reports
- Arnaud Autier
- Pierre Tegner
Pernod Ricard : Q3 2023/24 sales: still no return to growth
>Neutral rating maintained with an unchanged target price of € 150 - We are maintaining our Neutral rating on Pernod Ricard, with an unchanged target price of € 150. Although the group’s valuation is currently attractive in both absolute and relative terms, uncertainties over the timing of the group’s return to growth are weighing on its share price. Investor sentiment on the stock is likely to remain tepid as long as there are no tangible signs of recovery. As it hap...
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
Metso : Reassuring Q1 orders but results are below expectations
>Q1 2024: orders down -6%, sales down -7%, adjusted EBITA margin of 16.5% - Metso this morning reported Q1 2024 results that were 7% below expectations at adjusted EBITA level. Order intake was € 1,361m (consensus € 1,361), down -6% on an organic basis (consensus -5.8%). Orders were up sequentially in both divisions with improved market activity in Aggregates (driven by the US) and in Minerals (Services). Sales were down -7% (consensus -2.4%) on an organic b...
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
Metso : Reassuring Q1 orders but results are below expectations
>Q1 2024: orders down -6%, sales down -7%, adjusted EBITA margin of 16.5% - Metso this morning reported Q1 2024 results that were 7% below expectations at adjusted EBITA level. Order intake was € 1,361m (consensus € 1,361), down -6% on an organic basis (consensus -5.8%). Orders were up sequentially in both divisions with improved market activity in Aggregates (driven by the US) and in Minerals (Services). Sales were down -7% (consensus -2.4%) on an organic b...
- Anis Zgaya
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
Befesa : Q1 in line and 2024 guidance slightly cautious
>Q1 results in line at EBITDA level - This morning, Befesa published its Q1 results, which were in line with consensus expectations. Thegroup's revenue was € 298m, down 7%. EBITDA was € 49m, -3% y-o-y and in line with the company-compiled consensus at € 48m and ODDO BHF and FactSet consensus at € 50m. Net profit came in at € 9.5m below the FactSet consensus forecast at € 14m, due to higher financial interests and higher depreciations than expected. The group's p...
- Pierre Tegner
Unilever PLC : A good, high quality start to the year: +2.2% volume/mi...
>Q1 sales 2% above expectations - Q1 sales at € 14,963m were up +1.4% (vs cons. at -0.7%) with a forex effect of -2% (vs css at -3% ), a scope impact of -0.9% and organic growth of 4.4% vs the consensus at 2.9%.The outlook for 2024 is confirmed with 3% to 5% l-f-l, moderate margin improvement. The CEO highlighted increasing confidence in accelerating gross margin expansion and delivering sustained volume growth and a positive mix. On ice cream and the sepa...
- Anis Zgaya
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
La Française de l'Energie : Q3 sales below our estimate, 2024 estimate...
>Q3 2024 sales lower than expected - Yesterday evening La Française de l’Energie reported revenue for Q3 2023-2024 (January to March) which came to € 9.2m, below our estimate of € 10.5m. Revenue fell 11.5% vs Q3 2022-2023 and was in line with Q2 2024 (€ 9.5m). By business, electricity revenue came to € 5.8m, down 13% vs Q3 2023 (€ 6.7m) hurt by lower prices that were partly offset by volume growth. Gas revenue reached € 2.7m vs € 3.2m in Q3 2023 and € 3m in Q2 2024, a...
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
Atlas Copco : Very good start to the year, positive signs for semicond...
>Q1 2024: order intake beat expectations by 9% - Yesterday Atlas Copco reported Q1 2024 results (see table page 2).Order intake was down 4% LFL yoy (consensus -12.7%) but beat the consensus by 9% (Compressor Technique -1% LFL vs the consensus estimate of -12.9%).Organic revenue growth reached 7% (consensus: 5.6%) of which 8% for Compressor Technique, 9% for Power Technique, and 19% for Industrial Technique, with volumes that we estimate were up in all divis...
