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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telecoms: Orange Belgium's new B2B offensive. BE Semiconductor Industries: Investor Day highlights. Proximus: Sale of Be-Mobile, asset disposals upped from ‘>€500m' to ‘up to €600m'. UCB: To invest in a new US manufacturing site

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Dollar Weakness The impact on our Benelux Coverage

In general, a weaker USD has a negative impact on Benelux stocks, particularly for companies with significant exports to the US. In this note we selected a list of companies with high US export exposure and we examine the potential impact on FY25 earninings. On top of the weak dollar, rising trade tensions or the introduction of tariffs further harm Benelux exporters. As the dollar depreciates against the euro, European goods become costlier for American consumers. At the same time, revenues ear...

Thomas Vranken
  • Thomas Vranken

UCB FIRST LOOK: Expansion of US biologics manufacturing capacity

UCB has announced plans to build a new state-of-the-art biologics manufacturing facility in the US, which today accounts for 55% of its revenues. The investment, estimated at $ 2bn over 6–7 years, is expected to generate a $ 5bn economic impact, including 300 permanent and > 500 construction jobs. This move aligns UCB with other major pharma players expanding US operations and may help mitigate risks from potential US import tariffs on pharmaceuticals. Additionally, UCB will strengthen its partn...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Thomas Vranken
  • Thomas Vranken

UCB FIRS LOOK: Add'l Phase 3 data support dapirolizumab's potential in...

UCB and Biogen presented additional Phase 3 data showing that dapirolizumab pegol (DZP, anti-CD40L) significantly improves fatigue and disease activity in patients with moderate-to-severe systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Beyond the positive topline readout in Nov '24, DZP showed superior results over standard care in multiple fatigue and disease remission measures. Accumulate/€214 TP confirmed.

Thomas Vranken
  • Thomas Vranken

UCB 3-year PsA and axSpA data at EULAR 2025 confirm Bimzelx' efficacy

At EULAR 2025, UCB presented three-year data for Bimzelx, demonstrating sustained efficacy and inflammation control in psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA). In PsA, both biologic-naïve (53.2%) and TNFa-refractory patients (55.2%) maintained strong ACR50 responses and showed high rates of joint and skin symptom resolution. In axSpA, patients with both radiographic and non-radiographic forms sustained ASAS40 responses and low disease activity. These results highlight Bimze...

Thomas Vranken
  • Thomas Vranken

Biotalys Regulatory update points to end of 3Q25 for Evoca's US approv...

Biotalys announced regulatory progress for its lead biofungicide candidate, Evoca, in both the US and Europe. In the US, the EPA confirmed that Biotalys has met its data requirements and expects to complete its review by September 30, 2025. In Europe, Dutch authorities have positively evaluated Evoca's active ingredient as low risk, paving the way for EU-level peer review with Biotalys expecting a potential decision in 2H26. The update provides greater clarity on regulatory timelines, supporting...

Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

argenx FIRST LOOK: Supportive Sjogren's and Myositis POC data at EULAR

argenx announced the presentation of POC results from phase 2 studies evaluating Vyvgart in Sjogren's disease (SjD) and idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM or myositis) at the European Congress of Rheumatology (EULAR), being held 11-15 June. We believe the POC data, showing improvements in disease activity and functional outcomes support the continued development of Vyvgart, with phase 3 trials currently ongoing in both indications. In addition, Vyvgart was granted FDA fast track designation...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+3)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Vranken
Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Care Property Invest A deep dive in the historic lease portfolio

CPINV's lease holds will expire from 2026 till 2043. The first negative impact of two leases that expire in FY26 was visible in the 4Q24/1Q25 rental income. We believe there is a lot of confusion in the investor community around these leases and we aim to debunk some myths with this note. No matter how these scenario's unfold, there will be negative rent reversion on these leases ranging from –60 to -20%. Given the negative rental income drag and the limited upside to our unchanged TP of EUR 14...

 PRESS RELEASE

argenx Presents New Efgartigimod Data at EULAR 2025 Highlighting Posit...

argenx Presents New Efgartigimod Data at EULAR 2025 Highlighting Positive Phase 2 Proof-of-Concept Results in Myositis and Sjogren’s Disease ALKIVIA data demonstrate significant improvement in muscle strength and physical function in myositis patients treated with efgartigimodRHO data show efgartigimod achieved sustained reduction in autoantibodies and improved functional outcomes in patients with Sjogren’s disease; program granted U.S. FDA Fast Track designationargenx committed to new therapeutic areas in rheumatology with ongoing Phase 3 studies in myositis (ALKIVIA) and Sjogren’s disea...

Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

UCB - “Bim’ Me Up Scotty” – INITIATION (BUY, TP EUR215, 54pgs)

We initiate with a BUY due to our proprietary Contribution Analysis showing that the UCB EBITDA margin should explode by ~1500bps to ~45% by 2030. This leaves us 23% above consensus EBITDA. Interestingly, Cimzia is the biggest driver of our 5% above cons. 2030 sales as a result of our analysis showing that ~80% of TRx’s are women & this cohort is stable. We show that Bimzelx pricing could fall as much as 30% by 2030 due to rebates & mix but we are still in-line with consensus. There are still ma...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Agreement reached to create Europe's leading Healthcare REIT. bpost: CMD press release; #Reshape 2029. D'Ieteren: Belgian new car registrations down 11.7% in May, VW down 13.5% Fugro: Meeting with CEO & IR; 2Q25 also has its challenges. UCB: Peer Moonlake held takeover talks with US Merck, FT reports

 PRESS RELEASE

argenx to Present at Goldman Sachs 46th Annual Global Healthcare Confe...

argenx to Present at Goldman Sachs 46th Annual Global Healthcare Conference June 3, 2025Amsterdam, the Netherlands – argenx (Euronext & Nasdaq: ARGX), a global immunology company committed to improving the lives of people suffering from severe autoimmune diseases, today announced that Karl Gubitz, Chief Financial Officer, will participate in a fireside chat at the Goldman Sachs 46th Annual Global Healthcare Conference on Tuesday, June 10, 2025 at 8:40 AM ET in Miami, FL. A live webcast of the presentation may be accessed on the Investors section of the argenx website at . A replay of the w...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+3)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Steven Boumans
FP TOTAL SE
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
APAML APERAM SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
GFC GECINA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
TNG TRANSGENE SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
EVN EVN AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ERA ERAMET SA
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
TTS TRANSPORT TRADE SVCS
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ATO ATOS SE
Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+3)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Steven Boumans
FP TOTAL SE
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
APAML APERAM SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
GFC GECINA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
BAS BASF SE
SAN SANOFI
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
NN NN GROUP N.V.
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
GSK GSK PLC
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
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