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Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Orange : Equilibrium to be restored. Downgrade to Neutral

>France: market in need of rebalancing and the risk of a return of Altice France - Orange’s Q1 2024 results are a reminder of the market’s current disequilibrium: Iliad and Bouygues are capturing 80% of revenue growth on the market (vs Orange ~20% excluding wholesale which is down), including 100% of net internet growth (Orange 0%) and 80% of net growth in mobile contracts (Orange ~20% - cf. page 1). Admittedly, the fall in Orange’s customer base seems limited to 1% p...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Orange : Un équilibre à retrouver. Opinion abaissée à Neutre

>France : un marché à rééquilibrer et le risque d’un retour d’Altice France - Le T1 2024 d’Orange rappelle le déséquilibre actuel du marché : Iliad et Bouygues captent 80% de la croissance de CA du marché (vs Orange ~20% en excluant le wholesale en recul), dont 100% de la croissance nette internet (Orange 0%) et 80% de la croissance nette des contrats mobile (Orange ~20% - Cf. page 1). Certes, le recul du parc d’Orange semble limité à 1% par an ; mais le risque nous s...

Pierre François Merveille
  • Pierre François Merveille

Iliad : Ambitious growth story

>€ 500m of new 2031 unsecured notes to fund a tender on 2024/2025 notes - On Monday, opco Iliad SA issued € 500m of new 2031 unsecured notes at a yield of 5.375% (expected ratings: Ba2/BB, in line with existing unsecured notes issued by Iliad SA). Proceeds from the new issue will be used for general corporate purposes and, in whole and in part, to finance a tender on the 2024 notes at a price of 99% and 2025 notes at a price of 98.25% for a maximum total amount of €...

Pierre François Merveille
  • Pierre François Merveille

Iliad : Ambitious growth story

>€ 500m of new 2031 unsecured notes to fund a tender on 2024/2025 notes - On Monday, opco Iliad SA issued € 500m of new 2031 unsecured notes at a yield of 5.375% (expected ratings: Ba2/BB, in line with existing unsecured notes issued by Iliad SA). Proceeds from the new issue will be used for general corporate purposes and, in whole and in part, to finance a tender on the 2024 notes at a price of 99% and 2025 notes at a price of 98.25% for a maximum total amount of €...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Orange : Les hausses de prix compensent la faiblesse commerciale au T1...

>Des résultats au T1 2024 très légèrement au-dessus du consensus (1%) - CA du T1 2024 ressort en hausse de 2,1% à 9 850 M€ (0,9% au-dessus du cons. de 9 758 M€), tiré par la croissance en Afrique. L’EBITDAaL du T1 2024 est en hausse de 2,3% à 2 440 M€ (0,4% au-dessus du consensus de 2 430 M€). Les objectifs 2024 sont confirmés : légère croissance de l’EBITDAaL (+2,4% au T1), investissements disciplinés (+3%), FCF > 3,3 Md€ (pas de publication au T1) et dividende de 0,...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Orange : Price hikes offset commercial weakness in Q1 2024

>Q1 2024 results a shade above the consensus (1%) - Q1 2024 revenues grew 2.1% to € 9,850m (0.9% above the consensus forecast for € 9,758m), driven by growth in Africa. Q1 2024 EBITDAaL grew 2.3% to € 2,440m (0.4% above the consensus at € 2,430m). The 2024 targets are confirmed: low growth in EBITDAaL (+2.4% in Q1), investment discipline (+3%), FCF > € 3.3bn (not published in Q1) and a dividend of € 0.75.The good news: effect of the price increases in Fra...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 04/24/2024

Grifols signs a € 1bn private placement to refinance the 2025 unsecured notes.Kering: strong pressure expected on profitability.>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 24/04/2024

Grifols signe un placement privé de 1 md EUR pour refinancer les obligations unsecured 2025Kering : Forte pression attendue sur la rentabilité>...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Iberdrola, Enel, KPN, Heimstaden Bostad, a...

