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ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Peter Sehested

Danish construction and building materials — laying the foundation

Danish non-residential construction market continues to look robust. Weather data points to a wet start to the year, causing some project delays. We see a less volatile FX environment ahead.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested

Building a stronger, profitable growth company

Robust guidance with earnings outlook ahead of expectations. New CEO a passion for ESG and on delivering profitable growth. Disposal of non-core activities proceeding as planned.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested

Entering 2024 with a robust order book

2024e-25e sales and EBIT cuts of 2-6%. Based on robust order book, we forecast 2024e sales of DKK 10.2bn. Order timing, macro uncertainty could result in guidance being lower.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested

Focus on profitable growth, following disposal

We increase '23e EBIT by 21%, and lower '24e-'25e by 1-6%. Ends the quarter with an adjusted order book of DKK 19.4bn. Orders delayed into Q4'23e and FY'23e.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested

Strong development in DK units expected

2023-25e earnings forecasts raised by 3-64% due to the sale of International, strong development in DK. We forecast Q3'23 sales of DKK 2.5bn and EBIT of DKK 106m.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested

We increase our forecasts

Following MTH Holding's Q2'23 report, we raise our 2023e sales forecasts by 4% and lower our earnings forecast by 2%.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested

Focus on International, order intake

Earnings forecast lowered by 5-25%. Q2'23e sales increase of 7%. Focus on the ongoing stategic process.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested

We sense focus and high ambitions

2023e sales and earnings forecasts lowered by 2-13%. Danish operations performing well under current market conditions. Another record-high order backlog reassures on near-term sales.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Peter Sehested

Large order and modest comparison base

2023e sales and EBIT lowered by 1% due to phasing of orders. Strong order intake; Sales growth boosted by low comps. Focus on operating environment, potential cancellations, etc.

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