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Ken Lee
  • Ken Lee

Geely Auto (175 HK): 2023: Results beat on margins again; upgrade to B...

Geely’s 2023 core net profit came in above estimates at Rmb5,693m (+74% yoy). The earnings beat lies in ASP and margins. Looking ahead, we expect Geely’s margin to be underpinned by the turnaround of Zeekr and ramp-up of sales of Galaxy and Lynk & Co. We lift 2024-25 net profit forecasts from Rmb4.0b/Rmb4.4b to Rmb7.4b/Rmb8.2b respectively and introduce 2026 net profit forecast of Rmb9.5b. Upgrade from SELL to BUY. Raise target price from HK$6.00 to HK$11.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Thursday, March 21, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$17.20/Target: HK$21.00) 2023: In line; all set to expand market share. CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK/BUY/HK$6.41/Target: HK$7.80) 2023: Results in line; expects double-digit revenue and earnings growth in 2024. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$8.83/Target: HK$11.00) 2023: Results beat on margins again; upgrade to BUY. Raise target price from HK$6.50 to HK$11.00. Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$39.35/Target: HK$60.00) 2023: Results ...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+17)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Jun Sian Tan
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, March 21, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$8.83/Target: HK$11.00): 2023: Results beat on margins again; upgrade to BUY. Raise target price from HK$6.50 to HK$11.00. Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$39.35/Target: HK$60.00): 2023: Results beat; well positioned for sustainable growth in 2024. Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$52.25/Target: HK$85.00): 4Q23: Resilient earnings beat; strong ad monetisation momentum continues. Li Ning (2331 HK/HOLD/HK$21.45/Target: HK$19.60): 2023: Results miss; remain c...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile: Weekly: PEV market share hits record of 48% on price...

PEV market share reached a record of 48% last week due to price cuts. BYD’s retail sales rebounded by 27% wow in the week ending 10 Mar 24 after price cuts of 10-20% on seven major models. Li Auto’s retail sales rebounded due to launches of 2024 Li L7/L8/L9. Despite the strong sales last week, PEVs are facing stiffening price competition. CATL's market share in China’s power battery market hit a record of 55% in Feb 24. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Tuopu, Desay. Top SELL: XPeng.

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos / Mobility: ASEAN Auto Markets in Doldrums

ASEAN has long been considered one of the global auto markets with the best growth prospects, but expectations have not been met. With China in trouble and ASEAN auto sales lacklustre, Japanese automakers need to review their positioning in Asia. Analyst Julie Boote provides a short-term outlook for the ASEAN auto market, and discusses Japanese assemblers’ options within this context.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PEV insurance registrations rebound 19% in th...

Major automakers saw their PEV insurance registrations rebound last week due to price cuts. BYD’s retail sales rebounded less than expected last week even after implementing price cuts. The market response to Li Mega turned out to be disappointing, with over 10,000 orders cancelled. Europe and the US are abandoning all-electric plans and restricting Chinese-made electric vehicles. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELL: XPeng. Top BUYs: CATL, Tuopu, Desay.

Greater China Research Team ... (+7)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

REG: Strategy: Alpha Picks - March 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Call: Adding CMB, COLI, CR Beer, Kuaishou and TUL to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Significant Outperformance In Feb 24: Our picks are BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the KLCI in Feb 24 (-0.9% vs 2.5%). Mar 24 picks significantly feature companies with good earnings momentum. SINGAPORE...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ES ESSO SOCIETE ANONYME FRANCAISE
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
STEC SINO-THAI ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION PCL
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002594 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
EA ENERGY ABSOLUTE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
COM7 COM7
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600585 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
Z74 MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MAPI SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 MITRA ADIPERKASA
AP4 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
ADRO RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
601888 PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
PTTGC CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
TLKM PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
ROTI PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
M4B NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
SE CHINA MERCHANTS BANK CO. LTD. CLASS H
SEA ADS
INRI COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
PTTEP-R INARI AMERTRON BHD
BAL PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
SCGB BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
KPJ SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
SMM KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
3933 SEMBCORP MARINE LTD
MINT THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
BURSA MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
MSGB BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
IOI MAH SING GROUP BHD
CPALL TB IOI CORP BHD
ECW CP ALL
GENM ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
MAHB GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
06098 MALAYSIA AIRPORTS HLDGS BHD
01801 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
2013 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
EKO WEIMOB INC
RGB EKOVEST BHD
SCB-R RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
709 SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
FEH GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1093 FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
1199 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
601138 COSCO SHIPPING PORTS LIMITED
FRKN FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
MPM FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MRDIY MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
09988 MR DIY GROUP M BHD
09999 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
2696 NETEASE INC
KEX SHANGHAI HENLIUS BIOTECH INC
OR KERRY EXPRESS (THAILAND)
TIDLOR PTT OIL & RETAIL BUSINESS PCL
1209 NGERN TID LOR PCL
BUKA CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES
CVL BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 CIVMEC
PDD KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 PINDUODUO PDD US
BBTN BAIDU INC
BBNI BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
EXCL BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
GOTO XL AXIATA TBK PT
CMRY GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CLAS PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
SMGR CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
NATGATE SEMEN INDONESIA PERSERO TBK
NCKL NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
SUNWAY PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
ESSO SUNWAY BHD
HUME ESSO THAILAND PCL
09961 HUME CEMENT INDUSTRIES BHD
BTG CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim

China Banking: It is the best of times, it is the worst of times.

