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Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: December Edition

What you need to know: • 2025 marked a decisive breakout for metals, with silver and gold delivering roughly 9x and 4x the YTD return compared to the S&P 500, capped by December highs that saw gold hit a new all-time high. • Mining equities extended their strength in December, with the GDX (+3.1%), GDXJ (+4.1%), SILJ (+7.5%), and COPX (+11.5%) outperforming broader indices (S&P 500 -0.1%, TSX +1.1%). • The macro backdrop remains supportive, with markets pricing in aggressive U.S. rate cuts, a ~...

Ben Pirie ... (+3)
  • Ben Pirie
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Q4/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!

Q4/25 capped off a strong finish to the year for Atrium Research, as supportive commodity price trends and improving small-cap sentiment continued to drive performance across our coverage universe. Our covered stocks increased 21% on average during Q4/25 and are now up 170% over the past year, materially outperforming the TSX and TSXV, which gained 6% and 45% during the quarter, respectively, and 28% and 61% on a YoY basis. Performance was broad-based, with several names delivering outsized retu...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

FRG: Phase 2 Program at Alotta Hits Big

What you need to know: • This morning, FRG announced assay results from the rest of hole-012 as well as the results for hole-013 drilled at the Alimony Zone. • Hole-013 intersected 0.66 g/t Au over 112m (from 35m), including 1.04 g/t over 56m. • This Phase 2 program, with 50% of assays reported, has already exceeded expectations with 2 out of 2 drill holes intersecting meaningful gold intervals (~800m apart). • The La Estrella Coal Project in Colombia is expected to produce its first coal from ...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: November Edition

What you need to know: • Gold held strong in the low-$4,000/oz range (rising at the end of the month), silver extended its rally with an 18.5% increase, while copper capped off the month above $5.25/lb. • Mining equities rebounded sharply in November, with the GDX (+15.5%), GDXJ (+16.6%), SILJ (+16.7%), and COPX (+4.1%) massively outperforming broader indices (S&P 500 +0.4%, TSX +3.8%). • Policy momentum improved as the U.S. added copper and silver to its critical minerals list, G20 leaders opp...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

FRG: High-Grade Struck at Alotta in First Hole of Phase 2 Program

What you need to know: • This morning, FRG announced assay results from rushed samples (due to visible gold mineralization) which intercepted 105 g/t Au over 1.25m. • More samples from the high-grade hole ALT-25-012 are still pending while assays are outstanding for the remaining three holes of the Phase 2 program. • The La Estrella Coal Project in Colombia is expected to produce its first coal from the bulk sample by year-end. This morning, Forge Resources Corp. (FRG:CSE, FRGGF:OTC) announce...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: October Edition

What you need to know: • Gold reached new record highs above $4,300/oz before settling around $4,000/oz, while silver climbed for the sixth consecutive month. • Despite this rise in metal prices, mining equities underperformed, with the GDX down 5.7%, GDXJ down 5.5%, and SILJ down 7.3%, and COPX up 3.1%, compared to the S&P 500 (+2.5%) and TSX (+0.8%). • Geopolitical developments, including the U.S. $5B critical minerals fund, G7 stockpiling alliance, and Trump's new partnerships with Australi...

Ben Pirie ... (+3)
  • Ben Pirie
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Q3/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!

Q3/25 marked a particularly strong quarter for Atrium, as precious metal prices continued to rise rapidly, driving notable outperformance across our coverage. Our covered stocks increased 46% on average in Q3/25 and are up 227% over the past year, outperforming the TSX, which gained 12% during the quarter and 37% YoY, and TSXV, which gained 29% and 67%, respectively. This builds on the 27% increase from our coverage universe in Q2/25. Top performers from our coverage this quarter include Andean ...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: September Edition

What you need to know: • In September, gold rose 10.8% to approach $3,900/oz and silver surged 14.4% toward $46/oz, marking five straight months of gains. • Mining equities strongly outperformed, with GDX, GDXJ, SILJ, and COPX up 20.9%, 23.7%, 23.9%, and 20.1%, respectively, versus the S&P 500 (+3.4%) and TSX (+5.1%). • Sector momentum was reinforced by the Fed rate cut, record financing activity among juniors, and the announcement of the $53B Teck–Anglo American merger, the largest deal in ove...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

