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Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

OVHcloud : Deterioration in business indicators - Situation under bett...

>Unexpected slowdown in organic sales growth in Q2 - Marked improvement in operating leverage in H1 - OVH just released its first half results (period from September 2023 – February 2024). The results came in close to expectations (EBITDA = +18% at € 184m vs ODDO/consensus = € 182m/180m) with 1/ disappointing organic sales growth (+10.8% vs ODDO/consensus = +11.5%/12.0% - slowdown in Q2 at +9.6% vs Q1 = +12.0%) and 2/ a nice surprise on the EBITDA margin (+250bp to 37...

Damien Choplain ... (+2)
  • Damien Choplain
  • Oussema Denguir

BenevolentAI : Focus on the development of partnerships and the propri...

>A reduction to the headcount of around 30% - This morning, Benevolent announced an update to its strategic road map from which we note the following key elements: 1/ the group confirms that priority is given to its research activity and the development of partnerships on its AI platform with the aim of discovering new treatments as well as advancing and developing its pipeline of proprietary assets, 2/ the abandoning of the strategic option of rolling out an activity...

Damien Choplain ... (+2)
  • Damien Choplain
  • Oussema Denguir

BenevolentAI : Focus sur le développement de partenariats et sur son p...

>Une réduction d’environ 30% des effectifs - Benevolent a communiqué ce matin une mise à jour de sa feuille de route stratégique suite à laquelle nous retenons les éléments suivants : 1/ la société a confirmé donner la priorité à son activité de recherche et de conclusion de partenariats autour de sa plateforme d’IA pour la découverte de nouveaux traitements ainsi qu’à l’avancement et au développement de son pipeline d’actifs propriétaires, 2/ l’abandon de l’option st...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

OVHcloud : Dégradation des indicateurs de business. Situation mieux so...

>Ralentissement inattendu de la croissance organique du CA au T2 - Amélioration marquée du levier opérationnel au S1 - OVH vient de publier ses résultats semestriels (période septembre 2023 – février 2024). Ils ressortent proches des attentes (EBITDA = +18% à 184 M€ vs ODDO BHF/consensus = 182/180 M€) avec 1/ une déception sur la croissance organique du CA (+10.8% vs ODDO BHF/consensus = +11.5/12.0% - ralentissement au T2 à +9.6% vs T1 = +12.0%) et 2/ une bonne surpri...

Damien Choplain ... (+2)
  • Damien Choplain
  • Martial Descoutures

Novartis : Excellent Q1 results that justify an increase in the full-y...

>Q1 beats expectations for the top line (+4%) and bottom line (+7%) - Q1 came in ahead of expectations for sales (+4% vs consensus) and core EPS (+7% vs consensus). Sales grew 11% at CER (10% reported), driven by all the flagship products: Entresto (growth of 34%, +15% vs consensus), Cosentyx (23%, 10% vs cons.), Kisqali (51%, -2% vs cons.) and Kesimpta (66%, 0% vs cons.). Note that Pluvicto (47%, -3% vs cons.) once again undershot expectations and our estimates slig...

Damien Choplain ... (+2)
  • Damien Choplain
  • Martial Descoutures

Novartis : Excellent T1 justifiant un relèvement de guidance FY

>T1 au-dessus des attentes sur la topline (+4%) et la bottom line (+7%) - Le T1 ressort au-dessus des attentes au niveau des ventes (+4% vs Css) et du core BPA (+7% vs Css). Les ventes progressent de 11% tcc (10% en publié) tirées par tous les produits phares : Entresto (34%, +15% vs Css), Cosentyx (23%, 10% vs Css), Kisqali (51%, -2% vs Css) et Kesimpta (66%, 0% vs Css). Notons que Pluvicto (47%, -3% vs Css) ressort une nouvelle fois légèrement en dessous des attente...

Baptiste Lebacq
  • Baptiste Lebacq

Saipem : Q1 2024 slightly lower than expectations

>EBIT 2% below expectations - Q1 2024 sales came in 18% higher y-o-y at € 3.05bn (in line with the FactSet consensus at € 3.06bn). EBITDA came to € 268m, or a margin of 8.8% (below consensus of € 272m), driven by offshore businesses (€ 180m from asset-based services, € 80m for offshore drilling and € 8m for energy carriers). The energy carriers division continues to be undermined by challenging contracts. All told, this division’s EBITDA margin came to 0.7%, an...

Baptiste Lebacq
  • Baptiste Lebacq

Saipem : T1 24 légèrement inférieur aux attentes

>EBIT 2% < attentes - Le CA du T1 24 ressort en hausse de 18% YoY à 3.05 Md€ (en ligne avec le consensus FactSet 3.06 Md€). L’EBITDA est de 268 M€ soit une marge de 8.8% (< consensus 272 M€) tiré par les métiers de l’offshore (180 M€ en provenance d’Asset Based Services/ 80 M€ de la branche Offshore Drilling et 8 M€ d’Energy Carriers). Pour rappel, la division Energy Carriers reste pénalisée par des contrats « difficiles). Au final, la marge d’EBITDA de cette di...

Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO : Olympic Games and Euro 2024: a limited economic impact but an o...

In the run-up to the 2024 Summer Olympic Games and Euro 2024 football tournament, we have identified six stocks to favour: JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield and easyJet. While these two major sporting events are not expected to have a significant impact on the host economies in the medium term, the microeconomic and sectoral impacts should be more marked. The tourism, transport, beverages and consumer goods sectors are expected to be the main winners. Som...

Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO : Jeux Olympiques et Euro 2024 : un impact économique limité mais...

