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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 01/11/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.80 per share: Another positive operating update – The work-overs of two new existing wells have added 441 boe/d after a combined 20 m of previously unperforated reservoir pay was accessed. The first well is producing 410 boe/d. It was previously shut-in. The second well is producing an extra 31 boe/d (+65%) and continues to clean-up. With a total cost of 100 wells on Condor’s fields includ...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
 PRESS RELEASE

Scatec third quarter 2024: Strong financial performance

Scatec third quarter 2024: Strong financial performance Oslo, 1 November 2024: In the third quarter, Scatec reported proportionate revenues of NOK 2.42 billion (2.37 billion), with an EBITDA of NOK 1.52 billion (0.89 billion). Scatec’s power plants generated 1,254 GWh in the quarter, up from 1,047 GWh in the same quarter last year on a proportionate basis, mainly driven by new plants in operation. Power production revenues were NOK 1.77 billion (1.04 billion) and EBITDA ended at 1.54 billion (0.81 billion). The increase was mainly driven by an accounting gain from the divestment in South ...

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad
Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Aker Solutions (Hold, TP: NOK48.00) - Small SOTP discount removed

Having repeatedly said a capital allocation strategy update would be provided with the Q4 results, it surprised the market by announcing a dividend of NOK21/share (46% of market cap) prior to the Q3 results, effectively meaning all liquid investments are to be distributed. We expect focus to be on the value of ‘the stub’, its 20% OneSubsea stake and proper working capital adjustments. As our SOTP had a 5% discount on the items now being distributed, we have increased our target price to NOK48 (4...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

BlueNord (Buy, TP: NOK610.00) - Catalysts should be lined up ahead

The underlying Q3 results were virtually in line with our estimates and consensus. We see several potential share price catalysts over the next months, with the Tyra restart set for the second half of November and a sequential ramp-up to plateau in December. Moreover, we expect to gain more understanding of the volume potential from the recent successful HEMJ exploration well, which could help to extend the production plateau for BlueNord. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to...

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
 PRESS RELEASE

Transocean Ltd. Reports Third Quarter 2024 Results

Transocean Ltd. Reports Third Quarter 2024 Results  Three months ended     Three months ended    September 30,  June 30,    sequential September 30,     year-over-year 2024 2024 change 2023 change(In millions, except per share amounts, percentages and backlog)                  Contract drilling revenues$948   $861   $87   $713   $235 Adjusted contract drilling revenues$948   $861   $87   $721   $227 Revenue efficiency (1) 94.5 %    96.9 %        95.4 %     Operating and maintenance expense$563   $534   $29   $524   $39 Net loss attributable to controlling interest$(494)  $(123)  $(371)  $(2...

Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Transocean (Buy, TP: USD5.50) - Better positioned than peers

Despite increased uncertainty in the deepwater market, Transocean remains better positioned than peers for the coming years due to its high-quality fleet and service offering, backlog coverage and solid commercial capabilities. Due to these factors, and less downside to consensus than peers, we believe it deserves a premium valuation. We reiterate our BUY and USD5.5 target price.

Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Aker Solutions (Hold, TP: NOK46.00) - Low visibility beyond 2025

Despite our expectation of continued strong execution near-term (reflected in our increased 2025e EBITDA), we believe the combination of weak prospects for new large orders and the upcoming working capital unwind will weigh on the stock in the quarters ahead. We find it fairly valued on our SOTP and believe investor focus will gradually shift towards the lack of backlog upon completion of the Aker BP portfolio projects. We reiterate our HOLD and NOK46 target price.

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold

Q3: EBITDA in line, Tyra plateau still expected in Q4

Q3 EBITDA of USD 85m, vs cons of USD 89m. Tyra plateau production still expected in Q4. Report looks much as expected.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Potential exploration catalysts

Exploration activity on the NCS has remained high into Q4, with six exploration wells and one appraisal ongoing, and up to 10 more expected by year-end, representing 1.3bn boe in total resource potential. We consider Bounty, Arkenstone, Falstaff, and Kvernbit as key wells to keep an eye on. In our view, OKEA stands out relative to its own size due to its 20% stake in the upcoming Arkenstone well, with substantial upside potential if successful. Meanwhile, we believe Equinor, Aker BP, and Vår Ene...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 25 October 2024

This week, we summarise this week's most important newsflow on the companies under our coverage.

Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Valuation and market update

In this note, we show updated valuation and market statistics for the Offshore Drilling sector.

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