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
Interparfums : CA T1 2024 flat en raison des effets de base – Pas de c...
>CA T1 étale, à taux constants - Le CA T1 ressort à 212,7 M€, soit -1 % et +0% à tcc., légèrement sous notre attente.Montblanc et Jimmy Choo (46% du CA) sont en baisse respectivement de 6% et 24% alors que Coach (22% du CA) affiche une légère hausse (+3%). Les autres marques sont en recul.Les zones Amérique du Sud, Asie, France et Europe de l’Ouest (soit 55% du CA) sont en hausse, les autres (Amérique du Nord, Europe de l’Est, Afrique, Moyen Orient) sont en...
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
Schneider Electric : Q1 sales slightly ahead of expectations, which ha...
>Q1 sales: +5.3% in organic terms (vs css at 4.5%) - Schneider Electric this morning reported Q1 sales of € 8.606bn, up 1.3% in reported terms. Organic growth came to 5.3% (ODDO BHF 3.7%, consensus 4.5%).The gap widened further in terms of divisional performances, with the Energy Management division continuing to see strong growth (+8.9% in organic terms), while the Industrial Automation division posted a decline of 6.6% in organic terms, the first quarter of ne...
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Gerardo Ibanez
AEDAS Homes : Trading update: Solid expected figures ahead of FY2023/2...
>Solid expected figures ahead of our estimates - This morning, Aedas published this morning a trading update ahead of the FY 2023/24 to be reported on the 29th May. The company provided some of the main milestones achieved during the year as well as some of the main financial metrics expectations for the fiscal year showing strong figures ahead of our expectations. In todays press release, we highlight the following:Revenues to exceed €1.1bn in FY23/24, record ye...
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
Vossloh AG : A good start to the year allowing the group to confirm gu...
>Q1 2024: sales up 5% and EBIT margin of 6.7% (+120bp) - Vossloh has reported this morning Q1 2024 results ahead of forecasts at the EBIT level.The order intake totalled € 350m (+2% vs Q1 2023) with strong orders in the US (Class I and Amtrak) and for Lifecycle Solutions (China and Northern Europe).Sales came to € 269m (consensus € 265m), up 5%. Note the stability of Core Components sales and a small increase in sales in Customized Modules (driven by France ...
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
Vossloh AG : Le bon début d’année permet de confirmer la guidance
>T1 2024 : CA en hausse de 5% et marge d’EBIT de 6.7% (+120 pb) - Vossloh a publié ce matin des résultats T1 2024 supérieurs aux attentes au niveau de l’EBIT.Les prises de commandes atteignent 350 M€ (+2% vs T1 2023) avec de fortes commandes aux Etats-Unis (Class I et Amtrak) et pour Lifecycle Solutions (Chine et Europe du Nord).Le chiffre d’affaires atteint 269 M€ (consensus à 265 M€), en croissance de 5%. Notons une stabilité de l’activité pour Core Compon...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
Voltalia : Q1 2024 sales broadly in line and guidance for 2024 and 202...
>Neutral rating and target price of € 7.70 maintained - Q1 2024 sales were broadly in line with our estimates (€ 111.1m vs € 100.4m) buoyed by an increase in installed capacity (+47% vs Q1 2023) partly offset by low resources in wind in Brazil (utilisation rate of 27% vs 40%). The EBITDA target for around € 255m, of which some € 230m stemming from energy sales in 2024, has once again been confirmed. We maintain our Neutral rating and our target price of € 7.70, still ...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
Voltalia : CA T1 24 globalement en ligne et guidances 2024 et 2027 réa...
>Opinion Neutre et OC 7.70 € maintenus - Le chiffre d’affaires du T1 24 est ressorti globalement en ligne avec nos attentes (111.1 M€ vs 100.4 M€) porté par les capacités installées en croissance (+47% vs T1 23) en partie compensées par une faiblesse des ressources dans l’éolien brésilien (taux d’utilisation de 27% vs 40%). L’objectif d’EBITDA d’environ 255 M€, dont autour de 230 M€ provenant des ventes d’énergie en 2024, a été confirmé à nouveau. Notre recommandation...
