reports
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Semicon West: 2026 outlook? Does AI drive growth? DRAM architectures? ...
Last week we attended the 2025 edition of the Semicon West conference, the key event for investors focused on the semiconductor equipment market. Over two days we hosted more than a dozen meetings with companies across the semiconductor value chain. Here are our key takeaways.
TSFA TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD. SPONSORED ADR
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
BSI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
KLAC KLA CORPORATION
AMD ASML HOLDING N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
AVGO ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
SOH1 ASML
BESI BROADCOM INC.
SOITEC
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Downgrading Micron: Cyclical patterns should prevail, even along secul...
Memory fundamentals are strong, with HBM demand rising alongside a recovery in conventional memory, while supply stays tight. We expect a series of earnings beats over the coming quarters. However, Micron trades at peak multiples, and we expect those beats to be offset by continued multiple compression, consistent with past cycles—likely resulting in muted stock performance. We therefore downgrade Micron to Neutral, with a $190 target. For now, we prefer TSMC. It offers AI exposure comparable ...
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
ODDO : Mémoire : Et si nous étions à l’aube d’un ‘supercycle’ ?
Les prix de la mémoire ont progressé de 15% sur un mois et de ~30% YTD. Cela reflète une forte tension sur l’offre alors que la demande IA est plus élevée qu’attendu. Les stocks de mémoires sont, par ailleurs, au plus bas, ouvrant la voie en 2026 à un supercycle, tiré par l’IA mais aussi par l’intégration de l’Edge AI dans les smartphones/PC. Un marché des semis à ~+15/20% en 2026 est crédible dans ce contexte. Dans notre couverture, cela devrait d’abord bénéficier à ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi e...
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Bruno Cavalier
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
HO THALES SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
BAS BASF SE
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
SIK SIKA AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Bruno Cavalier
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
NDA AURUBIS AG
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TECN TECAN GROUP AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
FTG111 FLATEXDEGIRO AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ARVEN ARVERNE GROUP SA
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Bruno Cavalier
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
NDA AURUBIS AG
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TECN TECAN GROUP AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VACN VAT GROUP AG
FTG111 FLATEXDEGIRO AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ARVEN ARVERNE GROUP SA
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Bruno Cavalier
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
HO THALES SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
BAS BASF SE
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
SIK SIKA AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
ODDO : Memory: What if we were on the eve of a super cycle?
Memory prices have risen by 15% m-o-m and by ~30% since the start of 2025. This reflects a tight supply situation, with demand for AI stronger than expected. Memory inventories are also at an all-time low, paving the way for a super cycle in 2026, driven by AI but also by the integration of Edge AI in smartphones/PCs. A semis market at ~+15-20% in 2026 is a credible scenario in this context. In our coverage, this should first benefit ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi and SUSS (Outperform vs Neutral), f...
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
Applied Materials and Arizona State University Celebrate Opening of ‘M...
Applied Materials and Arizona State University Celebrate Opening of ‘Materials-to-Fab’ Center TEMPE, Ariz., Oct. 09, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. and Arizona State University (ASU) today marked the official opening of the Materials-to-Fab Center, a shared world-class $270 million research, development and prototyping facility inside the university’s at in Tempe. A ribbon-cutting event was held at the Center as semiconductor industry leaders from around the globe gathered in nearby Phoenix for the SEMICON West conference. Applied Materials executives, including Dr. P...
ASML appoints next Chief Technology Officer
ASML appoints next Chief Technology Officer ASML appoints next Chief Technology Officer Marco Pieters appointed ASML Chief Technology Officer ASML Supervisory Board intends to reappoint CFO Roger Dassen and COO Frédéric Schneider-Maunoury, and to appoint CTO Marco Pieters to the Board of Management as of the April 2026 AGM VELDHOVEN, The Netherlands, October 9, 2025 – ASML Holding NV (ASML) today announced the appointment of Marco Pieters as Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer, reporting to President and Chief Executive Officer, Christophe Fouquet. With over 25 years of...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Semicap and the $3tn AI bull-case: material upside, but well below the...
We published earlier this week our updated view on the Semicap rally, looking at the implication of AI spending tripling by 2030 for WFE spending. Today, we publish a follow-up looking at the implications of the $3tn AI bull case for Semicap on a single slide.
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back
Applied Materials Unveils Next-Gen Chipmaking Products to Supercharge ...
Applied Materials Unveils Next-Gen Chipmaking Products to Supercharge AI Performance Kinex™ is the industry’s first integrated die-to-wafer hybrid bonding system; enables production of higher performance, lower power advanced logic and memory chips Xtera™ system enables higher performance Gate-All-Around transistors at 2nm and beyond by depositing void-free, uniform epitaxial layersPROVision™ 10 eBeam metrology system improves yield of complex 3D chips by providing sub-nanometer resolution, fast throughput and deep imaging SANTA CLARA, Calif., Oct. 07, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Ma...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Does the Semicap rally have legs? Downgrading ASML to Neutral
The outlook for AI spending has strengthened in recent months, driving a rally in Semicap stocks. Our forecast embeds AI capex tripling by 2030, requiring ~$130bn of cumulative WFE spending, but driven by the first-order derivative of AI deployments, i.e. peak acceleration this year and peak spending next year; a trajectory in expectations already and resulting in a weak outlook beyond 2026. With near-term uncertainty, limited upside to 2026 forecasts, and valuations 2–12 turns above historic ...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 02 OCTUBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SECTOR BANCARIO. EUROPA: ASML, INFORME ANUAL, NOKIA. Subidas en bolsa con malos datos A pesar de un comienzo con dudas, las bolsas europeas terminaron con ganancias después de que los malos datos desde EE.UU. apoyen bajadas de tipos por parte de la Fed. Sobre el shutdown pocos avances, el gobierno federal habría congelado 26.000 M dólares para los estados de tendencia demócrata (18.000 M dólares en infraestructuras para la ciudad de Nueva York). E...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
OpenAI should account for 17% of expectations for Nvidia 2027 datacent...
Total capex required to meet OpenAI’s needs could reach ~$130bn by 2027, roughly equal to what consensus forecasts, on average, for each of the top four hyperscalers over the same horizon. In this note, we estimate how much of Nvidia’s datacenter revenue expectations this represents.
Applied Materials and GlobalFoundries Partner to Accelerate AI-Powered...
Applied Materials and GlobalFoundries Partner to Accelerate AI-Powered Photonics Applied is leveraging its leadership in materials engineering to provide the highest quality waveguides for augmented reality glasses SANTA CLARA, Calif. and SINGAPORE, Sept. 23, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. today announced a strategic collaboration with GlobalFoundries (GF) to establish a state-of-the-art waveguide fabrication facility at GF Singapore to accelerate the emerging photonics inflection driven by AI. The collaboration marks a significant milestone in the evolution of photon...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
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