reports
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | A broader game in play; scale meets complexity
Shifting narrative, rotation in progress – OPAP shares fell c15% peak to trough, after the announcement of the deal with Allwyn, before recovering partly as investors continue to digest the story (with the €19.04 cash exit also offering technical support). The pullback has been driven by a rotation in the shareholder base (as the investment case pivots from yield to growth) alongside corporate governance concerns (mostly around the preferred shares granting KKCG 85% of voting rights) & valuation...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | A broader game in play; scale meets complexity
Shifting narrative, rotation in progress – OPAP shares fell c15% peak to trough, after the announcement of the deal with Allwyn, before recovering partly as investors continue to digest the story (with the €19.04 cash exit also offering technical support). The pullback has been driven by a rotation in the shareholder base (as the investment case pivots from yield to growth) alongside corporate governance concerns (mostly around the preferred shares granting KKCG 85% of voting rights) & valuation...
- Pelham Smithers
NEH NETEASE INC. SPONSORED ADR
DIS WALT DISNEY COMPANY
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
9468 KADOKAWA CORPORATION
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
GRVY GRAVITY CO. LTD. ADS
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
7844 JT MARVELOUS INC
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; DIGI RO; TITC GA; ELP...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: 3Q25 – operating recovery overshadowed by loss on bottom line, full-year guidance lowered NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (20-26 October) • DIGI Communications: chooses banks to list its Spanish unit POSITIVE • Titan: Fitch improves outlook to Positive, citing strong financial profile POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: consortium with Chevron wins tender for four new Greek offshore E&P blocks, as expected NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: CFO steps down NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: ann...
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
HUGE HUUUGE
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; EUROB GA; CTPNV NA; PGSUS TI; CIMSA TI; 11B PW; E...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: announces all-share merger with parent Allwyn International NEUTRAL • Eurobank: acquires Fairfax's 80% stake in Eurolife's life insurance business NEUTRAL • CTP: issues EUR 600m 6.5Y green bonds at a 3.625% coupon POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: ASK up 17% in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • Cimsa: grey cement grinding plant in Houston has been commissioned POSITIVE • 11 bit: management board member sold shares worth PLN 0.3m NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (6-12 October) • Titan: ...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | First thoughts - Allwyn deal: Brave new era; from yield to grow...
Transformative deal with Allwyn – Allwyn and OPAP have announced they have agreed to merge through an all-share combination, creating the world’s 2nd-largest listed lottery and gaming operator with a combined equity value of €16bn. The new group will retain its primary listing on the ATHEX, while pursuing a secondary listing in London or New York after completion. It will be renamed Allwyn and re-domiciled to Switzerland, aligning with Allwyn’s global headquarters. Allwyn, which already owns 51....
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | First thoughts - Allwyn deal: Brave new era; from yield to grow...
Transformative deal with Allwyn – Allwyn and OPAP have announced they have agreed to merge through an all-share combination, creating the world’s 2nd-largest listed lottery and gaming operator with a combined equity value of €16bn. The new group will retain its primary listing on the ATHEX, while pursuing a secondary listing in London or New York after completion. It will be renamed Allwyn and re-domiciled to Switzerland, aligning with Allwyn’s global headquarters. Allwyn, which already owns 51....
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Romanian BET in the lead in Septem...
EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
OMV OMV AG
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
- Wedbush Research
XNCR XENCOR INC.
XENE XENON PHARMACEUTICALS INC
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
VYGR VOYAGER THERAPEUTICS INC.
TTWO TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE INC.
TSLA TESLA INC
SIMON SILICON MOTION TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION SPONSORED ADR
RARE ULTRAGENYX PHARMACEUTICAL INC.
PEGA PEGASYSTEMS INC.
PANW PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
NVCR NOVOCURE LTD.
NBIX NEUROCRINE BIOSCIENCES INC.
KURA KURA ONCOLOGY INC.
IMAX IMAX CORPORATION
GERN GERON CORP.
FATE FATE THERAPEUTICS INC
CTMX CYTOMX THERAPEUTICS INC.
CHKP CHECK POINT SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD.
BMRN BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC.
BIIB BIOGEN INC.
ASND ASCENDIS PHARMA A/S SPONSORED ADR
ARDX ARDELYX INC
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
FRX_CN FENNEC PHARMACEUTICALS
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
EA ELECTRONIC ARTS INC.
ANAB ANAPTYSBIO INC.
ARGX ARGENX ADS
MRSN MERSANA THERAPEUTICS
ISR ISORAY
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
IBM INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
APLS APELLIS PHARMACEUTICALS
ZG ZILLOW GROUP INC. CLASS A
DNLI DENALI THERAPEUTICS INC
RCUS ARCUS BIOSCIENCES
SRRK SCHOLAR ROCK HOLDING CORPORATION
KNSA KINIKSA PHARMACEUTICALS
REPL REPLIMUNE GROUP
ARVN ARVINAS HOLDING
STRO SUTRO BIOPHARMA
CRWD CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
STOK STOKE THERAPEUTICS
IDYA IDEAYA BIOSCIENCES
PASG PASSAGE BIO
BDTX BLACK DIAMOND THERAPEUTICS
ACET ADICET BIO INC
KROS KEROS THERAPEUTICS
ZNTL ZENTALIS PHARMACEUTICALS
BEAM BEAM THERAPEUTICS
LRMR LARIMAR THERAPEUTICS INC
PRAX PRAXIS PRECISION MEDICINES
U UNITY SOFTWARE
TVTX TRAVERE THERAPEUTICS INC
VRDN VIRIDIAN THERAPEUTICS INC
PLTK PLAYTIKA HOLDING
RBLX ROBLOX
DAWN DAY ONE BIOPHARMACEUTICALS INC
APP APPLOVIN CORP
ATXS ASTRIA THERAPEUTICS INC
GMTX GEMINI THERAPEUTICS INC
TYRA TYRA BIOSCIENCES INC
EWTX EDGEWISE THERAPEUTICS INC
APGE APOGEE THERAPEUTICS INC
EMBRAC B EMBRACER GROUP AB
DNTH DIANTHUS THERAPEUTICS INC
LAC. LITHIUM AMERICAS CORP NEW
ORKA ORUKA THERAPEUTICS INC
ZBIO ZENAS BIOPHARMA INC.