- Pierre Tegner
Nestle : Very bad start to the year with 1.4% l-f-l only and -2% volum...
>Q1 sales at -5.9% with organic growth of just +1.4% - Nestlé posted very poor Q1 results well below expectations which had been already lowered during the last 4 weeks. Reported net sales came in at CHF 22,092m at -5.9% (VA consensus at -3.8% and ODDO BHF at -3.2%) with FX at -6.7%, a scope effect of -0.6% and organic growth at a very low level of +1.4% (VA css at +3.1% and ODDO BHF at +2.6%). Q1 organic growth of just +1.4% was driven by a negative volume mix ...
- Pierre Tegner
Nestlé : Very bad start to the year with 1.4% l-f-l only and -2% volum...
>Q1 sales at -5.9% with organic growth of just +1.4% - Nestlé posted very poor Q1 results well below expectations which had been already lowered during the last 4 weeks. Reported net sales came in at CHF 22,092m at -5.9% (VA consensus at -3.8% and ODDO BHF at -3.2%) with FX at -6.7%, a scope effect of -0.6% and organic growth at a very low level of +1.4% (VA css at +3.1% and ODDO BHF at +2.6%). Q1 organic growth of just +1.4% was driven by a negative volume mix ...
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
Schneider Electric : CA T1 2024 un peu au-dessus des attentes, qui s’é...
>CA T1 : +5.3% en organique (vs css à 4.5%) - Schneider Electric a publié ce matin un chiffre d’affaires T1 à 8 606 M€, en progression de 1.3% en publié. La croissance organique affiche une hausse de 5.3% (ODDO BHF 3.7%, css 4.5%).L’écart s’est encore creusé en termes de performance, avec une division Energy Management qui reste en forte croissance (+8.9% en organique), tandis que la divison Industrial Automation affiche un recul de 6.6% en organique, 1er trimes...
- Anis Zgaya
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
La Française de l'Energie : CA T3 au-dessous de nos attentes et révisi...
>CA T3 2024 au-dessous de nos attentes - La Française de l’Energie a publié hier soir son CA T3 23/24 (de janvier à mars). Celui-ci est ressorti à 9.2 M€, en dessous de nos attentes à 10,5 M€, en baisse de 11.5% par rapport au T3 22/23 et en ligne par rapport au T2 2024 (9.5 M€). Par activité, le CA électricité est ressorti à 5.8 M€ en baisse de 13% par rapport au T3 2023 (6.7 M€) impacté par la baisse des prix en partie compensée par la croissance des volumes. Le C...
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
Ipsen : Feedback from Q1 2024 webcast
>Slower growth over the coming quarters? - Highlights from yesterday’s meeting:1/ Q1 was a good quarter, but growth in Q1 (+13% cc) seems unlikely to be extrapolated: i/ new generic versions of Somatuline are set to reach Europe and North America in H2 2024/early 2025, ii/ Cabometyx benefited from a cut-off effect, resulting in a favourable cumulative impact of =€ 20me in Q1.Management remains optimistic about Dysport (market share gains and indication exten...
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
Argan SA : L’attractivité de la société se voit renforcée par le succè...
>La société augmente avec succès son capital de 150 M€ (i.e. 8.7% du capital) …. - Argan a annoncé hier matin avoir réalisé avec succès une augmentation de capital de 150 M€ sous forme d’ABB. 2 027 028 nouvelles actions ont ainsi pu être émises, soit 8.7% du capital avant augmentation du capital à un prix de souscription de 74 € représentant une décote de c.6% par rapport au cours du 23 avril et à l’EPRA NTA / action à fin 2023 de 79.2 €. Nous comprenons que cette aug...
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