In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Significant Downside Risk if 6480 Breaks Our outlook (as of our 3/3/26 Compass) remains near-term neutral on the S&P 500 (SPX), after being bullish for all but one week since 4/22/25 (we went neutral 11/19/25-11/25/25). Our initial concerns that we discussed since early-February stemmed from deteriorating market dynamics, and ever since then we have been "concerned about a deeper pullback, likely to 6720-6776, 6690, or 6480-6520 on SPX." SPX hit 6480-6520 support on Friday and yesterday (Monday...
Local Low in Place; Russell 2000 (IWM) Holds at $245 Our outlook as of last week (3/3/26 Compass) remains near-term neutral on the S&P 500 (SPX), after being bullish for all but one week since 4/22/25 (we went neutral 11/19/25-11/25/25). With that said, signs point to a local low being made yesterday after indexes went from heavily red, to firmly green as Trump signaled the war with Iran is nearing an end; Russell 2000 (IWM) held at 4+ year base support of $245, while S&P 500 futures (ES) held ...
Shifting to Neutral Near-Term as Chop Continues We are shifting our near-term outlook to neutral on the S&P 500 (SPX), after being bullish for all but one week since 4/22/25 (we went neutral 11/19/25-11/25/25). Choppy consolidation has continued between support at 6780-6824 and resistance at 7000, and a neutral near-term outlook is appropriate until there is a decisive break in either direction. The Russell 2000 (IWM) remains much more attractive, and we remain constructive near-term on IWM as ...
Still Expecting Weakness; Many Sector Weighting Changes We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we went to neutral. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6780-6824 on SPX and $255-$257 on IWM continue to hold. With that said, we continue to see deterioration in market dynamics that has us concerned of a deeper pullback, likely to 67...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Defensives Leading; Concerns Persist We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&P 500 (SPX), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we went neutral. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6780-6824 on SPX and $141.50 on ACWI-US continue to hold. We are not fighting the bullish trend with all the MSCI global indexes (MSCI ACWI, EAFE, ACWI ex-US, and EM) hitting multi-year highs, but we a...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Upgrade Staples to Overweight; Downgrading Services We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we went to neutral. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6780-6824 on SPX and $255-$257 on IWM continue to hold; every minor dip below these levels has been for no longer than a day, before buyers have stepped-in. We continue to see more det...
STRATEGY We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we went to neutral. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6824 on SPX and $255-$257 on IWM continue to hold; every minor dip below these levels has been for no longer than a day, before buyers have stepped-in. We continue to see some deterioration in market dynamics, and while we expe...
Monitoring for a Pullback We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we went to neutral. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6824 on SPX, $610 on QQQ, and $257 on IWM (up from $245) continue to hold. We continue to see deterioration in market dynamics, and while we expect a period of consolidation/pullback, the afo...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
U.S. Dollar (DXY) Undercut and Rally at the $96.40 Level is a Near-Term Headwind for Global Equities We remain bullish on EM with the 9-month uptrends intact on the MSCI Emerging Markets index (local currency) and EEM-US (USD). We continue to expect support at the uptrend, which is something we have been discussing/expecting for months. A period of consolidation/pullback is increasingly likely, considering how extended MSCI EM is and our views on the DXY. The weak U.S. dollar (DXY) has suppo...
Chop Continues; Nasdaq 100 Testing Major Resistance We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we went to neutral. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6824 on SPX, $610 on QQQ, and $245 on IWM continue to hold. We see mild deterioration in market dynamics, which may provide a near-term headwind; still, MAG7 earning...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Reason for Near-Term Caution? We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we flipped to neutral. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6824 on SPX, $610 on QQQ, and $245 on IWM continue to hold. 6824 on SPX and $610 on QQQ were barely breached on Tuesday, and were quickly reclaimed yesterday, so we do not consider the...
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