NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA. Political instability returns in France European stock markets fell, where we once again highlight the CAC (-1.7%), hit by the rising political risk. In the STOXX 600, 16 of 20 sectors fell, led by financials (Banks and Insurance), while defensive sectors like Telecoms and Consumer Goods showed the biggest gains. On the macro side, in France the finance minister, E. Lombard, suggested there is risk of an intervention by the IMF if Bayrou’s government falls in the no confi...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA. La inestabilidad política vuelve a Francia Caídas en las bolsas europeas, entre las que volvió a destacar el CAC (-1,7%) perjudicado por el repunte del riesgo político. En el STOXX 600 nueva sesión de pérdidas en 16 de los 20 sectores, dirigidas por los financieros (Bancos y Seguros) mientras que defensivos como Telecomunicaciones y B. Consumo presentaron las mayores subidas. Por el lado macro, en Francia el ministro de finanzas E. Lombard ...
NEWS SUMMARY: IAG, TELEFÓNICA. Markets doubtful awaiting Powell in Jackson Hole European stock markets closed better than they opened, with some indices like the FTSE 100 managing to end with slight gains, whereas the DAX and IBEX ended practically flat. In the STOXX 600, the sectors rising the most were Energy, Banks and Basic Materials, with the biggest drops coming in Media, Consumer Goods and Chemicals. On the macro side, in the euro zone August’s preliminary manufacturing PMI rose more tha...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IAG, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: AIR LIQUIDE. Mercados dubitativos a la espera de Powell en Jacson Hole Ayer las bolsas europeas fueron de menos a más y algunos índices como el FTSE 100 lograron terminar con ligeras ganancias mientras que el DAX y el Ibex terminaron casi sin cambios. En el STOXX 600 los sectores que más subieron fueron Energía, Bancos y R. Básicos frente a las mayores caídas de Media, B. Consumo y Químicas. Por el lado macro, en Eurozona el...
NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING SECTOR, SANTANDER, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Trump and the job market lead to another market selloff The tariff rise approved by D. Trump to dozens of countries instead of lower tariffs as part of the negotiations under way and the slowdown signs of the US economy led to losses >-2.5% in European stock markets. Thus, in the STOXX 600 last week was marked by the earnings calendar and by Friday’s sell-off where energy was the only sector not ending in negative territory, whereas A...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SANTANDER, SECTOR BANCARIO, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 2T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Trump y el mercado laboral provocan otro sell-off en el mercado El incremento arancelario aprobado por D. Trump a decenas de países en lugar de reduc...
2Q'25 vs. 2Q'24: EBITDA: $ 1.860 Bn (-0.1% vs. +0.3% BS(e) and -0.6% consensus); BDI: $ 1.793 Bn (+255.8% vs. +65.1% BS(e) and +60.9% consensus); 1H'25 vs. 1H'24: EBITDA: $ 3.440 Bn (-9.9% vs. -9.7% BS(e) and -10.2% consensus); BDI: $ 2.598 Bn (+80.2% vs. +13.5% BS(e) and +12.1% consensus).
Rdos. 2T'25 vs 2T'24: EBITDA: 1.860 M euros (-0,1% vs +0,3% BS(e) y -0,6% consenso); BDI: 1.793 M euros (+255,8% vs +65,1% BS(e) y +60,9% consenso); Rdos. 1S'25 vs 1S'24: EBITDA: 3.440 M euros (-9,9% vs -9,7% BS(e) y -10,2% consenso); BDI: 2.598 M euros (+80,2% vs +13,5% BS(e) y +12,1% consenso).
NEWS SUMMARY: ARCELOR MITTAL, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, FLUIDRA, MELIA, MERLIN PROPERTIES, NEINOR HOMES, REDEIA, VISCOFAN. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 2Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Growth resisting for now European stock markets ended with slight gains in view of the signs of resistance in the 2Q’25 GDP and ahead of the Fed meeting, w...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ARCELOR MITTAL, FLUIDRA, MELIA, MERLIN PROPERTIES, NEINOR HOMES, REDEIA, SECTOR ELÉCTRICO, VISCOFAN. EUROPA: AB INBEV, AIRBUS, BMW, ING GROEP, SANOFI, SAFRAN, SOCIETE GENERALE, VINCI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 2T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El crecimien...
2Q'25 vs. 2Q'24 Results Sales: € 906.35 M (-2.1% vs. -1.7% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 57.4 M (+51.1% vs. +7.7% BS(e)); EBIT: € 27.45 M (+85.5% vs. +48.1% BS(e)); Net Profit: € -7.85 M (€ -29.5 M in 1H'24 vs. € -8.04 M BS(e)); 1H'25 vs. 1H'24 Results Sales: € 1.689 Bn (-1.8% vs. -1.6% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 84.1 M (+46.3% vs. +17.6% BS(e)); EBIT: € 46.25 M (+139.6% vs. +111.0% BS(e)); Net Profit: € -29.65 M (€ -34.2 M in 1H'24 vs. € -29.84 M BS(e));
2Q'25 vs. 2Q'24 Results Sales: € 8.953 Bn (-12.7% vs. -13.0% consensus); EBITDA: € 2.905 Bn (-9.8% vs. -9.5% consensus); EBIT: € 1.034 Bn (+1.3% vs. -0.7% consensus); Net Profit: € -51.0 M (€ 447.0 M in 1H'24 vs. € 104.0 M consensus); 1H'25 vs. 1H'24 Results Sales: € 18.013 Bn (-11.7% vs. -11.0% consensus); EBITDA: € 5.895 Bn (-8.2% vs. -7.7% consensus); EBIT: € 2.109 Bn (+2.2% vs. +1.3% consensus); Net Profit: € -1.355.0 M (€ 979.0 M in 1H'24 vs. € -1.200.0 M consensus);
The main event for Telefonica shareholders in H2 will be the strategic review outcome, rather than the Q2 or Q3 results, but nonetheless these are a solid set of results with all guidance reiterated. On one hand, we see upside from consensus FCF for 2025 being too low, but on the other hand, we worry that the outcome of the strategic review might not be as shareholder-friendly in the near-term as some might like.
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