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Shopify Inc: 4 directors

Four Directors at Shopify Inc sold after exercising options/sold 79,187 shares at between 163.431USD and 164.309USD. The significance rating of the trade was 98/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the ...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q25 – Semicap: Cautious on 2026; not the right AI play.

Today, we are publishing the Semicap Equipment section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, and Foundry. 3Q25 semicap revenues were flat QoQ, with China up...

Chase Tohanczyn ... (+3)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

2025 Holiday eCommerce Tracker: Cautiously Optimistic

Holiday sales began last month with Amazon hosting its Prime Big Deal Days on October 7 and 8 alongside similar early deal events from retailers. Forecasts from Bain and Adobe anticipated Amazon US GMV growth of +7% and +6% Y/Y, respectively, during the two-day event. The majority of purchases duri

Chase Tohanczyn ... (+3)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

3Q25 Postmortem: Sentiment Guide Following Results

Post-results, we think the disconnect between fundamentals and investor sentiment offers attractive upside for the highest-quality names in our coverage. We’ve become more constructive on the companies below:META (Outperform) - We are adding Meta Platforms to the Best Ideas List and maintain our $9

Chase Tohanczyn ... (+3)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

Solid Results, High Expectations; OP, $185 PT

Figure 1. 3Q25 ResultsSource: Company documents, Wedbush estimates, FactSet consensus3Q results healthy versus expectations. Shopify delivered 3Q GMV of $92.0B (+32.0% Y/Y) vs. consensus of $89.2B (+27.9% Y/Y), and total revenue of $2.8B (+31.5% Y/Y), approximately ~3% above St. expectations. GMV g

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA IT Services: FY25 Q2 Results Review for IT Service Companies

Tags: Obic (4684 JT), Obic Business Consultants (4733 JT), PCA Corp (9629 JT), Ines Corp (9742 JT), Shift (3697 JT), BayCurrent (6532 JT), PKSHA (3993 JT), ExaWizards (4259 JT) Six enterprise software companies reported earnings during the week to 31 Oct with mixed results. Analyst Lindsay Whipp takes us through the performance of four companies in her coverage – TIS, NRI, Obic and OBC.

Pierre FerraguÊ ... (+2)
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Rolf Bulk

TEL 2FQ26 QT: HBM drives beat. More positive tone on 2026.

Tokyo Electron published its 2FQ26 results this morning. Please see the link for our take on the print.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

How much WFE is required to produce a 1 GW datacenter?

As a follow up to our cheat sheet summarizing the cost structure of a 1GW datacenter, we estimate today on a single slide WFE required to produce semiconductors for a 1 GW datacenter, with our usual important caveat: WFE spending is driven by the growth of production capacity. In other words, one spends once on WFE to build a 1GW datacenter many times over.

 PRESS RELEASE

Avis Budget Group Reports Third Quarter Results

Avis Budget Group Reports Third Quarter Results PARSIPPANY, N.J., Oct. 27, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Avis Budget Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CAR) announced financial results for third quarter 2025 today. We ended the quarter with revenues of $3.5 billion, net income of $360 million, and Adjusted EBITDA1 of $559 million. “This quarter marked meaningful progress for Avis Budget Group as we returned to revenue growth while continuing to invest in our future. We remain focused on leading the industry through innovation and a steadfast commitment to delivering an exceptional customer experience,” sai...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semicon West: 2026 outlook? Does AI drive growth? DRAM architectures? ...

Last week we attended the 2025 edition of the Semicon West conference, the key event for investors focused on the semiconductor equipment market. Over two days we hosted more than a dozen meetings with companies across the semiconductor value chain. Here are our key takeaways.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semicap and the $3tn AI bull-case: material upside, but well below the...

We published earlier this week our updated view on the Semicap rally, looking at the implication of AI spending tripling by 2030 for WFE spending. Today, we publish a follow-up looking at the implications of the $3tn AI bull case for Semicap on a single slide.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Japan Market Strategy: Market Implications from Takaichi's Suprise...

The Japanese stock market’s take on the surprise victory of Sanae Takaichi in the LDP Presidential race suggested that it wasn’t so much a repeat of the “Koizumi Boom” from 20 years ago, but rather a brand new “Takaichi Boom”, and we saw the Nikkei 225 jump +4.8% to just under 48,000. Pelham Smithers compares and contrasts the impact and flags “Takaichi Stocks”. Importantly, market valuations suggest further upside.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Does the Semicap rally have legs? Downgrading ASML to Neutral

The outlook for AI spending has strengthened in recent months, driving a rally in Semicap stocks. Our forecast embeds AI capex tripling by 2030, requiring ~$130bn of cumulative WFE spending, but driven by the first-order derivative of AI deployments, i.e. peak acceleration this year and peak spending next year; a trajectory in expectations already and resulting in a weak outlook beyond 2026. With near-term uncertainty, limited upside to 2026 forecasts, and valuations 2–12 turns above historic ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Avis Budget Group to Announce Third Quarter 2025 Results on October 27...

Avis Budget Group to Announce Third Quarter 2025 Results on October 27th Conference Call to Discuss Results Scheduled for October 28th, 2025 PARSIPPANY, N.J., Oct. 03, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Avis Budget Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CAR) announced today that it plans to report its third quarter 2025 results after the market close on Monday, October 27th, 2025, and to host a conference call for institutional investors to discuss these results on Tuesday, October 28th, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time. Investors may access the call at ir.avisbudgetgroup.com, or by dialing (877)-407-2991. Investo...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q4

For almost three years the Nikkei 225 has been tracking its performance from the 2003~5 bull market, albeit at levels some 3.3x higher In this report, Pelham Smithers discusses the similarities and asks three key questions: (1) Can we continue to track 2005 through the rest of the year; (2) Whatever happens in Q4, should we fear or be hopeful for 2026? And (3) Who are the upcoming winners and losers.

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