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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OTKAR TI; OPL PW; TEN PW; HUG PW; GEKTERNA GA; CEZ CP; GEV...

HEADLINES: • Otokar: Romania selects Otokar for its giant military vehicle project POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: UKE has launched the 700/800MHz auction NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: 3Q24 bookings up 6% qoq POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: 3Q24 bookings down 7% qoq NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: takes over the Attiki Odos road concession, all eyes now on Egnatia POSITIVE • CEZ: has reportedly contracted an order for a 70MW PV plant POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: higher corporate tax rate approved by the government NEGATIVE •...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CCC PW (stays BUY); TXT PW; DOM PW; MIL PW; Poland macro; ...

HEADLINES: • CCC: Shaq attaq (stays BUY) • Text: 2Q24-25 (calendar 3Q24) preliminary results - MRR of USD 7.04m (-0.4% qoq, +8.8% yoy) NEGATIVE • Dom Development: strong sales performance in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to set aside PLN 470m of FX mortgage provisions in 3Q24E, cost of credit holidays lower NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP extends the pause • GEVORKYAN: EUR 31m long-term contract in the defence industry xx POSITIVE • Cimsa: completes the acquisition of Mannok DAC POSITIVE • Dino P...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Greece rebounds, elsewhere mostly ...

EME Equity Market - September 2024 EME indices mostly in the red in September; rebound in Greece. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 2.0% in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms in September. The Greek ASE Index was the best performer in our region, advancing 1.4% mom in EUR terms. Muted performances were seen in Czechia and Hungary (+0.3% and +0.2% mom, respectively in EUR terms), with declines in Poland, Romania and Turkey (-3.6%, -2.9% and -1.5% mom, respectively in EUR terms).

BRE MBANK SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
KLKIM VERCOM SA
SHO KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
4071 SHOPER SA
TRESTATES ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
GEV TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
NOVAL GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR NOVAL PROPERTY
BANK OF CYPRUS
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MCOVB SS (BUY – initiation of coverage); HTO GA (upgrade t...

HEADLINES: • Medicover: private healthcare pioneer keeps on rolling (BUY - initiation of coverage) • OTE: safe dividend play (upgraded to BUY) • National Bank of Greece: HFSF launches the sale of a 10% stake in NBG NEUTRAL • PCF Group: 2Q24 results in negative territory, below our expectations NEGATIVE • mBank: issues traditional profit warning related to the CHF mortgage saga, ahead of 3Q24E results NEUTRAL • InPost: 4.9% price hike for Allegro NEUTRAL • Allegro: introduction of spirits from 21...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: 11B PW (downgraded to HOLD); LAMDA GA (stays BUY); GE macr...

HEADLINES: • 11 bit studios: risk profile increased materially (downgraded to HOLD) • Lamda Development: breaking ground (stays BUY) • Georgia macro: important elections approaching • CTP: 2024 CMD, the demand led growth continues • NEPI Rockcastle: buys Magnolia Park in Wroclaw for EUR 373m POSITIVE • PZU: has paid more than PLN 111m of claims related to floods, and serviced 70% of filed cases so far POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: incoming CEO talks to Forbes • 11 bit studios: interview with the CEO on...

Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

EM issuance continued at a healthy pace this week, while the macro backdrop continues to point to further monetary easing in developed markets. We expect a slowing in the pace of supply to act as a technical tailwind, keeping spreads well anchored into the end of the year.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; GEKTERNA GA; BELA GA; LPP PW; PEO PW; CPS PW; MB...

HEADLINES: • BIM: weak results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • GEK Terna: 1H24 EBITDA climbs 7%, to EUR 269m, as broadly expected NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H24 results in line, EGM approves share buyback plan NEUTRAL • LPP: key takeaways from the 2Q24 results call POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: appoints Marcin Zygmanowicz and dismisses Magdalena Zmitrowicz from the management board NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Solorz announces plans to dismiss his children from the company NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: signs new PLN 12.2m contract for “e...

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Commerzbank state of play, mBank green senior pref, Credit...

