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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Deep dive into Chinese Semicap: How much of a headwind for Western pla...

Chinese WFE spending quadrupled in five years to $41bn, driven by aggressive local deployments, while domestic vendors rapidly gained traction, capturing 13% of local spending already, mostly in deposition, etch, and CMP. In this deep dive, we assess the competitiveness of key Chinese vendors, including Naura, AMEC, and SiCarrier. We estimate first the pace (and the scope) at (and on) which they could close the gap with their western peers. On that basis we estimate the share they can gain ov...

 PRESS RELEASE

Avis Budget Group Announces Chief Financial Officer Transition

Avis Budget Group Announces Chief Financial Officer Transition PARSIPPANY, N.J., June 09, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Avis Budget Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CAR) today announced the appointment of Daniel Cunha as Chief Financial Officer, effective July 1, 2025. Mr. Cunha will lead ABG’s finance functions and partner with other senior leaders to set and deliver on the Company's long-term strategic and financial objectives. Izzy Martins will be leaving the Company on June 30, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. Mr. Cunha joins ABG from Orion Services Group, a private equity owned commercial field ...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 – Memory: all set for the upcoming HBM run.

Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. DRAM COGS increased 9% YoY but was down 15% QoQ, along usual seasonality and with China curbs hurting Samsung’s HBM. The outlook remains strong, with all manufacturers expecting HBM revenues to more than d...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 – Semicap: Not everyone can gain market share.

Today, we are publishing the Semicap section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Semicap equipment revenues were down 7% QoQ, with Chinese spending declining 17% sequentially after two years of elevated demand. Vendors maintain their view of slight WFE spending growth, with memory and...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Shopify Inc: 1 director

A director at Shopify Inc sold 10,255 shares at 111.640USD and the significance rating of the trade was 82/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...

 PRESS RELEASE

Avis Budget Group Announces Pricing Of $600 Million Of Senior Notes

Avis Budget Group Announces Pricing Of $600 Million Of Senior Notes PARSIPPANY, N.J., May 14, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Avis Budget Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CAR) (the “Company”) announced today that its wholly-owned subsidiaries, Avis Budget Car Rental, LLC and Avis Budget Finance, Inc. (together, the “Issuers”), priced a private offering of $600 million aggregate principal amount of 8.375% senior notes due 2032 (the “Notes”), which represents a $100 million increase from the previously announced size of the offering. The Notes will have a maturity date of June 15, 2032. The closing of the off...

 PRESS RELEASE

Avis Budget Group Announces Intention to Offer $500 Million of Senior ...

Avis Budget Group Announces Intention to Offer $500 Million of Senior Notes PARSIPPANY, N.J., May 14, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Avis Budget Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CAR) (the “Company”) announced today that its wholly-owned subsidiaries, Avis Budget Car Rental, LLC and Avis Budget Finance, Inc. (together, the “Issuers”), intend, subject to market and other customary conditions, to offer $500 million aggregate principal amount of senior notes due 2032 (the “Notes”) in a private offering. The Notes will be guaranteed on a senior unsecured basis by Avis Budget Group, Inc. and certain of its U.S....

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tariffs & Memory: the baseline & what’s next.

Evaluating the consequences of tariffs is challenging. As we strengthen our understanding of the tech supply chain, we follow-up with targeted deep dives across our coverage. This note follows recent ones we published on Nvidia, Broadcom, Intel & AMD, TSMC, and Semicap. ​​Read also our broader notes on tariffs: our baseline thesis for an overall perspective, and our assessment of the macro risk.

Matthew Weiss ... (+2)
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt
 PRESS RELEASE

Avis Budget Group Reports First Quarter Results

Avis Budget Group Reports First Quarter Results PARSIPPANY, N.J., May 07, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Avis Budget Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CAR) announced financial results for first quarter 2025 today. We ended the quarter with revenues of $2.4 billion, net loss of $505 million, and an Adjusted EBITDA1 loss of $93 million. During the first quarter, as anticipated, we recorded a non-cash fleet charge of $390 million related to the disposition of certain vehicles within the Americas. We do not expect further charges related to our accelerated fleet rotation strategy. “We made substantial ...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

AI re-platforming, tariff pull-ins, autos, weak iPhone cycle, HBM, and...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 33 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Pierre FerraguÊ ... (+2)
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Rolf Bulk
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