TLX TELIX PHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED
MAZE MAZE THERAPEUTICS INC
- Alicia Reese
- Kade Barr
- Matthew McCartney
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: GR Refiners; ACP PW; OPAP GA; TRESTATE GA; VRC PW; CBF PW;...
HEADLINES: • Greek Refiners: elevated margins, extended run (HELLENiQ Energy (HOLD) and Motor Oil Hellas (BUY) - transfer of coverage) • Asseco Poland: 2Q25 review – net profit up 33% yoy, 11% above the consensus; 2025 backlog up 9% yoy POSITIVE • OPAP: 2Q25 results – in line NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: 1H25 – FFO at EUR 10m, up 37% yoy POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • cyber_Folks/Shoper: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Shoper: 2Q25 earning...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | First thoughts: Q2 in line, with more confidence for FY25 but i...
Q2 in line with c4-5% growth yoy, DPS €0.50 (EEe €0.60) – Q2’25 has settled broadly in sync with our expectations, with revenue and EBITDA growth decelerating to 5%/4% from c8% in Q2, owing to tough comps. With Joker having risen €18m yoy thanks to the jackpot rollovers (accounting for c2.4% group quarterly growth alone), we estimate other numerical games were -6% (cannibalized by Joker). Betting also turned negative at -2% from +13% in Q1 (tough comps), but this was more than offset by online c...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | First thoughts: Q2 in line, with more confidence for FY25 but i...
Q2 in line with c4-5% growth yoy, DPS €0.50 (EEe €0.60) – Q2’25 has settled broadly in sync with our expectations, with revenue and EBITDA growth decelerating to 5%/4% from c8% in Q2, owing to tough comps. With Joker having risen €18m yoy thanks to the jackpot rollovers (accounting for c2.4% group quarterly growth alone), we estimate other numerical games were -6% (cannibalized by Joker). Betting also turned negative at -2% from +13% in Q1 (tough comps), but this was more than offset by online c...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: INPST NA; GTC PW; AROBS RO; RO Macro; TL Macro; Greek Bank...
HEADLINES: • InPost: 2Q25 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance broadly maintained; domestic market recovery in 3Q POSITIVE • GTC: 2Q25 – bond refinancing critical • AROBS Transilvania Software: 2Q25 – trending up, despite continuing headwind from automotive vertical • Romania macro: fiscal consolidation effort moves forward, but politics remain jittery • Türkiye macro: 2Q GDP momentum points to a stronger 2025E outlook • Greek banks: commit an additional donation of EUR 75m each to s...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Poland – worst performer in August
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
GPP CTP NV
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
ACAG ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
OPTIMAr ELM CO
AQ OPTIMA BANK S.A.
THEON AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
ZAB BANK OF CYPRUS
ALPHA ZABKA GROUP
PE RO ALPHA BANK S.A.
PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OTP HB; CZG CP; 11B PW; CDR PW; TXT PW; SFG RO; M RO; ACAG...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: all about capital returns (stays BUY) • Colt CZ Group SE: acquires SNC – a strategic move POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: 2Q25 EBITDA 14-24% above our and the market's expectations; guidance on new projects POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 2Q25 EBITDA 19-24% above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) results – EBITDA down 21% yoy, 5% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: 2Q25 soft, but better than we expected; FY25E budget cut NEGATIVE • MedLi...
- Wedbush Research
- Alicia Reese
- Kade Barr
- Matthew McCartney
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | Full House in 2025e, but 2026 is another question
The catalyst – Q2’25 results on 3rd Sep look poised to be a positive catalyst: although the numbers are not likely to impress (EE revenues/EBITDA +4% yoy, DPS €0.65) and mgt may abstain from raising the guidance, commentary on the Q3 outlook is likely to be upbeat, as indicated by latest data. This is because of another series of record jackpot rollovers, which have brought Q3 (to-date) Joker GGR >€40m yoy. This means that contrary to market expectations – which envisaged a c€25-30m headwind due...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | Full House in 2025e, but 2026 is another question
The catalyst – Q2’25 results on 3rd Sep look poised to be a positive catalyst: although the numbers are not likely to impress (EE revenues/EBITDA +4% yoy, DPS €0.65) and mgt may abstain from raising the guidance, commentary on the Q3 outlook is likely to be upbeat, as indicated by latest data. This is because of another series of record jackpot rollovers, which have brought Q3 (to-date) Joker GGR >€40m yoy. This means that contrary to market expectations – which envisaged a c€25-30m headwind due...
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