HEADLINES: • Kety: key takeaways from the FY25E guidance conference call NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: parliament may table draft bill to repay municipal power bills POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: agrees to sell Depa Commercial to the Greek State for EUR 0.2bn POSITIVE • GEK Terna: Terna Energy – Masdar files for public offer to take out the minorities POSITIVE • Short News (PEO)
HEADLINES: • Tauron: 2025-35 strategy - very ambitious targets, but unrealistic, in our view NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: decides to discontinue Project 8 NEGATIVE • Kety: preliminary 4Q24 results flat yoy NEUTRAL • Kety: management guidance for 2025E NEGATIVE • Hungary macro: MNB reinforces the hawkish stance • MOL: to acquire additional upstream and infrastructure assets in Hungary NEUTRAL • CTP: buys EUR 155m land plot in Dusseldorf, Germany • Baltic Classifieds Group: CEO sells 4m shares (0.8% ...
HEADLINES: • LPP: soft 3Q24 – EBIT down 9% yoy; FY24E guidance maintained; FY25E guidance in line with our expectations on P&L, but rollout acceleration to 35-40% yoy NEGATIVE • Romania macro: update on inflation and the political negotiations • AmRest: interim dividend of EUR 0.07 POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: launches project analysis, may result in impairment losses NEGATIVE • Enea: highlights from management board meeting on strategy update NEUTRAL • Richter: FDA accepts submission for denosuma...
HEADLINES: • Cyfrowy Polsat: court in Liechtenstein appoints administrator for Zygmunt Solorz’s foundations NEGATIVE • Polish banks: to face the same dividend guidance from the watchdog as last year NEUTRAL • PZU: PFSA issues dividend payment guidance for 2025 NEUTRAL • PCF Group: limits scope of work on Project Bifrost and suspends work on Project Victoria NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: releases new Update 2.2 for Cyberpunk 2077 NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: cancellation of own shares NEUTRAL
We have updated our financial model to reflect recent macroeconomic developments, setting a 2025 year-end ex-dividend target price of 2,950 HUF, representing a 21.43% upside including the anticipated HUF 275 dividend following the 2024 fiscal year. Consequently, we maintain our Accumulate recommendation for MOL.
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: strong FY 1H25 financial results; conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Kety: Roman Przybylski (current deputy CEO) to become new CEO NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: update on the US class action lawsuit regarding the technical solutions used by GOG NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: starts marketing campaign for Moonlighter 2 publishing project NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2024 • 11 bit studios: postcard from Prague • Benefit Systems: postcard from Prague...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: important comments ahead of the second round of elections • Poland macro: NBP extends the pause • PGE: CEO comments on strategy, coal assets and nuclear power plant NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: Magyar aims to unlock EU funds and enter the Eurozone • Türkiye macro: November inflation shows key challenge remains in food prices • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2024 • Asseco Poland: postcard from Prague • Text: postcard from Prague • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: postca...
EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: parliamentary elections deliver relative victory to pro-EU parties • 4iG: 3Q24 results review – 14% yoy increase in reported EBITDA, in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 3Q EBITDA +13% yoy, slightly above expectations POSITIVE • Kazakhstan macro: NBK hikes by 100bps • cyber_Folks/Shoper: key takeaways from the call on the Shoper stake acquisition POSITIVE • Tauron: 3Q24 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • MOL: to divest its stake in its synthetic rubber bus...
HEADLINES: • PZU: newswires drop a bomb just before company's strategic update – Bank Pekao may buy a 32% stake in Alior from PZU • cyber_Folks: concludes preliminary agreement to purchase a 49.9% stake in Shoper for a total of PLN 547.5m NEUTRAL • Shoper: preliminary agreement for the sale of 49.9% of SHO's shares to cyber_Folks at PLN 39/share NEUTRAL • Duna House: 3Q24 results – a good set of numbers POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: 3Q24 results beat expectations POSITIVE • Tauron: full 3Q24 results i...
