reports
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: New-home Sales Remain Weak In Jan 26; Top Pick: CR Lan...
CRIC data shows top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% YoY in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain an UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below five-year mean, and PE and yield near five year average.
- Audrey Celia
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Damon Shen
- Gigi Cheuk
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum
- Jonathan Koh
- Joyce Chu
- Kate Luang
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Kong Ho Meng
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Thailand Research Team
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, February 03, 2026
Greater China Sector Update | China Property CRIC data show that the top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% yoy in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below the five-year mean, and PE and yield near the five-year average....
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
WPRTS MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
06088 WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
ICBP FIT HON TENG LIMITED
RATCH INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
UHU RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
CRPU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
CICT SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
SCGP CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP SCG PACKAGING PCL
OXMU LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HMN PRIME US REIT
CLCT ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
KORE CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
BBNI KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
GOTO BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CMRY GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
MXNU PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
CLAR ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
DCRU CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: 2025 Results Preview; Second-Hand Home Transactions Sh...
In 2025, CR Land and COLI saw 15-20% yoy profit declines and Longfor’s core profit may turn from positive to negative due to weak DP margins. For 2026, the outlook remains constrained, though as it is the first year of the 15th Five-Year Plan, SOEs are expected to have clearer growth targets. In Jan 26, new-home sales in 28 major cities fell 40% yoy, while second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities declined 4% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT, but we see a rising possibility of policy support.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK): 2025 Results Preview: Expec...
We expect COLI’s core net profit to decline 18.1% yoy in 2025, due to a lower gross profit margin in property development and pressure from inventory impairment. Attributable land investment of COLI (excluding COGO) grew 33% yoy, beating management’s target, with a clear focus on strong Tier 1 cities. We cut our 2025/26/27 earnings forecasts by 14.6%/23.7%/27.4% respectively, and lower our NAV-derived target price to HK$15.14 with an expanded NAV discount. Maintain BUY.
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Jieqi Liu
- Kong Ho Meng
- Malaysia Research Team
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
Greater China Company Update | Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$82.55/Target: HK$103.40) In 4Q25, the Anta brand’s retail sales missed expectations, recording a low single-digit decline. In contrast, Fila achieved mid-single-digit growth, accelerating from low single-digit growth in 3Q25, and all other brands continued to demonstrate robust growth at 35-40%. For 2026, management expects group-level operating margin to face pressure due to the need for sustained investment in both the Anta brand and F...
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
3993 CHINA MOLYBDENUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
UOBKH: Greater China Daily: Wednesday, January 21, 2026 [Update: 2020,...
Top Stories Company Update | Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$82.55/Target: HK$103.40) In 4Q25, the Anta brand’s retail sales missed expectations, recording a low single-digit decline. In contrast, Fila achieved mid-single-digit growth, accelerating from low single-digit growth in 3Q25, and all other brands continued to demonstrate robust growth at 35-40%. For 2026, management expects group-level operating margin to face pressure due to the need for sustained investment in both the Anta brand and Fi...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Sales Remain Weak In Dec 25 While Property Investment ...
The NBS published industry data for Dec 25, which revealed weak industry fundamentals. Demand remains under pressure in Jan 26, with both new-home sales and secondary-home transactions continuing to post yoy declines even with the low base in Jan 25. We expect sales growth in 1Q26 to remain negative yoy, due to the high base since Feb 25 and weak demand. Policy uncertainty and weak policy implementation continue to be key concerns, and we remain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s property sector.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Sales Remain Weak in Jan 26; Land Investments Still Co...
Demand remained under pressure in Jan 26, with both new-home sales and secondary-home transactions continuing to post sharp yoy declines. Land market activity weakened notably towards the end of 2025, while capital and demand were further concentrated in a small number of strong Tier 1-2 cities, underscoring persistent divergence across regions amid still-soft market sentiment. We remain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s property sector, and expect high policy volatility and weak policy implementation in 1...
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Damon Shen
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand remained under pressure in Jan 26, with both new-home sales and secondary-home transactions continuing to post sharp yoy declines. Land market activity weakened notably toward the end of 2025, while capital and demand were further concentrated in a small number of strong Tier 1-2 cities, underscoring persistent divergence across regions amid still-soft market sentiment. We remain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s property sector, and expect high polic...
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
SOP SARAWAK OIL PALMS BERHAD
KIML KIM LOONG RESOURCES BHD
IJM IJM CORP BHD
IOI IOI CORP BHD
KLK KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BHD
FUTU FUTU HOLDINGS ADS
SWB SUNWAY BHD
GENP GENTING PLANTATIONS BHD
HAPL HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BHD
HEAL MEDIKALOKA HERMINA
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
DEWA IJ DARMA HENWA (DEWA IJ)
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
ASL SP ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Key Party Media Qiushi Emphasises Government’s Commitm...
