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ABGSC Food & Beverage Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Food & Beverage Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Nikola Kalanoski

More efficiency on the horizon

We raise '25e-'26e adj. EBIT by 1%. Continued gross margin recovery expected. Trading at '24e EV/adj. EBITA of ~10x.

ABGSC Food & Beverage Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Food & Beverage Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Nikola Kalanoski

Midsona AB: 1 director

A director at Midsona AB subscribed to/sold 40,172,634 shares at 8.250SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 76/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two y...

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Nikola Kalanoski

Midsona - Strengthened balance sheet coming up

Q3 report softer than anticipated We decrease our ’23e-‘24e EBITA ests. by 5-3% Trading at ‘23e-‘24e EV/EBITA of 8.8-6.7x

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Nikola Kalanoski

Midsona - Soft Q3 with rights issue announced

Sales -6% vs. ABGSCe Adj. EBITDA -32% vs. ABGSCe SEK 600m rights issue

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Nikola Kalanoski

Midsona - No pain, no grain

Gross margins to indicate extent of pricing power ’22e-'23e EBIT down 6-5%, while ‘24e EBIT up 8% Q3 report due Tuesday, 25 October

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Johan Brown

Midsona - Awaiting the H2 hockey stick

Q2 showed a resilient top-line but lower margins We lower our ‘23-‘24e EBITA by 5% Trading at ’22-‘24e EV/EBITA 19-10x

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Johan Brown

Midsona - Margin improvement delayed

Sales was in line with our expectations Effect from price hikes was partly delayed to Q3 We expect negative cons. estimates of 5-8%

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Johan Brown

Midsona - Back on track?

Price hikes and cost savings the theme in Q1 Confident message regarding debt levels We raise our ‘22e EBITDA by 3%

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Johan Brown

Midsona - A step in the right direction

Sales -3% vs. ABGSCe Adj. EBITDA 14% vs. ABGSCe We expect cons. estimates revisions of +3-5%

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Johan Brown

Midsona - Stuck between a rock and a hard place

Surging raw material prices Aggressive price hikes expected in Q3’22e We lower our EBITDA estimates by ~17-4% ‘22e-‘24e

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Johan Brown

Midsona - Troughing out

Q4 report was in line with the profit warning Actions in place to protect margins We lower EBITDA by c. 15% for ’22e-’23e

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Johan Brown

Midsona - Report in line with profit warning

Report was in line with profit warning Gross margin was the main negative Removed dividend well in line with expectations

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Johan Brown

Midsona - Profit warning for Q4

Issues profit warning for Q4 Sales SEK 1,012m (+1% vs. ABG, -2% vs. cons.) Adj. EBITDA SEK 61m (-37% vs. ABG, -39% vs. cons.)

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Johan Brown

Midsona - A perfect storm

The report came in below our expectations A perfect storm on all fronts We lower our EBIT estimates by ~10% for ’21e-’23e

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Johan Brown

Midsona - Soft report on easy comps

Sales SEK 893m, -10% ABGSCe, -8% vs. cons Adj. EBITDA -20% vs. ABGSCe & -27% vs. cons. Cons. estimates likely down by high-single-digits

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Johan Brown

Midsona - Now is the time to shine

Q3 report due on 22 October We expect sales of SEK 994m and adj. EBIT of SEK 61m Slightly neg. estimate revisions on soaring raw materials

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Johan Brown

Midsona - The grass looks greener in H2

Q2 report below expectations Q3 looking brighter: EBITDA rose y-o-y in June We reduce our EBITDA estimates by 5-4% ‘22e-‘23e

Fredrik Ivarsson ... (+2)
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Johan Brown

Midsona - Finding a normalised profitability

Q1 report was on the soft side Sales 5% and adj. EBITDA 10% below ABGSCe We lower ’21-’23e sales & EBIT by 2% & 5%

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