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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

TSMC to grow AI revenues 45% p.a. to 2029. Implications?

TSMC revealed last week they expect $80bn of AI compute revenues in 2029, up from $12bn in 2024. This represents 45% p.a. growth over 5 years. In this note we put this into perspective, integrating the guidance with all the moving parts of the ramp of AI infrastructure: mix shift between GPU and ASICs, gross margin compression, change in content mix between HBM, logic and packaging, etc. This leverages the expertise we have developed on all these fronts over the last couple of years, and allows...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semi cycle update 4Q24: Recovery weaker but still on for 2025

In today’s note we provide an updated view on the semiconductor cycle and give our views on how investors should be positioned in 2025.

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