Skanska (Buy, TP: SEK255.00) - Volatile miss in Q1

Q1 EBIT missed, as the Residential and Commercial Development divisions had weaker-than-expected results. We have reduced our recovery expectations for these segments due to continued softness in Nordic housing sales and a slow recovery in US commercial property development. However, we still see upside potential in our SOTP-based valuation and reiterate our BUY. Nevertheless, based on our lowered forecasts, we have reduced our target price to SEK255 (270).

Q1 trends, estimates, valuation and top picks

Still in a solid position

Solid Construction results

Alfa Laval (Buy, TP: SEK515.00) - Marine margin thesis playing out

Alfa Laval had an optically weak quarter, but it was clean in operational performance. Early signs of macro caution emerged through a newly introduced “cost prudence initiative” and repeated comments pointing to softer Marine order intake from Q2, but overall stable demand for the group. Still, margin execution was strong, with Marine reaching 21.8%, confirming our positive thesis in the stock, which is now one of the few in the sector where we expect earnings growth YOY in 2025. We have cut our...

A few things to worry about, but a lot to like

Messy Q1, but orders slightly behind, margin slightly ahead

Heads-up for report 29 April

Q1 solid vs. low expectations in a tough market

Hexpol (Buy, TP: SEK96.00) - Better than expected

After the weak gross margin in Q4 (on an unfavourable mix) and recent macro turmoil, the pressure was on for Hexpol’s results to improve, and Q1 was somewhat above our expectations and consensus despite continued negative product mix. Management has not (yet) seen raised raw material prices in the US from tariffs, but historically Hexpol has always passed on price increases. Our adj. 2025–2027e EBITA is broadly unchanged, and we reiterate our BUY and SEK96 target price.

Hexpol AB: 1 director

A director at Hexpol AB bought 2,500 shares at 84.900SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...

Solid bounce back after weak Q4 as promised

Telia Company (Buy, TP: SEK39.00) - On track towards full-year targets

Telia reported a solid Q1, with 1.8% service revenue growth YOY, 6.7% EBITDA growth, and SEK1.7bn in FCF. The performance strengthens our view that Telia can reach its full-year targets. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to SEK39 (38.5).

Telia Company AB: 2 directors

Two Directors at Telia Company AB bought 36,000 shares at between 35.430SEK and 35.750SEK. The significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over t...

Good Q1, but heading for deceleration

Telia (Neutral, TP: SEK 37, +5%) Q1 25: Impressive EBITDA acceleratio...

Telia has reported a good set of results, with SR, EBITDA, capex and all-in FCF all better than consensus expectations. The company sounded a note of caution on the call that Q1 Group trends were better than we should expect for the full year; having EBITDA and FCF in the bag already is a good thing, but full year guidance has been reiterated not raised.

Small adj. EBITDA beat, unchanged guidance

Getinge (Buy, TP: SEK250.00) - An in-line report, but global turbulenc...

Reported Q1 earnings were in line with consensus. However, we still believe the turbulent environment with tariffs, huge FX swings and geopolitical uncertainty could hurt the company. We suspect these factors could have a large effect from Q2. The stock market probably read the comments on the global environment as a risk, leading to the sell-off in the stock. We reiterate our BUY and SEK250 target price.

Heads-up for report 24 April

Lack of clarity on margins in '25e