reports
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the red in A...
EME Equity Market – April 2025 EME indices mostly in the red in April, Hungarian BUX and Greek ASE the exceptions. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.0% mom in EUR terms, but was up 2.9% mom in USD terms in April. The Hungarian BUX was the best performer, followed by the Greek ASE index (+3.5% and 0.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively). There was a slight decline in the Polish WIG20, and more pronounced deteriorations in the Romanian BET and Czech PX indices (-0.6%, -2.0% and -4.2% mom in EUR ...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PEO PW; KOMB CP; EBS AV; MBK PW; SPL PW; CCC PW; PCF PW; C...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: very solid 1Q25, supporting our 2025E 20%+ ROE, trading at 1.3x BV and a 9%+ yield very attractive • Komercni Banka: beat on 1Q25 bottom line driven by LLPs releases, pre-provision profit falls short of expectations NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q25 results in line; 2025E ROTE guidance sustained, but market focus on potential big M&A effort • mBank: 1Q25 solid, but valuation reflects recovery already; 2025E revenue guidance a little disappointing • Santander Bank Polska: solid ...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
PCF PCF GROUP SA
BOROUGE BOROUGE
FTSHP FOOTSHOP A.S.
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: THEON NA; KRU PW; SAB1L LH; MCOVB SS; OTKAR TI; TOASO TI; ...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: 1Q25 trading update – strong execution, rich options POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q25 results, beat driven by Wonga, debt purchased segment in line, but slowing growth dynamics NEUTRAL • Siauliu Bankas: rather weak 1Q25, but maintained outlook should provide some support NEGATIVE • Medicover: 1Q25 beat on admin costs and other financial income POSITIVE • Otokar: 1Q25 results – continuing losses on the operating and bottom lines • Tofas: weak set of results in 1Q25, as anti...
KRU KRUK S.A.
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
HUGE HUUUGE
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DOC AV; DIA PW; ALR PW; MONET CP; MYTIL GA; 11B PW; MBR PW...
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: the art of the meal (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Diagnostyka: strong 4Q24, in line with the prelims NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 1Q25 a little below 1Q25E expectations, but valuation (1Q25 P/BV at 1.2x) still very low NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 1Q25 results almost in line with expectations, ROE of 18% fully priced in by 1Q25 P/BV of 2.2x NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: 1Q25 sales +31% yoy, to EUR 1.5bn, in line NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: strategy update, expands pipeline to...
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MBR PW; OPL PW; KTY PW; EMEA Airlines; CEZ CP; MYTIL GA; S...
HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: 4Q24 results miss expectations, on jumping SG&A costs NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: 1Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 3% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Kety: 1Q25 results and new strategy presentation call takeaways NEUTRAL • EMEA airlines: 1Q25 traffic; demand concerns vs. cheaper USD and oil • CEZ: ANO promising privatisation and lower fees NEGATIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells Chilean RES for USD 815m (EUR 710m) POSITIVE • Polish banks: Trea...
Metlen Energy & Metals S.A: 1 director
A director at Metlen Energy & Metals S.A sold 13,356 shares at 42.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 92/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ye...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TITC GA; 11B PW; PGE PW; TPE PW; VGO PW; OPAP GA; KAP LI
HEADLINES: • Titan Cement: cementing its leadership (BUY - transfer of coverage) • 11 bit studios: 4Q24 adjusted EBITDA above our expectations, headlines hit by substantial write-offs POSITIVE • PGE: full 4Q24 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Tauron: full 4Q24 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: 1Q25 sales up 39% yoy, to PLN 22.1m POSITIVE • OPAP: Greek gaming market up by a strong 15% yoy in 2M25 POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: signs supply agreement with CE...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OTP HB; BFT PW; PEO PW; CAR PW; HUG PW
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: agrees to limit retail fees NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: EGM approves capital increase, via issuance of up to 280k new shares NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: may face change of strategic investor NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: March sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 1Q25 bookings at USD 62m, almost flat qoq NEUTRAL
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MAVI TI; TL Banks; GPW PW; BFT PW; MOL HB; EU Macro; DNP P...
HEADLINES: • Mavi: a mispriced story with solid fundamentals (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • Turkish banks: weather vs. climate (reinitiating on Akbank, Garanti, Isbank and Yapi Kredi with HOLDs) • Warsaw Stock Exchange: just move on up (stays BUY) • Benefit Systems: March sports cards addition surprises positively, mostly in Poland POSITIVE • MOL: announces dividend proposal of HUF 275/share NEUTRAL • EU macro: cohesion funds can be deployed for defence, housing and energy investments • Dino...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Türkiye in the red, again
EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
GPP VERCOM SA
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
7203 SHOPER SA
AQ ELM CO
AIRA AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
DSPW BANK OF CYPRUS
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Warsaw Stock Exchange: just move on up (stays BUY)
We maintain our BUY on Warsaw Stock Exchange (GPW), with a slightly higher price target (PT) of PLN 56.5/share (from PLN 55.4), implying 24.6% upside from the current share price. Despite the significant ytd rally, we believe that Polish equities are still attractively valued and offer exposure to one of the fastest-growing economies in Europe, creating a compelling argument for a strong stock market performance in the years ahead. Equity turnover is set to be quite strong this year, which could...
- Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
METLEN Energy & Metals | London calling, with €2bn EBITDA in sight; To...
Capital Markets Day in April to set the tone… – Following another year of sequentially improved results, with FY’24 EBITDA reaching €1.08bn (+8% yoy), 2025 looks poised to be a pivotal year for Metlen, with major announcements expected at the CMD on 28th April, ahead of its planned LSE listing in early Q3’25. During the event, mgmt will unveil the updated 2025-2028 strategy and outline the organic drivers that will lead to the ambitious €2bn EBITDA implied target by 2028 (CAGR: 17%). The above, ...
- Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
METLEN Energy & Metals | London calling, with €2bn EBITDA in sight; To...
Capital Markets Day in April to set the tone… – Following another year of sequentially improved results, with FY’24 EBITDA reaching €1.08bn (+8% yoy), 2025 looks poised to be a pivotal year for Metlen, with major announcements expected at the CMD on 28th April, ahead of its planned LSE listing in early Q3’25. During the event, mgmt will unveil the updated 2025-2028 strategy and outline the organic drivers that will lead to the ambitious €2bn EBITDA implied target by 2028 (CAGR: 17%). The above, ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPL PW; IGN1L LH; PZU PW; GPP PW; CZG CP; PPC GA; LAMDA GA...
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: strategy focused on growth (stays BUY) • Ignitis Group: making headway (BUY - transfer of coverage) • PZU: 4Q24 well ahead of expectations, holding structure to be created within PZU group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q24 results – EBITDA up 9% yoy, 9% above our forecast and 1% above the consensus POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group SE: FY24 results review NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: 4Q24 earnings, and preview of a potential mega data centre NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: 4Q2...
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
ENA ENEA S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
- Research Team
WOOD Morning (26 March 2025)
HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong delivery in 4Q24, due mainly to the lower costs booked POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q24 EBIT 7% above our forecast; The Witcher 4 to be released after 2026E NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: 4Q24 results – below expectations NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: earnings call takeaways – focus on flagship games’ monetisation improvement in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Eurowag: takeaways from the 2H24 earnings call NEUTRAL...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BFT PW; JMT PL; OPAP GA; TPE PW; TL Macro; ALE PW; INPST N...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: pumping iron (stays BUY) • Jeronimo Martins: small beat in 4Q24, Biedronka margin erosion slows down; tough market environment continues in 2025 POSITIVE • OPAP: the beat goes on, in 4Q24 POSITIVE • Tauron: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA 45% above our estimate, on strong Generation and Distribution, and lower loss in Supply POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: assessment of recent political events • Allegro vs. InPost: our take on the companies' two calls • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DIA PW; EME Macro/Strategy Ukraine Primer; EME Macro/Strat...
HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: take a test (BUY - initiation of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: Ukraine – a macro primer • EME Macro/Strategy: Ukraine’s peace deal – WOOD’s equity playbook • EMEA airlines: some notes on the potential Ukraine reopening • Aegean Airlines: 4Q24 – material beat vs. our estimates, on higher revenue and lower employee costs POSITIVE • Dom Development: 4Q24 – strongest year on record POSITIVE • Vercom: 4Q24 results review – 29% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with the consensus ...
- Research Team
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | Cashing in, moving to Hold
Strong play, but limited new aces up its sleeve, for now – OPAP shares have had a robust start to 2025 returning c11% ytd, fueled by a strong H2’24 operational performance driven by both recurring (strong online/sports betting trends) and non-recurring (e.g. jackpot rollovers) factors. Although the better execution is set to lead FY24 EBITDA c2% above our previous projection and >4% above the upper end of mgt expectations (€750-770m guided range), it also sets a high bar for 2025. The year does ...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | Cashing in, moving to Hold
Strong play, but limited new aces up its sleeve, for now – OPAP shares have had a robust start to 2025 returning c11% ytd, fueled by a strong H2’24 operational performance driven by both recurring (strong online/sports betting trends) and non-recurring (e.g. jackpot rollovers) factors. Although the better execution is set to lead FY24 EBITDA c2% above our previous projection and >4% above the upper end of mgt expectations (€750-770m guided range), it also sets a high bar for 2025. The year does ...
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