En amont des Jeux Olympiques d’été et de l’Euro de football 2024, nous identifions 6 valeurs à privilégier  : JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield et easyJet. Alors que ces deux évènements sportifs majeurs ne devraient pas avoir d’impact significatif sur les économies hôtes à moyen terme, les impacts microéconomiques et sectoriels devraient être plus marqués. Les secteurs du tourisme, des transports, des boissons et des biens de consommation devraient être l...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/22/2024 Date Performance sin...

EPS growth prospects are brighter in the US than in Europe, which is justified given the differential in the growth and inflation outlook between the two regions. However, the adjustment that has taken place on EPS in Europe is a positive factor: we are now "at the price" ahead of the cyclical recovery that is taking shape for the rest of 2024. Sector-wise, the ongoing upward revision of EPS in travel & leisure, banks and media is expected to continue apace and provide support for sec...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 22/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

Les perspectives de croissance des BPA sont supérieures aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe, ce qui est justifié étant donné le différentiel de perspectives de croissance et d’inflation entre les deux zones. L’ajustement qui a eu lieu sur les BPA en Europe est toutefois un facteur positif : nous sommes désormais « au prix » avant la reprise cyclique qui se dessine pour la suite de 2024. Sectoriellement, la révision à la hausse en cours des BPA sur le Travel & Leisure, les banques et les Media...

Eya Hmaied ... (+2)
  • Eya Hmaied
  • Jerôme Bodin

Atresmedia : Dynamic Q1 2024 from an advertising standpoint

>Neutral rating reiterated - We give a recap on our expectations for Q1 at Atresmedia ahead of the earnings publication on 25/04 and following the annual results publication from MFE. We expect Q1 to be dynamic from the advertising standpoint in Europe and more precisely in Spain. The start of the year is positive in our view thanks to good momentum in all sectors (automotive, energy, finance, etc.). Most European broadcasters have indicated that the start to the year...

Baptiste Lebacq
  • Baptiste Lebacq

SLB : Confidence on the sustainability of the cycle = cash returns

>Outperform recommendation confirmed and target price unchanged at $ 70 - We reiterate our Outperform rating as well as our target price of $ 70 (based on an 12-mth fwd P/E multiple of 16x). In light of the publication, we have marginally adjusted our forecasts in order to factor in the acquisition of ChampionX (paid in SLB shares and just factored in for H2 2024). The deal is slightly dilutive for the first year, although it becomes accretive as of 2025.SLB wil...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

Sodexo : H1 confirms the operational progress that is underway

>An encouraging H1 2023-24 and FY 2023-24 guidance raised: operational improvement continues - On Friday after trading, Sodexo published good H1 2023-24 results, coming in 2% above expectations, with organic growth of 8.5% and an EBIT margin of 5.1% up 40bp. The performance notably benefited from strict cost controls (including central costs), the improvement in productivity and the quality of recently signed or renewed contracts. The group reported encouraging KPIs, ...

Johanna Jourdain
  • Johanna Jourdain

PLUXEE : Successful first release as a pure player

>Robust H1 2024 drives FY 24 guidance upgrade - Pluxee’s solid H2 2024 results, reported on Friday before trading, were marked by robust organic growth (operating sales at +17.4%, with +20% in Q2), which benefited from new client gains, face value improvement and solid retention. We also note a significant improvement in Pluxee’s take up rate, which came to 5.0% in H1 24 (vs 4.7% in 2023), thanks to the ramp-up of value-added services both with clients and merchants a...

Jean-François Granjon
  • Jean-François Granjon

GTT : Stellar start to the year, new CEO named, stock on our European ...

>Q1 revenues beat our expectations - GTT reported € 144.7m in Q1 revenues (€ 113.5m estimated) vs € 79.9m YoY, up 81.2%. This marks an excellent performance, reflecting delivery of the fast-growing backlog. The quarter also benefited from a favourable base effect, knowing the group saw its revenues gather pace in H2 2023. New construction revenues rose by 81.3% to € 133.1m, while sales of LNG/ethane carriers rose by 84.7% to € 122.3m. Company’s guidance a...

Eya Hmaied ... (+2)
  • Eya Hmaied
  • Jerôme Bodin

Atresmedia : Un T1 2024 dynamique d’un point de vue publicitaire

>Opinion Neutre réitérée - Nous faisons un point sur nos attentes pour le T1 d’Atresmedia en amont de la publication des résultats le 25/04 et suite à la publication des résultats annuels de MFE. Nous tablons sur un trimestre dynamique d’un point de vue publicitaire en Europe et plus précisément en Espagne. Le début d’année est, selon nous, positif, grâce à une bonne dynamique pour tous les secteurs (automobile, énergie, finance...). La majorité des diffuseurs europée...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ASM International N.V : No particular surprises to be expected from th...

>No particular surprises for the Q1 2024 earnings release - ASMi will publish its Q1 2024 results on 23/04 at 6.00pm CET and will hold a conference call on 24/04 at 3.00pm CET. We do not anticipate any surprises on either earnings or orders. The group said that it expected H1 to be stable, with Q1 and Q2 sales at € 600-640m. We therefore look for Q1 sales of € 625m, a gross margin of 48.8% and EPS of € 2.70. The consensus is close at € 628m, 48.3% and € 2.73, respect...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ASM International N.V : Pas de surprise particulière à attendre sur ce...

>Pas de surprise particulière à la publication du T1 24, - ASMi publiera ses résultats T1 24 le 23/04 à 18h00 CET et tiendra une conférence call le 24/04 à 15h00 CET. Nous n’attendons pas de surprise, ni sur les résultats, ni sur les commandes. Le groupe avait indiqué anticiper un S1 stable, avec un CA T1 et T2 à 600/640 M€. Nous tablons donc sur un CA T1 de 625 M€, une MB de 48,8% et un BPA de 2,70 €. Le consensus est proche à respectivement 628 M€, 48,3% et 2,73€. ...

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