The HSMBI has soared 8.5% ytd, riding on the tailwinds of valuation recovery and Central Huijin purchase. We opine that the subsequent valuation recovery needs to be further supported by fundamental improvements. However, the recent five-year LPR cut could continue to weigh on banks’ NIM and top-line growth. Banks’ asset quality remains stable, but the underlying vulnerabilities still persist. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT with CMB as our top pick.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: BYD’s price cuts trigger a new round of price...

Ytd, EV sales came in worse than expected. BYD’s 20% price cut on Qin Plus DM-i triggered a new round of price war. This will leave no winner as major players will keep engaging in the price war for a sustained period while small players like HiPhi will possibly be edged out of the arena. Following the heavy snowfall in Hubei, the Hainan incident reminds us of the limitation of EVs. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Li Auto. Top BUY: CATL. Upgrade Xusheng from HOLD to BUY on valuat...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: A Snow Debunks The Myth Of EVs

As this week is the Chinese New Year holiday, the weekly EV insurance registration numbers will only be posted next week. The most eye-catching news is the snow in Hubei last week, which crippled hundreds of EVs on highways. This shows the limitation of BEVs in regard to long-haul drive and recharging. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s auto sector. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Li Auto. Top BUY: CATL. Upgrade GAC from SELL to HOLD on valuation.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: EV Market Share Falls To 38-Week Low

PEV market share dipped 1.2ppt wow to a 38-week low of 28.4%. BYD’s and Li Auto’s market shares also dropped 0.3ppt/0.9ppt wow to 29.5%/4.5% respectively during the week. Chinese authorities reiterated plans to boost automobile sales and exports, but we see limited impacts. Most auto stocks rallied along with the market this week due to the state’s bailout. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT on the sector on a grim outlook. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Li Auto. We are adding CATL to our top BUY list as a hedge.

Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim

China Banking: H-shares: Laggard bargains or fairly priced?

The A-shares for China banks are outperforming their H-shares due to the widening yield gaps and buying momentum from the sovereign fund. However, our analysis suggests that the attractive valuation and dividend yield could improve H-shares performance in the near term. CMB is our top pick.

Greater China Research Team ... (+7)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

REG: Strategy: Alpha Picks - February 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls: We remain hedged, adding COSCO Shipping Holdings and Foxconn Industrial Internet to our BUY list, but include additional SELL calls on Li Auto and Xpeng. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance in Jan 24: Our picks are EXCL, MAPI, BMRI, JSMR, BBNI, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Eyes Also On Results Season Winners: Our Alpha Picks performance again trounced the KLCI in Jan 24 (+9.6% vs +4.0%). Feb 24 pic...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
ES ESSO SOCIETE ANONYME FRANCAISE
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
STEC SINO-THAI ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION PCL
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002594 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
EA ENERGY ABSOLUTE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
COM7 COM7
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600585 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
Z74 MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MAPI SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 MITRA ADIPERKASA
ADRO OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
601888 PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
PTTGC CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
TLKM PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
ROTI PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
VALUE NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
SE VALUE8 N.V.
SATS SP SEA ADS
INRI SATS LTD.
1801 INARI AMERTRON BHD
PTTEP-R INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC
BAL PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
KPJ BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
SMM KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
MINT SEMBCORP MARINE LTD
BURSA MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
IOI BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
CPALL TB IOI CORP BHD
GENM CP ALL
2013 GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
6098 WEIMOB INC
EKO COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES
RGB EKOVEST BHD
SCB-R RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
709 SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
FEH GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1093 FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
9988 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
1199 ALIBABA (9988 HK)
601138 COSCO SHIPPING PORTS LIMITED
FRKN FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
MPM FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
2696 MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
KEX SHANGHAI HENLIUS BIOTECH INC
OR KERRY EXPRESS (THAILAND)
1024 PTT OIL & RETAIL BUSINESS PCL
TIDLOR KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY
1209 NGERN TID LOR PCL
9868 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES
9888 XPENG INC
BUKA BAIDU INC
2015 BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
CVL LI AUTO INC
PDD CIVMEC
9999 HK PINDUODUO PDD US
9961 NETEASE INC
BBNI TRIP.COM GROUP LTD
GOTO BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CMRY GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CLAS PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
SMGR CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
NATGATE SEMEN INDONESIA PERSERO TBK
NCKL NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
SUNWAY PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
ESSO SUNWAY BHD
HUME ESSO THAILAND PCL
HUME CEMENT INDUSTRIES BHD
Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: EV sales remain lukewarm in the fourth week o...

