reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Major Low Likely in Place on S&P 500 In our 2/25/25 Compass, we discussed our expectation for near-term downside as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) displayed several bearish short-term developments. We also said it likely means at least another 2-4 weeks of consolidation, that one or two 8-10% pullbacks in a given year on the SPX is common (even during bull markets), and to not be surprised if there is a test of the bottom of the range at either 5770-5850 or 5600-5670, where we would be buyers...
WRN WESTERN COPPER AND GOLD
TSLA TESLA INC
TMO THERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC INC.
SCCO SOUTHERN COPPER CORPORATION
ORI OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
MSTR MICROSTRATEGY INCORPORATED CLASS A
KMPR KEMPER CORPORATION
HMN HORACE MANN EDUCATORS CORPORATION
FCX FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC.
FAF FIRST AMERICAN FINANCIAL CORPORATION
AXS AXIS CAPITAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
TKO. TASEKO MINES LIMITED
AIG AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP INC.
K. KINROSS GOLD CORPORATION
AIZ ASSURANT INC.
19KQ BALWIN PROPERTIES PTY LTD
THG HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP INC.
WRB W. R. BERKLEY CORPORATION
PLTR PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Int'l Macro Vision: Sector Synopsis
Int'l Equity Strategy Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI), though the most bullish regions are those outside of the U.S., notably within Europe and Japan. To recap our recent international reports, we have been expecting near-term downside on ACWI-US and the S&P 500 since our February 27 Int'l Compass, when both ACWI-US and the S&P 500 displayed false breakouts. At that time, we discussed to look for pullbacks to range supports at $116 on ACWI-US and 5770-5850 or 5600-567...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Int'l Insights: Bullish Stocks
Buying Japanese Energy Stocks Below we lay out what we believe is a compelling case to add exposure to Japanese Energy stocks at current levels. Japan is Breaking Out. The TOPIX and Japan Hedged Equity ETF (DXJ-US) are breaking out following 5+ months of consolidation. RS (vs. MSCI ACWI) is also bullishly inflecting on both the TOPIX and DXJ ETF. We believe price and RS appreciation are in their early stages following 5+ months of consolidation... see page 2. Energy is Emerging as Leadership W...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
NEM NEWMONT CORPORATION
NGD. NEW GOLD INC.
FNV. FRANCO-NEVADA CORPORATION
AGI. ALAMOS GOLD INC.
ABX. BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION
K. KINROSS GOLD CORPORATION
AEM. AGNICO EAGLE MINES LIMITED
FR. FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER CORP.
PAAS PAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP.
BVN... COMPANIA DE MINAS BUENAVENTURA SAA SPONSORED ADR
WPM WHEATON PRECIOUS METALS CORP
SSRM SSR MINING INC
JAGx JAGUAR MINING
FVI. FORTUNA MINING CORP
USAU US GOLD CORP
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
ATNI ATN INTERNATIONAL INC.
VZ VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INC.
SYNL SYNALLOY CORP.
SCCO SOUTHERN COPPER CORPORATION
RGR STURM RUGER & COMPANY INC.
MRCY MERCURY SYSTEMS INC.
MKTX MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INC.
KR KROGER CO.
FCX FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC.
EIG EMPLOYERS HOLDINGS INC.
DG DOLLAR GENERAL CORPORATION
CBOE CBOE GLOBAL MARKETS INC
ALL ALLSTATE CORPORATION
R1D AERCAP HOLDINGS NV
FNF FIDELITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL INC. - FNF GROUP
CNR. CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY COMPANY
DGICA DONEGAL GROUP INC. CL A
LFVN LIFEVANTAGE
BRK.B BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. CLASS B
HRTG HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC.
THG HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP INC.
FTG111 FLATEXDEGIRO AG
PAGS PAGSEGURO DIGITAL LTD
MGTX MEIRAGTX HOLDINGS PLC
OPRX OPTIMIZERX CORP
GRPN GROUPON INC.