Commerzbank spreads head wider as tensions mount between UniCredit and German government. mBank takes a different route with a new green preferred senior. Crédit Agricole comes with a new US$ AT1 to keep layers efficient. La Banque Postale makes its annual recurrence in senior non-pref. The ECB published its banking statistics for 2Q24

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Commerzbank state of play, mBank green senior pref, Credit...

Commerzbank spreads head wider as tensions mount between UniCredit and German government. mBank takes a different route with a new green preferred senior. Crédit Agricole comes with a new US$ AT1 to keep layers efficient. La Banque Postale makes its annual recurrence in senior non-pref. The ECB published its banking statistics for 2Q24.

MBank S.A.: 1 director

A director at MBank S.A. sold 451 shares at 666.245PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...

Adrian Kowollik
  • Adrian Kowollik

Update on Warimpex Finanz- und Beteiligungs AG

Warimpex is an Austrian real estate company with office buildings and hotels in Poland, Germany, Hungary and Russia.

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Bank Millennium's green bail-in senior bond, KBC AT1, UniC...

Bank Millennium adds to Polish non-preferred senior supply with a new green 5NC4 bond. Net capital impact of KBC's AT1 transactions slightly positive for now. UniCredit Bank Czech Republic and Slovakia's new covered

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Bank Millennium's green bail-in senior bond, KBC AT1, UniC...

Bank Millennium adds to Polish non-preferred senior supply with a new green 5NC4 bond. Net capital impact of KBC's AT1 transactions slightly positive for now. UniCredit Bank Czech Republic and Slovakia's new covered

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ALARABIA AB; NOVAL GA; MOH GA; CAR PW; LAMDA GA; MBK PW; C...

HEADLINES: • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: waiting for better times (downgraded to HOLD) • Noval Property: 1H24 – recurring results in line with our estimates NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: fire at refinery NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: another land plot sales tranche, to lift NAV by 6% POSITIVE • mBank: UniCredit seeks regulator's approval to reach 30% stake in Commerzbank • CTP: raises EUR 300m through an ABB, at EUR 16.0/share • 11...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: WPL PW; ASELS TI; CAR PW; CAR PW; PCF PW; SPL PW; KAP LI

HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: WP boosts media margins (stays BUY) • Aselsan: 2Q24 IAS 29 results – strong execution POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 2Q24 EBITDA 10% above our forecast and 5% above the consensus, on higher margin POSITIVE • Inter Cars: August sales growth at 8% yoy, in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: new work-for-hire agreement with Krafton; PLN 7m write-off on Project Red POSITIVE • Santander Bank Polska: strategic investor wants to reduce its stake • Kazatomprom: obtains...

Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • Maureen Schuller

CEE bank bonds/Outperforming with a good case for more

The lower supply pressure and turning interest rate cycle have helped CEE bank bonds outperform this year, particularly in the unsecured segment. The relative value metrics of CEE bank bonds remain enticing though versus European comparables, from a bank fundamental and instrument rating angle. We expect to see a further outperformance of CEE names.

Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • Maureen Schuller

CEE bank bonds/Outperforming with a good case for more

The lower supply pressure and turning interest rate cycle have helped CEE bank bonds outperform this year, particularly in the unsecured segment. The relative value metrics of CEE bank bonds remain enticing though versus European comparables, from a bank fundamental and instrument rating angle. We expect to see a further outperformance of CEE names.

CEZ: 4 directors

Four Directors at CEZ sold 25,000 shares at between 855.600CZK and 862.290CZK. The significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ...

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Deutsche Bank settles, RBI‘s Russian troubles, PKO Bank's ...

Deutsche Bank reaches another settlement on Postbank. Russian court sets a transfer ban on RBI's Russian subsidiary shares. PKO Bank's green senior versus the KNF's long-term financing ratio

Maureen Schuller ... (+2)
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Deutsche Bank settles, RBI‘s Russian troubles, PKO Bank's ...

Deutsche Bank reaches another settlement on Postbank. Russian court sets a transfer ban on RBI's Russian subsidiary shares. PKO Bank's green senior versus the KNF's long-term financing ratio

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