continue to benefit from a low penetration rate (meal voucher...

Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert

Mercialys : Continued resilient operational momentum in Q1 2024

>Favourable momentum on retailer sales at +3.3% y-o-y for Q1 2024 and modest rental activity - Mercialys has posted rental income of € 45.5m (€ 45.8m est.) for Q1 2024, i.e. +4.5% at current scope and +4.6% at constant scope reflecting favourable momentum despite the context linked to the future transfer of Casino hypermarkets:Retailer sales excluding hypermarkets up +.3% y-o-y: this figure reflects solid growth in March at +6.1% after -1.5% in January +0.8% in ...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

Sodexo : Solid H1 beating expectations, FY 2023-24 guidance increased ...

>Solid H1 results slightly above the consensus with better margin improvement - Sodexo has reported H1 sales of € 12.1bn up 4.5%, 1% above the consensus. This represents organic growth of 8.5% (Q1 at +8.2% and thus Q2 at +8.8%) which is above the consensus at +7.8% (ODDO BHF 7.7%e). Organic growth was mostly driven by North America at +10% and Europe at +8.0%, as well as a +4.5% pricing effect. The LTM retention rate was at 95.5%, close to the new objective of 96%, wh...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

Sodexo : Solid H1 beating expectations, FY 2023-24 guidance increased ...

>Solid H1 results slightly above the consensus with better margin improvement - Sodexo has reported H1 sales of € 12.1bn up 4.5%, 1% above the consensus. This represents organic growth of 8.5% (Q1 at +8.2% and thus Q2 at +8.8%) which is above the consensus at +7.8% (ODDO BHF 7.7%e). Organic growth was mostly driven by North America at +10% and Europe at +8.0%, as well as a +4.5% pricing effect. The LTM retention rate was at 95.5%, close to the new objective of 96%, wh...

Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert

Mercialys : Maintien d’une dynamique opérationnelle résiliente sur le ...

>Bonne dynamique du CA commerçants à +3.3% yoy sur le T1 2024 et activité locative modérée - Les revenus locatifs de Mercialys s’établissent à 45.5 M€ (45.8 M€e) au T1 2024 soit +4.5% à périmètre courant et +4.6% à périmètre constant traduisant la poursuite d’une bonne dynamique malgré le contexte lié au futur transfert des hypermarchés Casino :Le CA commerçants hors hypermarchés est en progression de 3.3% yoy : ce chiffre traduit une solide progression en mars à...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

Edenred : Démarrage 2024 encourageant, à confirmer au cours des procha...

>Solide croissance au T1 2024, rassurante sur l’activité sous-jacente - Edenred a publié hier avant Bourse une croissance organique du CA opérationnel au T1 de 16.9%, au-dessus des attentes à 14.2%. Ce dynamisme est soutenu par l’ensemble des métiers et produits, dont le Ticket Restaurant (TR), les plateformes d’engagement, les solutions de mobilité et beyond fuel (maintenance et péage en particulier), qui continuent de bénéficier d’un faible taux de pénétration (TR ...

Maissa Keskes ... (+2)
  • Maissa Keskes
  • Stephane Houri

Nokia : Slightly better results, improving orders

>Q1 2024 results above expectations thanks to Nokia technologies and a better mix in Mobile, improving orders in Networks - Revenues totalled € 4.67bn, down 19% y-o-y at cc below the consensus at € 4.96m. Non-IFRS gross margin was 48.6%, above the consensus at 43.7% thanks to a strong contribution from Nokia Technologies which benefited from significant catch-up net sales in addition to a significant improvements in Mobile Networks partly due to the regional and produ...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

Edenred : Q1 2024 beating estimates and reassuring on underlying growt...

>Q1 2024 revenue higher, with organic beat - Edenred has reported total Q1 2024 revenue of € 685m, 3% above forecasts (consensus at € 666m), i.e. a reported increase of 21.4%, of which +20.5% organic, +5.2% from M&A and -4.4% from the forex effect. Organic growth in operating revenues in Q1 was +16.9%, above the consensus at 14.2% (ODDO BHF 13.9%). All the regions are dynamic in organic terms, o/w Europe at +12.8% in Q1 (vs consensus +11.8%), including +7.9% in Fran...

Maissa Keskes ... (+2)
  • Maissa Keskes
  • Stephane Houri

Nokia : Slightly better results, improving orders

>Q1 2024 results above expectations thanks to Nokia technologies and a better mix in Mobile, improving orders in Networks - Revenues totalled € 4.67bn, down 19% y-o-y at cc below the consensus at € 4.96m. Non-IFRS gross margin was 48.6%, above the consensus at 43.7% thanks to a strong contribution from Nokia Technologies which benefited from significant catch-up net sales in addition to a significant improvements in Mobile Networks partly due to the regional and produ...

Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert

Carmila : Q1 2024 operational performance positive notably with excell...

>Leading indicators confirm the attractiveness of Carmilla’s shopping centres - Carmila's Q1 2024 operational performance (i.e. net rental income of € 87.4m vs € 88.8m est., +1.1% y-o-y; +4.0% at constant scope) reflects the continued positive trend of the group’s local shopping centres:Retailer sales up 2% y-o-y in Q1 2024. This performance illustrates the resilience of the retailers’ activity with an increase in sales that is close to inflation (sales +1.7% in ...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ASML : Weak order intake in Q1 (TSMC absent again, not set to be on th...

>Subdued Q1 24 orders, but this does not change the structural story, and we maintain our Outperform rating and € 1,100 target price - ASML yesterday reported better than expected Q1 24 results (EPS better, despite sales falling short), but importantly posted orders of € 3.6bn, well short of the consensus, due to TMSC’s virtual absence from the backlog this quarter (again). But the group confirmed 2024 is set to be a stable year, with H2 showing growth, but 2025 shou...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

Edenred : Q1 2024 beating estimates and reassuring on underlying growt...

>Q1 2024 revenue higher, with organic beat - Edenred has reported total Q1 2024 revenue of € 685m, 3% above forecasts (consensus at € 666m), i.e. a reported increase of 21.4%, of which +20.5% organic, +5.2% from M&A and -4.4% from the forex effect. Organic growth in operating revenues in Q1 was +16.9%, above the consensus at 14.2% (ODDO BHF 13.9%). All the regions are dynamic in organic terms, o/w Europe at +12.8% in Q1 (vs consensus +11.8%), including +7.9% in Fran...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

La Française des Jeux : Q1 2024 revenues below our expectations, with ...

>Q1 2024 revenues shy of our expectations, good momentum on games in the digital segment - FDJ reported yesterday after the close of trade Q1 2024 revenues of € 710m (+7.2% on a reported basis, i.e. close to the FY 2024 guidance of c.+8%), 6% below our estimates (ODDO BHF € 759m). In detail, lottery revenue totalled € 504m (+1.4%) and benefited from the momentum of instant games (+4%), while draw games (-3%) remained penalised by the evolution of Amigo. Stripping out ...

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