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RWE AG: Planned share buyback of up to €1.5 billion will have limited ...

Cut to investment spending and planned share buyback programme has no material impact on RWE’s medium-term credit profile.

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

RWE : A share buyback programme that comes at just the right time

>The US remains an attractive market for onshore - As expected, investors focused their attention on capital allocation with a particular emphasis on the share buyback plan as well as the consequences of the recent political developments on the North American market and on the German market. Regarding the political landscape in the US, RWE sees a certain risk to offshore pipelines but does not consider it significant at this stage (no asset impairments were booked in ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

RWE : Un programme de rachat d’actions qui tombe à point nommé

>Les Etats-Unis restent un marché attractif pour l’Onshore - Comme prévu, l’attention des investisseurs s'est concentrée sur l'allocation de capital avec un accent particulier sur le projet de rachat d’actions ainsi que les conséquences des récentes évolutions politiques sur le marché nord-américain et sur le marché allemand. Pour le paysage politique aux USA, RWE perçoit un certain risque sur les pipelines offshore mais ne le considère pas comme important à ce stade ...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024

We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024

Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

RWE : New capital allocation decision should help a re-rating

>Result a shade above forecast enabling slight increase in 2024 guidance - RWE released this morning its 9M results that came a shade above our forecast. Adjusted EBITDA came in at € 3,956m vs € 3,914m expected (ODDO BHF) or € 3,879m (css). Adjusted EBIT was down 35.7% to € 2,456m vs € 2,414m expected (ODDO BHF and css). In the end, attributable net profit was € 1,602m (-52.6%) vs € 1,568m expected (ODDO BHF). As expected, offshore and onshore wind came in line with e...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

RWE : New capital allocation decision should help a re-rating

>Result a shade above forecast enabling slight increase in 2024 guidance - RWE released this morning its 9M results that came a shade above our forecast. Adjusted EBITDA came in at € 3,956m vs € 3,914m expected (ODDO BHF) or € 3,879m (css). Adjusted EBIT was down 35.7% to € 2,456m vs € 2,414m expected (ODDO BHF and css). In the end, attributable net profit was € 1,602m (-52.6%) vs € 1,568m expected (ODDO BHF). As expected, offshore and onshore wind came in line with e...

RWE AG: 1 director

A director at RWE AG bought 4,000 shares at 31.360EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 62/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing...

RWE AG: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its lower-risk contracted renewables to account for most of the cash flow, against its high exposure to commodity prices.

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

ODDO : A gradual weaning

‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

ODDO : Un sevrage dans la douceur

“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffre...

Oliver Metzger ... (+2)
  • Oliver Metzger
  • Sinan Doganli

ODDO : First feedback – DAY 2

We host the 15th edition of the Corporate Conference in cooperation with Commerzbank on September 3rd & 4th 2024 in Frankfurt am Main. This year we are welcoming 90 German small, mid and large cap companies. - >Accelor Mittal (=) – Heading for better H2 despite still soft underlying markets, no change on VallourecAdesso (=) – IT-solutions segment will continue to be a drag on profitability in H2 2024Aurubis (+) – Announced disposal for its US-based finished ...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Orsted and RWE

Utilities - Orsted: 1H24 results show some progress but challenges will remain for some time. RWE: 1H24 financials in sharp decline, as expected

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

RWE : All eyes on the US

>A strong operating performance - RWE reported a satisfactory interim performance yesterday morning, with earnings a shade ahead of our expectations and those of the consensus. Group EBITDA came in at € 2,899m (-29%), in line with our forecast of € 2,880m, but slightly above the consensus of € 2,822m. Adjusted EBIT showed a similar performance at € 1,928m (-44%), slightly above our forecast (€ 1,900m) and that of the consensus (€ 1,831m). Adjusted net profit came in...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

RWE : Tous les yeux sont tournés vers les US

>Une bonne performance opérationnelle - RWE a publié hier matin une performance satisfaisante avec des bénéfices légèrement supérieurs à nos attentes et au consensus. L'EBITDA du groupe s'est élevé à 2 899 M€ (-29%), en ligne avec nos prévisions de 2 880 M€, mais légèrement au-dessus du Css qui était à 2 822 M€. L'EBIT ajusté affiche la même performance à 1 928 M€ (-44 %), légèrement au-dessus de nos prévisions (1 900 M€) et du Css (1 831 M€). Le résultat net ajusté a...

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