EM sovereigns have coped well with the volatility and higher rates environment seen from the US but spread levels could be shaken up from near all-time tights by January issuance and more clarity on the impact from Trump's economic policies. For now, generally improving fundamentals are supportive, but political risks as always remain key.
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: 3Q24 in line with our forecasts; solid trading update; 2025E outlook and 2025-27E strategy POSITIVE • Patria Bank: strong 3Q24 results POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 3Q24 EBITDA 1-4% below our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Footshop (NOT RATED): solid 3Q24; 2024E guidance boosted POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 3Q24 – flat RASK, CASKX up 14%; 27% lower EBIT, on 4% lower ASK (in line) NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: 3Q24 post-results webcast takeaways POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: ke...
HEADLINES: • 11 bit studios: 3Q24 surprises slightly positively, but ytd Frostpunk 2 sales disappoint NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: small beat in 3Q24 – new Cioccolatitaliani franchise signed for Italy POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 3Q24 – flat RASK, CASKX up 14%; 27% lower EBIT, on 4% lower ASK (in line) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 3Q24 results and interim dividend NEUTRAL • OTE: 3Q24 results review – soft quarter, with flat yoy adjusted EBITDA, in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 3Q24 results N...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today affirmed the Baa2/P-2 long- and short-term deposit ratings and the Baa3/P-3 long- and short-term issuer ratings of Banca Transilvania S.A. (BT). The outlook on the long-term deposit and issuer ratings was changed to positive from stable. We also affirmed BT's ba...
HEADLINES: • AmRest: 3Q24 in line, on a EUR 9m positive one-off NEGATIVE • Eurocash: 3Q24 weak, as expected; FY25E guidance cancelled NEGATIVE • cyber_Folks: 3Q24 results review – 26% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 3Q24 EBITDA up 26% yoy, 22-28% above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • Allegro: 3Q24 EBITDA beat, but yoy decline guided for 4Q24E, due to international operations NEUTRAL • Vercom: 3Q24 results - 28% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with ou...
HEADLINES: • Athens Exchange Group: set sail to dividend wonderland (BUY - transfer of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: Central Asia and the Caucasus – USD 1,000bn GDP by 2030! • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one – the Year-Ahead issue • Graphisoft Park: 3Q24 – on course for another good year POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: rather neutral set of 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: 3Q24 – 22% higher CASKX alleviated by 4% higher RASK and 12% lower fuel CASK (in line with the consensus) • Bank of...
HEADLINES: • BIM: weak operating results in 3Q24 NEGATIVE • CEZ: 3Q24 bottom-line miss due to accounting changes; EBITDA guidance raised by 7% POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 3Q24 – 22% higher caskx alleviated by 4% higher RASK and 12% lower fuel cask (in line with the consensus) • Richter: 3Q24 operating results in line NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: preliminary 3Q24 EBIT falls 22% yoy, 9-12% below our expectations and the market NEGATIVE • Auto Partner: October sales growth at 13% yoy, broadly as expect...
HEADLINES: • Banca Transilvania: stellar 3Q24 print sponsored by OTP RO integration POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 3Q24 results – small beat; FY24E guidance reiterated; buyback programme expires POSITIVE • Sok Marketler: highly weak set of results in 3Q24 NEGATIVE • ONE United Properties: 3Q24 broadly in line with recent trends NEUTRAL • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 3Q24 financial results NEGATIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: 3Q24 results highlights – improved outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: Oc...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: solid 3Q24 results, in line with our forecasts; future share price performance depends on growth guidance and/or capital distribution NEUTRAL • CCC: historically-best quarterly EBITDA 9% above our expectations, due to opex control POSITIVE • Dino Polska: 4-8% EBITDA beats in 3Q24, EBITDA back on the rise POSITIVE • InPost: 3Q24 in line with expectations; FY24E guidance upgrade POSITIVE • MOL: 3Q24 results – EBITDA in line with our and the consensus estimates NEUTRAL • Wizz...
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