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Matthias Desmarais
  • Matthias Desmarais
Matthias Desmarais
  • Matthias Desmarais
Pierre Tegner
  • Pierre Tegner

L'Oreal : Very robust Q1 wrong-foots recent caution

>Q1 set to go down well on two counts. Target price upgraded to € 416 – Neutral rating maintained on a very high-quality stock - We maintain our Neutral rating on a very high-quality stock, with a higher target price of € 416. The major surprise in Q1 in organic terms is likely to be well received on two counts; a cautious stance had been adopted over the last few weeks given the marked slowdown in the beauty market and L’Oréal’s Q1 clearly beat expectations, with org...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Schneider Electric : Schneider Electric reportedly interested in Bentl...

>Bentley Systems, software company, reportedly been approached by Schneider - According to the WSJ, Schneider Electric is in talks to acquire a controlling stake in the software engineering company Bentley Systems. Cadence Design Systems is apparently also interested.Bentley Systems has set up a special committee of its board of directors to study the options open to it, including the sale of the company or the creation of a JV.Siemens, which has formed seve...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

Ipsos : Start to the year held back by the US-Stock removed from Midca...

>Mixed organic growth in Q1 on a favourable comparison base - Disappointment in the US - Ipsos published yesterday evening its Q1 2024 revenue figures. They came in at € 558m, in line with expectations (ODDO-BHF/consensus = € 555-559m). Organic growth was mixed (4.5% vs ODDO-BHF/consensus = 5.2-5%), accelerating relative to 2023 (+3.0%) but on a favourable comparison base (Q1 2023 = -2.8%).The Americas were hit by an unexpected decline (-3.2% - 2023 = +1.7%) due ...

Pierre Tegner
  • Pierre Tegner

L'Oréal : Un T1 très dynamique qui prend à contre-pied la prudence réc...

>Un T1 qui devrait être doublement bien accueilli. OC relevé à 416 €- Neutre maintenu sur une valeur de très grande qualité - Neutre maintenu sur une valeur de très grande qualité avec un OC relevé à 416 €. La très forte surprise du T1 en organique devrait être doublement bien accueillie ; la prudence était de mise depuis quelques semaines vis-à-vis d’un fort ralentissement du marché de la beauté et le T1 de L’Oréal ressort clairement au-dessus des attentes avec une c...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

Ipsos : Un début d’année freiné par les US – Sortie de la liste de Con...

>Croissance organique mitigée au T1 au regard d’une base de comparaison favorable – Déception aux US - Ipsos a publié hier soir son CA au titre du T1 2024. Il s’établit à 558 M€, un niveau en ligne avec les attentes (ODDO BHF/consensus = 555/559 M€). La croissance organique est mitigée (+4.5% vs ODDO BHF/consensus = +5.2/+5%), en accélération par rapport à 2023 (+3.0%) mais à partir d’une base de comparaison favorable (rappel T1 2023 = -2.8%).La zone Amériques af...

Maissa Keskes ... (+2)
  • Maissa Keskes
  • Stephane Houri

Nokia : Q1 marks the low point, but limited visibility on the pace of ...

>Neutral rating maintained – target price € 3 - Following the publication of Nokia's Q1 2024 results, we have added a downward revision of 4% for EPS forecasts for 2024/2025, but left our target price unchanged at € 3.0. As a result, we reiterate our Neutral recommendation. Despite continued pressure on the telecom equipment market, management was keen to reassure, underlining that Q1 marked the low point with the anticipation of a recovery as of H2 2024. Proof of thi...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Schneider Electric : Schneider Electric serait intéressé par Bentley S...

>Bentley Systems, société de software, aurait été approchée par Schneider - Selon le WSJ, Schneider Electric est en pourparlers pour prendre le contrôle de la société de logiciels d'ingénierie Bentley Systems. Cadence Design Systems est également intéressé.Bentley Systems a constitué un comité spécial de son conseil d'administration afin d'étudier les options qui s'offrent à lui, notamment la vente de l'entreprise ou la création d’une JV.A noter que Siemens,...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Veolia : Surfin’ USA

>A front-ranking position in water and waste in the US - Following its presentation geared towards energy, the group unveiled the second stage, dedicated to its operations in the US. Out of its € 45bn of consolidated sales, the US contributes 11%, with € 5.2bn. Veolia’s US business revolves largely around water (66%) and waste (25%), with a focus on hazardous waste. In detail, the main contributor to sales is the water technology division (32% of sales). This supplies...

Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

Michelin : March volumes weaker as expected, but not worse

>Weak March volumes data already largely flagged, April looking better - Overall, weak volumes were largely expected last month, notably because of the lower number of working days (up to 2 days less) and high comps. It has also been flagged by Continental earlier this week but the German tyre maker however added that April was looking considerably stronger. Regarding Michelin, and as we also expect some weakness in specialty, we aim for volumes down 4.2% in Q1 (vs c...

Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

Michelin : March volumes weaker as expected, but not worse

>Weak March volumes data already largely flagged, April looking better - Overall, weak volumes were largely expected last month, notably because of the lower number of working days (up to 2 days less) and high comps. It has also been flagged by Continental earlier this week but the German tyre maker however added that April was looking considerably stronger. Regarding Michelin, and as we also expect some weakness in specialty, we aim for volumes down 4.2% in Q1 (vs c...

Maissa Keskes ... (+2)
  • Maissa Keskes
  • Stephane Houri

Nokia : Le T1 est le point bas, mais visibilité limitée sur le rythme ...

>Opinion Neutre maintenue, OC 3 € - Suite à la publication des résultats T1 24 de Nokia, nous en ajustons en baisse de 4% nos BPA sur 2024/2025, mais laissons notre OC inchangé à 3.0 €. Nous réitérons par conséquent notre opinion Neutre. Malgré un marché des équipementiers télécoms toujours sous pression, le management s’est voulu rassurant en soulignant que le T1 était le point bas et en anticipant une reprise à partir du S2 24. Pour preuve, la reprise des commandes ...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

Amundi : Anticipated continuation of the Q4 2023 trend in Q1 2024

>A 2.2% increase in assets under management in Q1 - Amundi is due to publish its Q1 2024 net income on 26 April. We forecast assets under management of € 2,081bn at end-March (up 2.2% vs end-2023 and a 7.6% increase vs end-March 2023). Our estimate is just below the consensus (€ 2,088bn), due to our slightly more cautious forecast for inflows in the institutional clients segment. Our forecast corresponds to an average amount of assets under management excluding JV of...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Schindler Holding Ltd : A solid Q1, despite the continued deterioratio...

>A good Q1 2024 overall, with an EBIT margin above expectations at 10.9% - Yesterday morning, Schindler Q1 2024 results a shade above expectations (see our First Take published Thursday, 18 April), mainly thanks to the mix and pricing, both favourable to the margin. The order intake reflected a 2.5% increase at constant currency (cc), slightly below expectations (consensus at +4%). Revenues were up 1.1% at cc, also a shade below expectations (consensus at +2.9%). How...

Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert

Mercialys : Continued resilient operational momentum in Q1 2024

>Favourable momentum on retailer sales at +3.3% y-o-y for Q1 2024 and modest rental activity - Mercialys has posted rental income of € 45.5m (€ 45.8m est.) for Q1 2024, i.e. +4.5% at current scope and +4.6% at constant scope reflecting favourable momentum despite the context linked to the future transfer of Casino hypermarkets:Retailer sales excluding hypermarkets up +.3% y-o-y: this figure reflects solid growth in March at +6.1% after -1.5% in January +0.8% in ...

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