Qiushi published an article on 1 Jan 26, emphasising the government's renewed commitment to stabilise the property market, suggesting a higher likelihood of stronger policy support in 1H26; however, implementation risks remain, in our view. Demand stayed weak in Dec 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 37% yoy and second-hand home prices in three Tier 1 cities down by 24% yoy. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s property sector and expect a continued consolidation toward SOEs. We keep CR Lan...
- Andrew Agita Buntoro
- Chong Lee Len
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Jonathan Koh
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Philip Wong
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Thailand Research Team
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, January 06, 2026
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December...
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
KTB KONTOOR BRANDS
09999 NETEASE INC
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
SCB SCB X PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
CDB CELCOMDIGI BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
ECOSHOP MK ECO-SHOP MARKETING BHD
002371 CH NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Latest Pre-CEWC Politburo Meeting Sidesteps Supports F...
At the latest pre-CEWC Politburo meeting, not a word about property policy and urbanisation was mentioned. This points to a much lower possibility of strong stimulus for the property industry in the near term. Demand stayed weak in Dec 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 55% yoy and second-hand home prices in most cities falling. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s property sector, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Major Mainland Cities See Deeper YOY Declines In New H...
Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second-hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance.
- Audrey Celia
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Ejann Hiew
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jieqi Liu
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Malaysia Research Team
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Thailand Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, December 02, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% o...
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
GFPT GFPT
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
AOT AIRPORTS OF THAILAND PUBLIC CO. LTD.
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
PEP PPB GROUP BERHAD
BAUTO BERMAZ AUTO BHD
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SWB SUNWAY BHD
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
ECOSHOP MK ECO-SHOP MARKETING BHD
ASL SP ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Channel Check On Hohhot And Taiyuan’s Property Markets...
Our channel check showed that new home property prices in the core districts of Hohhot and Taiyuan showed signs of stabilisation, supported by population inflow, higher efficiency ratio of new products and sharper contraction in supply. With greater downward pressure on property prices in Tier 1 cities, the trend in lower tier cities points to continued divergence and complexity in China’s property market. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. CR Land remains our top pick.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China And Hong Kong Property: China To Expand C-REITs For POEs; Major ...
On 10 November, the State Council vowed to expand C-REITs for POEs. However, demand stays weak: home sales from 1-10 November in 28 mainland cities fell 45% yoy, with prices trending down. In Hong Kong, the potential supply of private homes rose 1% qoq, yet property prices and rents showed improving fundamentals. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; favour mainland developers with strong retail portfolios (CR Land, Longfor); in Hong Kong, favour SHKP and Kerry Properties.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: NBS Data For Sep 25 Shows Industry Weakness, Expect Pr...
Industry data showed further deterioration in Oct 25. The 0.4% yoy growth in property completion in Sep 25 is a positive development. Given the higher comparison base since Oct 24, we expect nationwide property sales to see deeper yoy declines in 4Q25. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the China property sector, with CR Land as our top pick.
- Audrey Celia
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Jonathan Koh
- Ken Lee
- Philip Wong
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Tham Mun Hon
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Willinoy Sitorus
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, October 21, 2025
Greater China Economics | Economic Activity China’s 3Q25 GDP growth slowed to 4.8% yoy, 9M25 growth to 5.1%. Ytd FAI fell 0.5% yoy, dragged by property FAI (-13.9% ytd yoy). September's industrial production rose 6.5% yoy, but retail sales growth eased to 3.0% yoy. With the stronger-than-expected 9M25 growth, we raise the full-year real GDP growth forecast to 5.0% yoy. That said, further policy support is still needed and we expect proposals for the 15th Five-year Plan to provide further clu...
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
5225 IHH HEALTHCARE BHD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China and Hong Kong Property: Takeaways From Visit To Jinling Residenc...
Jinling Residence’s strong sell-out highlights resilient end-user demand despite weaker investment sentiment, while major cities’ October data showed yoy declines in both new and secondary home sales. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We upgrade Kerry Properties to BUY after the recent correction, with an unchanged target price of HK$22.80.
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Audrey Celia
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Chong Lee Len
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Kong Ho Meng
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, October 15, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Property Jinling Residence’s strong sell-out highlights resilient end-user demand despite weaker investment sentiment, while major cities’ October data showed yoy declines in both new and secondary home sales. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We upgrade Kerry Properties to BUY after the recent correction, with an unchanged target price of HK$22.80. Company Update | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$155.20/Target: HK$203.00) We expect solid 2QFY26 results, despite marg...
FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
3816 MISC BHD
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
MLK MALAKOFF CORP BHD
KCE KCE ELECTRONICS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
GMB GAS MALAYSIA BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
SVI SVI PCL
DELTA DELTA CORP
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
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