Utilities - Iberdrola: 1Q24 beats estimates. Enel misses carbon reduction target on SLB bonds

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASM International: 1Q24 results - better on all fronts. Heineken: Uphill from here. KPN: 1Q24 in line, guidance slightly increased on Youfone acquisition. Melexis: 1Q24 results in line a relief. Universal Music Group: Spotify 1Q24 Results and guidance beat on margins. Vopak: Good progress to start the year. Wereldhave: 1Q24 LFL slows sharply

Konrad Zomer
  • Konrad Zomer

KPN : Q1 results marginally ahead of consensus and FY guidance raised

>Q1 results show positive momentum – FY guidance raised - In its Q1 earnings release, KPN reported group revenues and adjusted EBITDAaL of €1,377m (+3.3%) and €605m (+3.6%) respectively. This compares with consensus estimates of €1,376m (we at €1,377m) and € 602m (we at €599m) respectively. So results are marginally ahead of consensus. Group capex came in at €302m (css: € 301m) and FCF at €154m (-5.8% yoy with consensus at €173m and we at € 185m, the difference is ex...

 PRESS RELEASE

Press Release Orange: Good start to the year, strong momentum on “Lead...

Press Release Orange: Good start to the year, strong momentum on “Lead the Future” Press releaseParis, 24 April 2024 Financial results at 31 March 2024 Good start to the year, strong momentum on “Lead the Future” Creation of MASORANGE, new leader in SpainAcceleration of revenue and EBITDAaL growth in the first quarterConfirmation of 2024 targets In millions of euros 1Q 20241Q 2023comparablebasis1Q 2023historicalbasischangecomparablebasischangehistoricalbasisRevenues 9,8509,6499,5172.1 %3.5 %EBITDAaL 2,4062,3512,3062.3 %4.3 %eCAPEX (excluding licenses) 1,5501,5121,4932.5 %3.8 %o/w Contin...

 PRESS RELEASE

Communiqué de presse Orange : Solide performance au premier trimestre,...

Communiqué de presse Orange : Solide performance au premier trimestre, bonne dynamique de « Lead the Future » Communiqué de presse Paris, le 24 avril 2024 Information financière au 31 mars 2024 Solide performance au premier trimestre, bonne dynamique de « Lead the Future »  Création de MASORANGE, nouveau leader en EspagneAccélération de la croissance du chiffre d’affaires et de l’EBITDAaL au premier trimestreConfirmation des objectifs annuels 2024 En millions d’euros T1 2024T1 2023à basecomparableT1 2023en donnéeshistoriquesvariationà basecomparablevariationen donnéeshistoriquesChiffre...

 PRESS RELEASE

Q1 2024 results: KPN delivers solid start to the year

Q1 2024 results: KPN delivers solid start to the year Continued Group service revenue growth (+3.6% y-on-y), mainly driven by Consumer (+4.5%) and Business (+3.2%)Ongoing positive net adds in Consumer postpaid +30k and broadband +13k, of which 8k related to Kabeltex acquisitionExpanded fiber footprint with +130k HP in Q1 2024 (+159k HP including Glaspoort)Adj. EBITDA AL of € 605m (+3.6% y-on-y), quarterly FCF generation impacted by intra-year phasingACM unconditionally approved Youfone acquisition, transaction closed on 4 AprilFull year 2024 outlook raised to ~€ 2,500m adjusted EBITDA AL an...

Kris Kippers
  • Kris Kippers

KPN - Solid Q1 and guidance includes Youfone M&A

KPN's Q1 was rock solid and did not contain surprises nor on top line, nor on cash generationThe recently approved transaction of Youfone results in a tweaking of its 2024 guidance and once more it slightly raised its FCF guidance by EUR 10mSolid numbers for the Dutch market leader, Hold maintained

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 04/23/2024

Ethias reports strong FY2023 resultsIliad issues € 500m of new 2031 unsecured notes and launches a tender on the 2024/2025 notesCrelan launches a first Tier 2 2035/2030 issue of € 300m.GACM plans to issue a Tier 2 and a senior bond>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 23/04/2024

Ethias délivre de solides résultats 2023Crelan lance une première émission Tier 2 2035/2030 de 300 m EUR.GACM compte émettre un Tier 2 et une seniorIliad émet 500 m EUR de nouvelles obligations 2031 et lance un tender sur les souches 2024 et 2025>...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France: The bonds are discounting too bearish an outcome

Since the Altice bombshell on 20th March, investors have been trying to work out exactly what it is that Patrick Drahi wants: does he want to check out? Does he want to retain market access?

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