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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Great Replatforming, part I – the Special Theory

Capex ROI is the trending question these days, but what does it actually mean? In a “replatforming”, capex are enablers of revenue growth and productivity enhancements, as long as they are the foundation for a good “right to make money” (a defensible competitive advantage) and meet good demand. Our “Special Replatforming Theory” looks at how it has been at play for a decade already at hyperscalers, and how we expect the next 10 years to play out, with AI bringing an even more capital-intensive...

Arista Networks Inc: 1 director

A director at Arista Networks Inc sold after exercising options/sold 56,000 shares at 92.230USD and the significance rating of the trade was 75/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directo...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 1Q25

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 237 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 – Enterprise IT: AI drives Cloud growth, SaaS not reacceler...

Today, we are publishing the Enterprise IT section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Legacy IT spending is moderating after a strong 2H24, but public-cloud growth remains steady as AI demand offsets a slowdown in traditional workloads. SaaS revenue growth remains in the low-teens with...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Growth in Public Cloud: Where from? What’s next?

Growth in Public Cloud reaccelerated, in line with our expectations, and, if anything, even stronger than we thought, and shifting fast, with AI representing an increasing share of public cloud growth, and with the fast-growing crowd of native AI start-ups becoming a meaningful segment. We gathered all the initial datapoints at hand and looked at all angles we could, to provide a first perspective of how public cloud is growing today and where it is headed next.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 – PCs: Refresh still elusive; CPU expectations growing slig...

Today, we are publishing the PC section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming days we will publish a section on Enterprise IT, followed by the full Bible. PC pull-ins noted across major OEMs, outlook uncertain for rest of the year. The Windows 10 & AI PC refresh cycle remai...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 – Hyperscale & Cloud: Inference inflecting, more hints on 2...

Today, we are publishing the Hyperscale & Cloud section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Telecom Infrastructure, Memory, Enterprise IT, and PCs. Hyperscale revenues grew 11% YoY, with cloud services stabilizing in the mid-20%, and acce...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 – Autos: recovery on track. Expect strong momentum through ...

Today, we are publishing the automotive section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Auto semi revenues declined, reflecting the ongoing inventory correction. However, nearly all companies have now called the bottom. We expect strong sequential momentum through 2025, which should suppor...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Nvidia gains share in AI Ethernet, but loses share in AI networking, b...

Nvidia announced last night that its Spectrum X Ethernet revenues have reached an $8bn run rate. Please see the one-pager below for our view on the implications for Arista and Nvidia.

Infineon Technologies AG: 1 director

A director at Infineon Technologies AG sold 4,738 shares at 34.634EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 62/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 – Industrials: the recovery is on. Expect strong momentum t...

Today, we are publishing the Industrials section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible on industrials. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. The industrial semiconductor sector has passed the trough. Revenues grew above seasonality for the first time since 2022, and we expect momentum to continue through 2025. This should sup...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Auto semi: Our cyclical thesis is playing out across the board

The auto and industrial semi markets are recovering following an inventory correction. In this one-slider, we analyze how the recovery is playing out across companies.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 - Smartphones: 2025 weak and front-loaded? Rest of the year...

Dear all, ​​ Today, we are publishing the Smartphones section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Memory, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, Ride sharing & Delivery, Foundry, and Semicap Equ...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
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