EV sales in China continued to rebound in the fourth week of Jan 24, but remained low due to seasonal factors. We keep our estimate on China’s 2024 PEV sales growth at 11%, below consensus forecast of +20% yoy, based on destocking and diminishing effect of subsidies. BYD and Ganfeng posted disappointing 4Q23 net profit guidance on price cuts, triggering further downgrades. CATL’s guided 2023 profit beats market estimates, triggering a rebound. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Li A...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: EV sales rebounded in the third week of 2024 ...

EV sales in China rebounded in the first week of Jan 24, driven by price cuts, which imply lower margins. BYD offered 2.5-9.0% discounts for the Ocean series. Tesla announced 2-6% price cuts in China. Li Auto cut prices for all of its models by over Rmb30,000. Looking into 2024, we keep our China PEV sales estimate at 9.9m units, well below consensus, on the diminishing effect of stimulus and destocking. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Li Auto.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: 2024 As A Year Of Pullback, As Evidenced By Y...

The development of China’s auto market ytd came in as expected with sales weakening, inventories piling up and car prices falling. We maintain our forecasts on China’s 2024 PV and PEV sales growth at -6%/11% respectively, down from 10%/37% in 2023, based on a higher comparison base in 2023, the rollback of stimulus and destocking. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Ganfeng Lithium. Downgrade Li Auto from BUY to SELL, and downgrade Great Wall Motor from BUY to HOLD.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PEV market share fell to 31% in the first wee...

PEV insurance registrations in China grew 76% yoy and fell 20.3% mom/46% wow in the first week of 2024. However, PEV market share fell from 40% in early-Dec 23 to 31% during the week. Except for Aito, all EV brands saw a drop in insurance registrations, including BYD, Tesla, Li Auto and XPeng, as the year-end promotions had exhausted buying power. We keep our 2024 China PEV sales forecast at 9.9m units (+11% yoy). Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Ganfeng Lithium.

Greater China Research Team ... (+7)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

REG: Strategy: Alpha Picks - January 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls: We add the potential beneficiaries of the upcoming CNY festival − Galaxy Entertainment and Trip.com − to our BUY list, but include SELL calls on BYD and Geely due to the subsidy reduction. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in 4Q23 and 2023: Our picks are MAPI, BMRI, JSMR, TLKM, BBNI, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Domestic Event Winners: Our Alpha Picks outperformed the KLCI in Dec 23. Jan 24 pick...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
ES ESSO SOCIETE ANONYME FRANCAISE
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
STEC SINO-THAI ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION PCL
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002594 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
EA ENERGY ABSOLUTE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
COM7 COM7
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600585 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
Z74 MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MAPI SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 MITRA ADIPERKASA
ADRO OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
601888 PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
PTTGC CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
TLKM PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
ROTI PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
VALUE NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
SE VALUE8 N.V.
SATS SP SEA ADS
INRI SATS LTD.
1801 INARI AMERTRON BHD
PTTEP-R INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC
BAL PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
KPJ BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
SMM KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
MINT SEMBCORP MARINE LTD
BURSA MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
IOI BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
CPALL TB IOI CORP BHD
GENM CP ALL
2013 GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
6098 WEIMOB INC
EKO COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES
HUME EKOVEST BHD
RGB HUME INDUSTRIES BHD
SCB-R RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
709 SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
FEH GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1093 FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
9988 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
1199 ALIBABA (9988 HK)
FRKN COSCO SHIPPING PORTS LIMITED
MPM FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
2696 MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
KEX SHANGHAI HENLIUS BIOTECH INC
OR KERRY EXPRESS (THAILAND)
1024 PTT OIL & RETAIL BUSINESS PCL
TIDLOR KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY
1209 NGERN TID LOR PCL
9868 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES
9888 XPENG INC
BUKA BAIDU INC
2015 BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
CVL LI AUTO INC
PDD CIVMEC
9999 HK PINDUODUO PDD US
9961 NETEASE INC
BBNI TRIP.COM GROUP LTD
GOTO BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CMRY GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CLAS PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
SMGR CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
NATGATE SEMEN INDONESIA PERSERO TBK
NCKL NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
SUNWAY PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
ESSO SUNWAY BHD
ESSO THAILAND PCL
Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: EV sales spiked in the last week of 2023 on y...

EV sales in China spiked in the last week of Dec 23, driven by year-end promotions, which dampened margins. BYD gave Rmb10,000-20,000 in subsidies to customers in Dec 23, vs 3Q23 net profit per vehicle of Rmb11,000. Besides, BYD gave Rmb2b in cash reward to dealers. Looking into 2024, we expect China’s EV sales to grow 17% yoy to 10.5m units, well below consensus forecast, on the diminishing effect of stimulus and destocking. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD and Ganfeng Lithium.

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls

The HSI was flat in Dec 23 but the MSCI China fell 2.6% mom. Despite the announcement of new policy support and prospects of US rate cuts in 2024, investors sold into strength following weaker macro data. With MSCI China trading at 9.0x 12-month forward PE, we expect most negatives to have been priced in. We add the potential beneficiaries of the CNY festival − Galaxy Entertainment and Trip.com − to our BUY list, but include SELL calls on BYD and Geely due to the subsidy cut.

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