Benelux Morning Notes

Adecco: Capital Markets Day 2025; share price background. Ascencio: Results in line, solid recovery in occupancy, dividend up 3.5%. Colruyt: Conflicts between Intermarché Belgium and its franchisees. Theon International: Continued growth in Thermal

Xior Student Housing : Dutch student beds vanish, Xior fills the void

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 11/26/2025

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 26/11/2025

ASML/Back on its long-term trend/BUY

ASML's 3Q25 update signals a more optimistic outlook for 2026 than previously anticipated. Recent announcements of major AI investments reinforce the robust long-term prospects for semiconductor capital expenditures. We expect ongoing increases in lithography intensity, positioning ASML for growth that outpaces the broader industry. Reflecting these positive trends, we reiterate our BUY rating and raise our target price to €1,050 (up from €800).

Morning Notes : ABN NA, BFIT NA, BEKB BB, VGP BB, AUTL US

: ABN NA, BFIT NA, BEKB BB, VGP BB, AUTL US

Basic-Fit VAT from 6% to 12% on sports in Belgium

Yesterday, the Belgian federal government announced an agreement on the federal budget, which includes raising VAT on sports subscriptions from 6.0% to 12.0%. The BeNeLux region remains Basic-Fit's key profit driver, delivering a 46.5% EBITDA less rent margin in 1H25 compared to 12.0% across its other markets. For Belgium, we forecast FY25 revenue of approximately €250 million and underlying EBITDA less rent of €115 million. If the additional 6.0% VAT is absorbed without price adjustments, this ...

Switch on the Robots Automation and Energy Investments in Logistic/Ind...

Automation and Energy investments increase the value per sqm of landbank. Tenants are inclined to sign longer lease contracts to protect their significant investments. We expect to see more large warehouse automation projects over the next 12-18 months as the ROI increases thanks to technological innovations. The decision process seems to take longer due to the size of the investments. We believe the logistic segment offers an interesting investment opportunity. WDP trades at only 3% premium...

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: Only 5 stores left to divest in France. EVS: Lower end of the range becomes the base case, on longer lead times. Fagron: Two EMEA acquisitions and California license for FSS. Kinepolis: “Wicked” achieves solid box office. OCI: Divesting Rotterdam ammonia terminal for €290m. Prosus: 1HFY26 results – on track

Barco/More modest improvement/BUY

We maintain our Buy rating, reflecting our continued confidence in Barco's positioning within its niche markets and the ongoing enhancements to its product lineup. However, after the company communicated more modest long-term growth and margin objectives at the CMD, we have reduced our forecasts and, as a result, lowered our target price to €16.0 (previously €17.5).

Basic-Fit/Acquisition Clever Fit – Clever? Fit?/BUY

BUY reiterated and TP increased from €33.0 to €35.00. We have not yet included the Clever Fit acquisition into our estimates or fair value as we lack the financial details. In this report we have made an extensive analysis of the earnings accretion and value creation of Clever Fit, based on early assumptions. Although we also have some concerns regarding the uncertainty around rebranding, capex needs, improving fundamentals and timing of rebranding, we also see the upside potential, strategic im...

Benelux Morning Notes

AkzoNobel: Announces merger of equals with US coatings peer Axalta. EVS: 3Q25 preview. GBL: Sale of half of Umicore stake. IBA: Negative press on poor Proton Therapy results, controversy about Dutch PT centres

Morning Notes : AGFB BB, AKZA NA, GBLB BB, UMI BB, MAAT FP

: AGFB BB, AKZA NA, GBLB BB, UMI BB, MAAT FP

Morning Notes : HOMI BB, HYL BB, IVA FP, NEXTA BB, RET BB, MAAT FP

: HOMI BB, HYL BB, IVA FP, NEXTA BB, RET BB, MAAT FP

WDP/Model update – appealing valuation and ample room to accelerate/BU...

We fine-tune our estimates on the back of the recent results, and we confirm our positive stance. We are confident about WDP's ability to deliver its 2027 targets (and so is consensus). For the coming quarters, the effort will be on pipeline execution with all projects already secured (and funded) to reach its ambitions. Expansion in France has been sizeable so far (7.6% of the portfolio), but Germany is still a difficult market to enter. Going ahead with development projects makes sense economi...