Notre scénario central s’est concrétisé dans la nuit : Donald Trump remporte la présidentielle américaine, et le choix des électeurs ne devrait pas être contesté. Il pourrait disposer d’une majorité dans les deux assemblées. Les actions américaines en seront les premières bénéficiaires. Sur les actions européennes, les secteurs les plus gagnants seront l’Energie, les Médias, les Métaux, Construction & Materials, Financial Services, Insurance. Sont en revanche plus à risque Utilities, ...
Our baseline scenario materialised last night: Donald Trump seems to be on course to win the US presidential election, and the choice of the electorate is unlikely to be challenged. He could end up with a majority in both houses of Congress. US equities will be the first to benefit from this development. In European equities, the biggest winners will be Energy, Media, Metals, Construction & Materials, Financial Services and Insurance. More at risk, however, are the Utilities, Spirits,...
>Outperform rating maintained – target price raised to € 50 (vs € 48) - We remain positive on GCO following its broadly solid Q3/9M 2024 figures and given a still attractive valuation (despite marked re-rating YTD +23%, i.e. +3pp vs SIXE sector index) in view of the group’s solid fundamentals and niche profile. We have raised our net income estimates for 2024-26e (+7% on average) thanks to still robust momentum for both traditional insurance and credit insurance, but ...
>Opinion Surperformance confortée – OC porté à 50 € (vs 48 €) - Notre call reste positif sur GCO après des chiffres T3/9M 2024 globalement solides et compte tenu d’une valorisation toujours attractive (malgré le net re-rating observé YTD +23%, i.e. +3 pp vs indice sectoriel SIX) au regard des fondamentaux solides et du profil de niche du groupe. Nous rehaussons nos estimations de RN sur 2024-26e (+7% en moyenne) sur fond de momentum toujours solide à la fois dans l’as...
We host our 4th ODDO BHF Iberian Forum on the 1st and 2nd of October 2024 virtually. In total, 63 companies will be presenting. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback of the company on day 1. - >Acciona (=) : Confidence in Non-energy business steady, Acciona Energía stake sparks intense scrutiny - Acciona Energia (=/-) : A trajectory beyond 2024 to be explained at the 9 months results - Acerinox (=/-): Softness persists in Europe and US - Amadeus (=/+): sol...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: AIRBUS, LVMH. China sigue animando los mercados Nueva jornada de rebote tras las caídas del día anterior y con los estímulos de China como principal protagonista. El Ibex por su parte superó los 11.900 puntos marcando máximos de 2010. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron B. Consumo y R. Básicos frente a Energía que fue el peor con caídas superiores al -3,0%. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona la M...
NEWS SUMMARY: GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE, IBERDROLA. China continues to spur the markets Another rally following the previous day’s drops, and with stimulus measures in China in the spotlight, where in addition to those already known, there could be capital injections in the country’s main banks over the coming days. The IBEX rose above 11,900 points, hitting a high since 2010. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Consumer Goods and Basic Materials vs. Energy, which was the worst pe...
>Outperform rating maintained - Target price raised to € 48 (vs € 47) - We remain positive on GCO after broadly robust Q2 2024 figures and based on the still attractive valuation (despite the clear re-rating YTD of +27%, i.e. +15 points vs the SIXE sector index) relative to the group’s solid fundamentals and niche profile. We slightly upgrade our net income estimates for 2024-2026e (+3% on average) against the backdrop of still favourable momentum in the two activitie...
>Opinion Surperformance maintenue – OC porté à 48 € (vs 47 €) - Nous restons positifs sur GCO après des chiffres T2 2024 globalement solides et compte tenu d’une valorisation toujours attractive (malgré le net re-rating observé YTD +27%, i.e. +15 pt vs indice sectoriel SIXE) au regard des fondamentaux solides et du profil de niche du groupe. Nous rehaussons légèrement nos estimations de RN sur 2024-26e (+3% en moyenne) sur fond de momentum toujours favorable sur les 2...
NEWS SUMMARY: FERROVIAL, GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE, NEINOR HOMES, TALGO. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 2Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Drops moderate with US data It was a negative session again in Europe, with poor macro data from France and Germany, but drops moderated after the good 2Q’24 GDP data released in the US. Thus, most se...
>Outperform rating maintained – target price raised to € 47.0 (vs € 46.0) - GCO’s Q1 2024 figures broadly underpin our positive stance on the stock, as does the attractive valuation (despite the marked re-rating seen YTD of +16%, +5 pt ahead of the SIXE sector index), given its robust fundamentals and niche profile. We have slightly upgraded our 2024-2026 net income estimates (+2% on average), with a broadly confident stance on momentum for the two businesses (traditi...
>Opinion Surperformance réitérée – OC porté à 47.0 € (vs 46.0 €) - Notre call positif sur GCO est conforté après des chiffres T1 2024 globalement solides, et par une valorisation attractive (malgré le net rerating observé YTD +16%, i.e. +5 pt vs indice sectoriel SIXE) au regard des fondamentaux solides et du profil de niche du groupe. Nous rehaussons légèrement nos estimations de RN sur 2024-26e (+2% en moyenne) avec un biais globalement confiant sur le momentum des 2...
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