Credit markets are overstating ROST's credit risk with a YTW of 5.568% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.822% and an Intrinsic CDS of 43bps Meanwhile, Incentive Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly negative signals for creditors. As a positive, all management members are material owners of ROST equity relative to their annual compensation, indicating they may be well-aligned with shareholders to pursue long-term value creation for the company. Earnings Call Forensics™ analysis of the f...
Credit markets are slightly overstating ROST's credit risk with a YTW of 5.922% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 5.199% and an Intrinsic CDS of 48bps. Meanwhile, Moody's is overstating the company's fundamental credit risk, with its investment-grade A2 credit rating two notches higher than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating. That said, Incentive Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly negative signals for creditors. As a positive, all management members are material owners of ROST equity rel...
Credit markets are slightly overstating ROST's credit risk with a YTW of 5.238% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.548% and an Intrinsic CDS of 69bps. That said, Incentive Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly negative signals for creditors. As a positive, all management members are material owners of ROST equity relative to their annual compensation indicating they may be aligned with shareholders to pursue long-term value creation for the company. Earnings Call Forensics™ analysis of t...
Rally Continues Following Breaks in USD & 10-Yr Yield Our Russell 2000 (IWM) and S&P 500 targets for this rally have been the 200-day MAs, coinciding with YTD downtrends. The Russell already hit this target while the S&P is closing in, less than 1% away. Still, the vast majority of signals point to further upside ahead for the market indexes. These same signals also suggest a possible end to this bear market, something that we have said would be the case if the IWM and S&P 500 can break above (...
LPL Financial (LPLA) has created a powerful platform to empower independent and smaller scale wealth advisors to compete with the big players like Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley. Uniform Accounting highlights the company's operational improvements that the market is missing, indicating equity upside. LPL has reformulated the value proposition of being an independent RIA with its asset-light advisor platform. Uniform ROA has expanded to new peaks above 20%, which is sustainable going forwa...
Ross Stores (ROST) currently trades below corporate but near historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with an 18.0x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E'). At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to compress to 14%, accompanied by 5% Uniform asset growth. Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to remain stable at 18% in 2024, accompanied by 4% Uniform asset growth. If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $120, representing 32% equity...
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