reports
- Jo Yee Ng
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
China Consumer: Focus on four key theses for the sector.
In this report, we have summarised what we read from consumer companies’ 2023 results, the 2024 outlook and recent updates. We think companies: a) with overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) that have upside potential of improving operating efficiency, c) that will benefit from near-term catalysts (eg event-driven), and d) have increasing dividend payout will outperform. Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou are our most preferred stocks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
333 MIDEA GROUP
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
CP ALL (CPALL TB) - 1Q24 Earnings To Continue Increasing On A yoy Basi...
We expect CPALL to report 1Q24 earnings of Bt4.85b, up 17.6% yoy, driven by top-line increase, gross profit margin improvement and lower interest expenses. We project 2024 net profit to grow 16.6% yoy on the back of positive SSS growth and margin increase from both its convenience stores business and its subsidiary companies. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt79.00.
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Jonathan Koh
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Philip Wong
- Sunny Chen
Regional Morning Notes - Tuesday, April 09, 2024
GREATER CHINA Update Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK/BUY/HK$2.83/Target: HK$3.80): Enters into strategic partnership with Boehringer Ingelheim. MALAYSIA Initiate Coverage Alpha IVF (ALPHA MK/BUY/RM0.33/Target: RM0.40): Initiate coverage on Alpha IVF with a BUY call. Alpha IVF offers industry-leading success rates, which are expected to be replicated across its exciting regional expansion. SINGAPORE Sector Banking: Higher for slightly longer. THAILAND Update CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt56.00/Target...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Rewarding shareholders in 2023; emerging strategic gro...
Given the stabilising revenue growth and abundant cash on hand, mega-cap internet companies have been focusing on offering generous shareholder returns. For 2024, we expect consumption behaviour to switch to service and experience, which will continue to benefit OTA players. We believe other China internet names will outperform with overseas expansion and SFV players will continue to gain market shares with potential for take rate increases. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
JD JD.COM INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
BEKE KE HOLDINGS INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 PINDUODUO PDD US
02423 BAIDU INC
09961 KE HOLDINGS INC.
CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Malaysia Research Team
- Singapore Research Team
- Thailand Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
REG: Strategy: Alpha Picks - April 2024
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Adding AIA, Midea, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Shenzhen Inovance and Trip.com to our BUY list, with SELL calls on BYD, EVE Energy, and Li Auto. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Mar 24 and 1Q24: Our picks are ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Expanding The Variety Of Events Bets: Our Alpha Picks trounced the KLCI in Mar 24. Apr 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MY...
TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ES ESSO SOCIETE ANONYME FRANCAISE
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
STEC SINO-THAI ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION PCL
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002594 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
EA ENERGY ABSOLUTE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
COM7 COM7
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600585 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
MAPI MITRA ADIPERKASA
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
ADRO PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ROTI NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
M4B CHINA MERCHANTS BANK CO. LTD. CLASS H
SE SEA ADS
INRI INARI AMERTRON BHD
PTTEP-R PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
SMM SEMBCORP MARINE LTD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
IOI IOI CORP BHD
CPALL TB CP ALL
GENM GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
MAHB MALAYSIA AIRPORTS HLDGS BHD
333 MIDEA GROUP
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
2013 WEIMOB INC
EKO EKOVEST BHD
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
SCB-R SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
MRDIY MR DIY GROUP M BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
2696 SHANGHAI HENLIUS BIOTECH INC
KEX KERRY EXPRESS (THAILAND)
OR PTT OIL & RETAIL BUSINESS PCL
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
1209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
PDD PINDUODUO PDD US
09888 BAIDU INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
SMGR SEMEN INDONESIA PERSERO TBK
NATGATE NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
SUNWAY SUNWAY BHD
ESSO ESSO THAILAND PCL
HUME HUME CEMENT INDUSTRIES BHD
02015 LI AUTO INC
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Malaysia Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Strategy - Alpha Picks: Expanding The Variety Of Events Bets
Alpha Picks: Expanding The Variety Of Events Bets Our Alpha Picks regained momentum and resoundingly outperformed the FBMKLCI in Mar 24 (+9.9% vs -1.0%), led by our concentrated bets on property and construction picks. However, these sectors’ outperformances should moderate, and we strategise our Alpha Picks to capitalise on a wider variety of anticipated events/themes. Apr 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, RGB, Suncon and VSI. New additions are MYEG and VSI, replacing EcoWorld and M...
- Chris Hoare
- Jo Yee Ng
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
Macau Gaming: Mar 24 GGR grew 6% mom; may Golden Week a potential cata...