FRG: Drilling at Alotta Continues to Excite

What you need to know: • This morning, FRG announced visual observations of mineralization from the first diamond drill hole of the Phase 2 2025 drill program (which recently commenced). • Hole ALT-25-012 intersected polymetallic veins, with one vein containing numerous grains of visible gold. Assays remain pending. • Drilling is currently underway at the Alimony Target, and FRG plans to drill an additional 3-4 holes as part of the Phase 2 program. • The La Estrella Coal Project in Colombia i...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

FRG: Phase 1 Drill Program Complete at Alotta, Phase 2 Starting

What you need to know: • FRG announced the final assay results from the two remaining holes of its Phase 1 five-hole diamond drill program. • The two holes intersected strong Au-Cu porphyry style mineralization, with hole ALT-25-010 intersecting three wide zones of mineralization. • The La Estrella Coal Project continues to advance with coal extraction expected in Q4/25 by way of its 20,000-ton bulk sample. • We recently published an interview with CEO PJ Murphy; watch it here. This morning, ...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: August Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market saw a resurgence in August, reaching record highs, following a subpar couple of previous months. • In August, gold was up 5%, silver was up 7%, and copper was down 2%. The equities massively outperformed the commodities, with the GDX, GDXJ, SIL, and COPX up 22.2%, 24.6%, 22.9%, and 15.8%, respectively. • Sector multiples are beginning to expand as gold firmly holds above $3,000/oz and silver surpasses $40/oz. Sentiment Update The mining se...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

FRG: Tests From Coal Seam Confirm Excellent Quality

What you need to know: • FRG reported premium coal quality results from recently intersected coal seam while driving the decline at the La Estrella Project, Colombia. • Analysis confirmed a calorific value of 13,846 BTU/lb, sulphur of 0.82%, low ash/moisture, and a Free Swelling Index of 4. • The coal was extracted from the 0.5–1.0m seam encountered during underground decline development. • We recently published an interview with CEO PJ Murphy, watch it here. Yesterday, Forge Resources Corp. (...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

FRG: First Drill Results at Alotta Confirms Thesis

What you need to know: • FRG reported three drill results from Phase 1 at Alotta, confirming porphyry-style gold at both the Severance and Payoff Zones. • Hole ALT-25-008 returned 0.911 g/t Au over 20.49m within 0.416 g/t Au over 188m, with visible gold and strong alteration throughout. • Results from an additional two Phase 1 drill holes are pending. • We recently initiated coverage on FRG, read the report here. This morning, Forge Resources Corp. (FRG:CSE, FRGGF:OTC) announced assay result...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: July Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market settled in July, following a tremendous run over the last six months. • In July, gold was down 1%, silver was up 2%, and copper down 13%. The equities underperformed the commodities, with the GDX, GDXJ, SIL, and COPX down 0.8%, 5.0%, 1.5%, and 4.2%, respectively. • Financings remained elevated during July, with various juniors raising funds as capital continues to trickle down. Sentiment Update The mining sector saw mixed sentiment in July,...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

FRG: Discovers Coal Seam While Driving Decline

What you need to know: • Forge announced that while driving the decline at the La Estrella project, a coal seam was encountered measuring 0.5-1.0m in thickness. • The Company has taken channel samples for lab analysis to assess the coal’s quality and market suitability. • We recently initiated coverage on FRG, read the report here. This morning, Forge Resources Corp. (FRG:CSE, FRGGF:OTC) announced that it has encountered a coal seam while advancing the underground decline at its fully permi...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

FRG: Anchored in Coal, Leveraged to Discovery

What you need to know: • Forge Resources owns 80% of the fully permitted La Estrella coal project in Colombia. Extraction will start as early as January 2026 with a 20,000 ton bulk sample and ramp significantly after that. • The Alotta copper-gold project in Yukon is an early-stage asset 40km from the world-class Casino deposit. FRG looks to take advantage of rising gold and copper prices as it currently explores the property. • FRG trades at just 2.6x 2027E EBITDA. Forge Resources Corp. (FRG:C...

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