S&P 500 Testing Prior Breakout Level DeepSeek appears to have turned the chatbot market upside-down, putting pressure on AI-linked stocks. While the dust has yet to settle, the good news is that the selloff has been largely contained to these AI-linked stocks. The rest of the market did not seem to care; the equal-weighted S&P 500 was roughly flat yesterday. Additionally, market dynamics remain healthy, with Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar (DXY), and WTI crude oil continuing to move lower, and...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
n this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
AT: Flughafen Wien - Q1 in line, very strong April traffic figures, potential guidance hike hinted with H1 results (positive) AT: UNIQA - EBT ahead of RBIe on better than expected investment income, strong combined ratio (positive) PL: PKO BP - Q1 22 bottom-line marginally ahead of expectations (neutral) PL: PZU - Q1 earnings slightly ahead of expectations on better than expected claims performance (positive) RU: Gazprom Neft - Gazprom Neft BoD recommends final dividends (positive) R...
AT: AMAG - Q1 results in line with RBIe but above consensus, major cash drain from NWC, FY 22 EBITDA guidance of > EUR 200 mn heralds (expected) upside to estimates (neutral) AT: Andritz - Record order backlog, in-line results and guidance confirmed (positive) AT: Erste Group - Q1 22 net profit beating expectations / strong core revenues offset by higher opex and weak trading result / guidance for 2022 marginally tweaked upwards / CET1 drop should be only temporary (positive) AT: Oester...
AT: AMAG - Multi-year order from Ruag Aerostructures (positive) AT: IMMOFINANZ - Radka Doehring appointed as a memeber of the executive board (neutral) AT: Polytec - FY 21 results broadly in line with expectations, no guidance on FY 22 (neutral) CZ: CEZ - CEZ to extend Detmarovice hard coal-fired power plant life byond H1 2023 for security of supply reasons (neutral) PL: PGNiG - Disappointing crude output and lower gas distribution volumes to weigh on Q1 earning (negative) RU: Fertil...
AT: Flughafen Wien - March traffic statistics show sequential improvements (positive) AT: S IMMO - Acquisition of 41.5 k sqm Business Park in Bucharest (neutral) HU: Magyar Telekom - AGM approves HUF 15 bn dividend (neutral) PL: Bank Millennium - Q1 22 pre-earnings call (neutral) PL: Bank Pekao - Q1 22 pre-earnings call (neutral) PL: LPP - Higher inventories maintained allowing for 4 months of sales (neutral) PL: mBank - Informing about Q1 level of FX mortgage related risk provisio...
EME Equity Market – March 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks mostly in the black, despite the MSCI EM Europe Index losing half of its value. Following its decline in February, the MSCI EM Europe Index lost in March as well, declining by 49.5% in EUR terms and 50.1% in USD terms. Russia’s MOEX Index added 13.2% in EUR terms and 9.4% RUB terms (we note that Russian companies’ GDRs are still suspended for trading). The Turkish ISE30 Index added 8.2% in EUR terms and 13.3% in local curren...
HEADLINES: • Dom Development: homebuilders critical to alleviating shortage (stays BUY) • 11 bit studios: solid 4Q21 results, with good quality beat vs. both our and market's expectations POSITIVE • Kety: final 4Q21 EBITDA 7% above preliminary forecast POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 4Q21 earnings call NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 4Q21 earnings call NEUTRAL • PKO BP/Alior Bank: another switch in the management board NEGATIVE • Transelectrica: proposes to dis...
MARKET COMMENT - EQUITIES FROZEN, CAPITAL CONTROLS REMAIN AMID FALLOUT OF "SPECIAL MILITARY OPERATION"EPAM Systems surged 8% and VEON 22%, while Polymetal fell 14% on Friday. The ruble fell 1.6-1.7% both in Moscow and offshore to trade around USD/RUB 104-105. While equities remain frozen, trading of ruble-denominated OFZ sovereign debt will resume today. STORIES> How the balance of payments is likely to evolve amid the crisis> Monetary policy set to be stimulatory for a couple of years> CBR Revi...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ТОРГОВЛЯ АКЦИЯМИ ПО-ПРЕЖНЕМУ ЗАМОРОЖЕНА, ОГРАНИЧЕНИЯ НА ДВИЖЕНИЕ КАПИТАЛА СОХРАНЯЮТСЯБумаги EPAM Systems выросли в пятницу в цене на 8%, VEON - на 22%, Polymetal подешевел на 14%. Рубль в Москве и на зарубежных площадках ослаб на 1,6-1,7% до 104-105 за доллар. Торговля акциями на МосБирже по-прежнему заморожена, но сегодня должны возобновиться торги ОФЗ. НОВОСТИ> Денежно-кредитная политика станет стимулирующей> Перспективы платежного баланса в условиях кризиса> Итоги засе...
