reports
- Emmanuel Matot
- Emmanuel Matot
- Jerôme Bodin
MFE B shares : Une bonne dynamique publicitaire sur le T1 en Italie et...
>Opinion Sous-performance réitérée - MFE a publié hier ses résultats annuels 2023 ressortis supérieurs à nos attentes avec un EBIT de 302 M€ contre 288 M€ attendus. La principale différence avec nos attentes provient d’une bonne maitrise des coûts. Rappelons le groupe avait déjà donné des indications sur la tendance publicitaire donc sans surprise, la tendance publicitaire est ressortie à +2,1% pour 2023 ce qui fait ressortir un T4 en hausse de 8%. La dynamique public...
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
Rheinmetall AG : Q1 2024 in the end set to be more in line with tradit...
>Q1 in the end more in line with traditional seasonality - In a group pre-class call, the company indicated the seasonal pattern would in the end be fairly consistent with that of previous years, with Q4 potentially accounting for around 35% of FY 24 sales. The deferral of around € 0.4bn of sales from FY 23 to FY 24 will be only partially delivered in Q1 (c € 0.1bn est.), with the remainder of the truck deliveries expected more later in the year. We forecast sales of ...
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
Schneider Electric : Schneider Electric reportedly interested in Bentl...
>Bentley Systems, software company, reportedly been approached by Schneider - According to the WSJ, Schneider Electric is in talks to acquire a controlling stake in the software engineering company Bentley Systems. Cadence Design Systems is apparently also interested.Bentley Systems has set up a special committee of its board of directors to study the options open to it, including the sale of the company or the creation of a JV.Siemens, which has formed seve...
- Emmanuel Matot
Ipsos : Start to the year held back by the US-Stock removed from Midca...
>Mixed organic growth in Q1 on a favourable comparison base - Disappointment in the US - Ipsos published yesterday evening its Q1 2024 revenue figures. They came in at € 558m, in line with expectations (ODDO-BHF/consensus = € 555-559m). Organic growth was mixed (4.5% vs ODDO-BHF/consensus = 5.2-5%), accelerating relative to 2023 (+3.0%) but on a favourable comparison base (Q1 2023 = -2.8%).The Americas were hit by an unexpected decline (-3.2% - 2023 = +1.7%) due ...
- Jerôme Bodin
MFE B shares : Good advertising momentum in Q1 and in Italy and in Spa...
>Underperform recommendation reiterated - MFE released FY 2023 results ahead of our expectations, with EBIT of € 302m vs € 288m forecast. The main difference with our expectations comes from the tight control of costs. Note that the group had already provided some indication of the advertising trend, so it comes as no surprise that the advertising trend for 2023 was +2.1%, giving Q4 growth of 8%. Advertising momentum was therefore particularly brisk in 2023, thanks ma...
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
easyJet : Favourable trends for the summer
>Solid pricing which should continue over the summer - The publication of H1 results which topped expectations, with an operating loss limited to between £ 340m and £360m, compared with a consensus expectation of -£ 407m, is explained by tight control of costs and above all by solid pricing. In Q2, easyJet posted an 8.5% increase in passenger RPS y-o-y and a 7.5% increase in ancillary unit revenues y-o-y. This performance was due notably to the contribution made by t...
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
easyJet : Un été bien orienté
>Un pricing solide qui devrait se poursuivre sur l’été - La publication d’un S1 au-delà des attentes avec une perte opérationnelle limitée entre 340 et 360 M£ contre une attente du consensus à -407M£ s’explique par une bonne tenue des coûts mais surtout par un pricing solide. Sur le T2, easyJet a affiché un RPS passager en hausse de 8.5% yoy et une progression des recettes unitaires auxiliaires de 7.5% yoy. Cette performance est liée notamment à la contribution du WE...
- Emmanuel Matot
Ipsos : Un début d’année freiné par les US – Sortie de la liste de Con...
>Croissance organique mitigée au T1 au regard d’une base de comparaison favorable – Déception aux US - Ipsos a publié hier soir son CA au titre du T1 2024. Il s’établit à 558 M€, un niveau en ligne avec les attentes (ODDO BHF/consensus = 555/559 M€). La croissance organique est mitigée (+4.5% vs ODDO BHF/consensus = +5.2/+5%), en accélération par rapport à 2023 (+3.0%) mais à partir d’une base de comparaison favorable (rappel T1 2023 = -2.8%).La zone Amériques af...