The sequential uptick in Mar 24’s GGR, which surpassed our and the street’s estimates, implies a sustained and resilient gaming demand after the CNY holiday. Notably, this marks another milestone as the industry’s GGR peaked at MOP19.5b after the reopening, marginally above Oct 23’s level. We are confident on the industry’s growth momentum. May 24 Golden Week is a potential catalyst for the sector. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top pick: Galaxy Entertainment (27 HK).
- Chris Hoare
Thai Telcos Q4 23 review: Turning the corner as ARPU grew after more ...
Thai operators witnessed a notable uptick in growth as industry mobile ARPU reverted to growth after more than three years. EBITDA also bounced higher led by TRUE, setting the stage for 9-11% growth in FY24. Guided capex also suggests moderating capex intensity which is key driver of ROIC upside. The outlook is turning more optimistic than before, validated by our recent visit of the two telcos.
- Jun Sian Tan
Sunway Construction Group (SCGB MK) - Banking On Stronger Private Proj...
Banking On Stronger Private Project Flows Suncon is set to deliver record-high earnings in 2024, underpinned by its robust orderbook of RM5.3b as of end-23 as well as potential margin recovery. We also believe the group is in pole position to exceed its RM3.0b replenishment target on the back of the strong project pipeline from both the public and private segments. Maintain BUY. Target price: RM3.33.
- Jun Sian Tan
Sunway Construction Group (SCGB MK) - Clinches Its Third Data Centre W...
Clinches Its Third Data Centre Worth RM748m Sunway Construction Group (Suncon) announced that its subsidiary had on 21 Mar 24 entered a Project Services Request (PSR) with a USbased multinational technology company for the construction and completion of a data centre located in Selangor. The contract value is RM747.8m, inclusive of withholding taxes, sales and service tax and other taxes.
- Chris Hoare
Asia Telco Tour Feedback, Improving growth, ROCE and shareholder remun...
We ran our Asia Telco tour last week. This time we met 12 companies in 3 countries (Korea, Japan, Thailand). Telco share prices in all 3 of these countries have been pretty strong recently as telcos continue to benefit from generally positive themes: growth, return on capital and shareholder remuneration are all typically improving.
NetEase Inc: 1 director
A director at NetEase Inc sold 10,000 shares at 108.200USD and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...
VGI Public Company Ltd: 1 director
A director at VGI Public Company Ltd bought 900,000 shares at 1.490THB and the significance rating of the trade was 63/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...
- Philip Wong
Consumer - Overhang Casts Shadow Over Sector With Multi-year Low In Va...
Overhang Casts Shadow Over Sector With Multi-year Low In Valuations Interest in the sector remains muted despite a decent results season. There appears to be a wait-and-see approach on the subsidy rationalisation implementation and subsequent spillover effect before interest is piqued. The multi-year low in sector valuations reflects this sentiment. A relatively strong US Dollar further clouds sector margin recovery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Our top picks are Fraser & Neave Holdings (F&N), Mr DIY...
- Chris Hoare
Thai Telcos Takeaways from Meetings with the Thai Telcos in Bangkok
Our meetings with the two Thai operators (& NBTC) validate our view of a benign mobile dynamic, supported by improving tourism, and sharp capex reductions. Both operators remain focused on profitable growth. TRUE seems very confident on synergy delivery.
- Thailand Research Team
THAILAND STRATEGY – Weak 2023 Results
Earnings in 4Q23 were quite weak. Stock under our coverage reported aggregate net profit of Bt678.997m in 2023 (vs our estimate of Bt730.176m), declining 9.5% yoy. The poor earnings were pressured by energy, petrochemical and consumer staples (food), while positive earnings were seen in retail and healthcare. Given the strong international tourists arrival driven by Chinese tourists, we see the services sector (tourism and healthcare) maintaining its momentum.
- Jun Sian Tan
Construction - Mixed Bag Of 4Q23 Earnings; 2024 Outlook Still Resilien...
Mixed Bag Of 4Q23 Earnings; 2024 Outlook Still Resilient 4Q23 results came in mixed, dragged by lower-than-expected earnings from Ekovest, GAQRS, WCT and MRCB. We remain sanguine on the 2024 sector outlook anchored by the imminent rollout of mega projects including MRT3 and Penang LRT. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks for the sector remain Gamuda, Suncon, and Ekovest.
- Malaysia Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Strategy - Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum
Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum Our Alpha Picks underperformed the KLCI in Feb 24 (-0.9% vs 2.5%), partially reversing three consecutive months of strong outperformances, as the handful of quarterly results winners could not offset Ekovest’s fall. For Mar 24, we continue to focus largely on companies with good earnings momentum, driven by factors such as improving inbound tourist arrivals, and an expected surge in domestic consumption. Mar 24 picks: EcoWorld, GENM, Inari, MAHB, Mah Si...
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