EME Equity Market – February 2022 Market performance – Russia’s equities bled in February due to the country’s invasion of Ukraine. The MSCI EME Europe Index declined by 38.7% in EUR terms and 38.8% in USD terms. Russian stocks, represented by the MOEX Index, lost the most in February, declining by 34.6% in EUR terms and 30.0% in RUB terms. The Hungarian BUX Index lost 21.8% in EUR terms and 18.2% in HUF terms; while the Polish WIG20 Index declined by 11.7% in EUR and 9.5% in PLN. In Prague, the...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to unprecedented dislocations of capital and resources, on top of human tragedies. The sanctions imposed, by the world’s key nations, on Russia, its politicians, institutions, companies and businessmen, as well as the counter-measures introduced by the Russian government, are wide-ranging and continue to be imposed on a daily basis. The most severe sanctions are related to the freezing of the CBR’s FX reserves, as well as the freezing of non-residents’ assets...
MARKET COMMENT - MSCI RUSSIA -27% D-O-D WHILE RUSSIA-UKRAINE, SANCTIONS NEWS CONTINUE TO DOMINATE INVESTOR ATTENTIONEquity trading in Moscow was canceled for yesterday and today. The government announced a range of measures to stabilize the Russian financial environment, but the measures also create risks for institutional investors. The MSCI Russia fell 27% yesterday, while Russia-Ukraine developments, sanctions news and the OPEC+ discussion are the obvious areas of focus today.STORIES> MSCI to...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ИНДЕКС MSCI RUSSIA ЗА ДЕНЬ УПАЛ НА 27%, В ЦЕНТРЕ ВНИМАНИЯ СИТУАЦИЯ НА УКРАИНЕ И НОВОСТИ О САНКЦИЯХТорги на фондовом рынке в Москве вчера не проводились, и сегодня пауза продолжается. Правительство объявило ряд мер, нацеленных на стабилизацию финансовой ситуации в России, однако эти меры также создают риски для институциональных инвесторов. Индекс MSCI Russia упал на 27%. Сегодня в центре внимания остаются геополитические события. НОВОСТИ> Меры, принимаемые монетарными вла...
CIS EUROBOND MARKETAnother round of new Western sanctions, including a joint commitment from Europe, the US and Canada to freeze the international reserves of the CBR, caused quotes on Russian sovereign Eurobonds to fall 26-35 pp to 35-55% of par. Ukrainian Eurobonds fell 14-35 pp to 35-37% of par.GOVERNMENT DEBTThere was no trading on the Moscow Exchange yesterday. Meanwhile, the CBR raised the key rate to 20%, so it is likely that OFZ yields will exceed 17% in 5y+ tenors once trading resumes i...
РЫНОК ВНЕШНЕГО ДОЛГА СТРАН СНГОчередные санкции со стороны Запада, в том числе совместное заявление Европы, США и Канады о заморозке международных резервов ЦБ РФ, спровоцировали снижение котировок российских суверенных еврооблигаций на 26-35 п. п. до 35-55% от номинала. Украинские суверен-ные еврооблигации подешевели на 14-35 п. п. до 35-37% от номинала.ГОСУДАРСТВЕННЫЕ ЦЕННЫЕ БУМАГИВчера и сегодня торги на МосБирже не проводились. ЦБ РФ поднял ключевую ставку до 20%, поэтому, скорее всего, если ...
NOVATEK OAO (RU), a company active in the Exploration & Production industry, now shows a lower overall rating. The independent financial analyst theScreener just confirmed the fundamental rating of 2 stars out of 4, as well as the stock market behaviour of the title as moderately risky. However, environmental deterioration penalises the general evaluation, which is downgraded to Neutral. As of the analysis date February 22, 2022, the closing price was USD 160.05 and its expected value was estima...
MARKET COMMENT - RTS PLUNGES, RUSSIA RECOGNIZES DNR AND LNR, EYES ON FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS TODAYThe RTS yesterday fell 13.2% to 1,208. Such a sharp fall had not been seen since 2008, and before that 1999. Yesterday's market collapse coincided with public discussions and the after-market announcement of the Russian government's recognition of the independence of the DNR and LNR. STORIES> RTS declines most since 2008, 1999; DNR/LNR recognition> VTB 4Q21 IFRS review: Modest end to year of ...
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