- Baptiste Salaville
- Johanna Jourdain
PLUXEE : H1 beats estimates, FY 2023-24 guidance upgraded
>Solid H1 results above consensus with beat on EBITDA - Pluxee has reported total H1 2023-24 sales of € 593m, up 22% and 1% above the consensus. This represents organic growth for total revenue of 24% (Q1 at +19.7% and thus Q2 at +25.7%) which is above the consensus at +18.3% (ODDO BHF 19.7%e). In particular, organic growth of operating revenue (i.e. excluding revenue from float) is at 17.4% for H1, significantly above consensus at 13.0%, suggesting +20% in Q2 which b...
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
Schneider Electric : Schneider Electric serait intéressé par Bentley S...
>Bentley Systems, société de software, aurait été approchée par Schneider - Selon le WSJ, Schneider Electric est en pourparlers pour prendre le contrôle de la société de logiciels d'ingénierie Bentley Systems. Cadence Design Systems est également intéressé.Bentley Systems a constitué un comité spécial de son conseil d'administration afin d'étudier les options qui s'offrent à lui, notamment la vente de l'entreprise ou la création d’une JV.A noter que Siemens,...
- Anthony Dick
- Michael Foundoukidis
Michelin : March volumes weaker as expected, but not worse
>Weak March volumes data already largely flagged, April looking better - Overall, weak volumes were largely expected last month, notably because of the lower number of working days (up to 2 days less) and high comps. It has also been flagged by Continental earlier this week but the German tyre maker however added that April was looking considerably stronger. Regarding Michelin, and as we also expect some weakness in specialty, we aim for volumes down 4.2% in Q1 (vs c...
- Baptiste Salaville
- Johanna Jourdain
PLUXEE : H1 beats estimates, FY 2023-24 guidance upgraded
>Solid H1 results above consensus with beat on EBITDA - Pluxee has reported total H1 2023-24 sales of € 593m, up 22% and 1% above the consensus. This represents organic growth for total revenue of 24% (Q1 at +19.7% and thus Q2 at +25.7%) which is above the consensus at +18.3% (ODDO BHF 19.7%e). In particular, organic growth of operating revenue (i.e. excluding revenue from float) is at 17.4% for H1, significantly above consensus at 13.0%, suggesting +20% in Q2 which b...
- Anthony Dick
- Michael Foundoukidis
Michelin : March volumes weaker as expected, but not worse
>Weak March volumes data already largely flagged, April looking better - Overall, weak volumes were largely expected last month, notably because of the lower number of working days (up to 2 days less) and high comps. It has also been flagged by Continental earlier this week but the German tyre maker however added that April was looking considerably stronger. Regarding Michelin, and as we also expect some weakness in specialty, we aim for volumes down 4.2% in Q1 (vs c...
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
Amundi : Anticipated continuation of the Q4 2023 trend in Q1 2024
>A 2.2% increase in assets under management in Q1 - Amundi is due to publish its Q1 2024 net income on 26 April. We forecast assets under management of € 2,081bn at end-March (up 2.2% vs end-2023 and a 7.6% increase vs end-March 2023). Our estimate is just below the consensus (€ 2,088bn), due to our slightly more cautious forecast for inflows in the institutional clients segment. Our forecast corresponds to an average amount of assets under management excluding JV of...
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
Schindler Holding Ltd : A solid Q1, despite the continued deterioratio...
>A good Q1 2024 overall, with an EBIT margin above expectations at 10.9% - Yesterday morning, Schindler Q1 2024 results a shade above expectations (see our First Take published Thursday, 18 April), mainly thanks to the mix and pricing, both favourable to the margin. The order intake reflected a 2.5% increase at constant currency (cc), slightly below expectations (consensus at +4%). Revenues were up 1.1% at cc, also a shade below expectations (consensus at +2.9%). How...
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
Mercialys : Continued resilient operational momentum in Q1 2024
>Favourable momentum on retailer sales at +3.3% y-o-y for Q1 2024 and modest rental activity - Mercialys has posted rental income of € 45.5m (€ 45.8m est.) for Q1 2024, i.e. +4.5% at current scope and +4.6% at constant scope reflecting favourable momentum despite the context linked to the future transfer of Casino hypermarkets:Retailer sales excluding hypermarkets up +.3% y-o-y: this figure reflects solid growth in March at +6.1% after -1.5% in January +0.8% in ...
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