RKT ROCKET COMPANIES
AVAH AVEANNA HEALTHCARE HLDGS INC
RGC REGENCELL BIOSCIENCE HLDGS LTD
QBTS D-WAVE QUANTUM INC.
ANG ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI LIMITED
METC RAMACO RESOURCES INC.
NXT NEXT GEOSOLUTIONS EUROPE S.P.A.
BNTC BENITEC BIOPHARMA INC
SARO STANDARDAERO INC.
ZBIO PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT NASDAQ BIOTECHNOLOGY
USAU US GOLD CORP
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
In last week's 3/04/25 Compass, we discussed our expectation for near-term downside as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) displayed several bearish short-term developments. The downward pressure has taken out many of the support levels that we outlined, including the bottom of the range at both 5770-5850 and 5600-5670. However a failure to recover above thses levels in the next few days would suggest the markets (S&P 500 and the Nasdaq) have made a top. As we outlined last week, we would need the ...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
ATNI ATN INTERNATIONAL INC.
WU WESTERN UNION COMPANY
PZZA PAPA JOHN'S INTERNATIONAL INC.
LEN LENNAR CORPORATION CLASS A
KBH KB HOME
FAST FASTENAL COMPANY
CXW CORECIVIC INC.
ANDE ANDERSONS INC.
DHI D.R. HORTON INC.
TREE LENDINGTREE INC.
NC NACCO INDUSTRIES INC. CL A
TIGO MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR S.A.
WSTG WAYSIDE TECHNOLOGY
ALGM ALLEGRO MICROSYSTEMS
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
Upgrading Europe to Overweight We discussed last week (Feb. 27 Int'l Compass) how both ACWI-US and the S&P 500 displayed false breakouts, and to look for near-term pullbacks to range supports at $116 on ACWI-US and 5770-5850 or 5600-5670 on the S&P 500 in the coming weeks, where we would be buyers. The S&P 500 is testing the 5770-5850 range now, while ACWI-US is testing its 200-day MA at $117. It is possible ACWI-US finds support here at the 200-day MA as it has already provided two ideal buy o...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Testing Initial Support In last week's 2/25/25 Compass, we discussed our expectation for near-term downside as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) displayed several bearish short-term developments. We also said it likely means at least another 2-4 weeks of consolidation, and that if the S&P 500 remains below 6100 and 6150 resistances, do not be surprised if there is a test of the bottom of the range at either 5770-5850 or 5600-5670, where we would be buyers (though we need 5...
TRV TRAVELERS COMPANIES INC.
AFL AFLAC INCORPORATED
PPL PPL CORPORATION
PFG PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC.
NI NISOURCE INC
NFG NATIONAL FUEL GAS COMPANY
MKL MARKEL CORPORATION
MFC. MANULIFE FINANCIAL CORPORATION
EXC EXELON CORPORATION
ERIE ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY CLASS A
EQT EQT CORPORATION
ED CONSOLIDATED EDISON INC.
CPK CHESAPEAKE UTILITIES CORPORATION
CB CHUBB LIMITED
ALL ALLSTATE CORPORATION
FNF FIDELITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL INC. - FNF GROUP
MET METLIFE INC.
BRK.B BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. CLASS B
SLF SALAFIN
CNA CNA FINANCIAL CORPORATION
UGI UGI CORPORATION
NJR NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORPORATION
PRU2 PRUDENTIAL PLC
CINF CI GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE PRIVATE POOL
EQH EQUITABLE HOLDINGS INC.
CRBG COREBRIDGE FINANCIAL INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) Testing Support In our 2/25/25 Compass, we discussed our expectation for near-term downside as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) (1) could not decisively break out to new highs, (2) displayed bearish false breakouts, (3) fell back into their 2+ month trading ranges, (4) violated their 1+ month uptrends, and (5) closed below their 20-day and 50-day MAs for the first time in over a month. We also said it likely means at least another 2-4 weeks of consolidation, and tha...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols bymarket-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
GEO GEO GROUP INC. (THE)
TGL. TECNOGLASS INC.
SRI STONERIDGE INC.
SATS ECHOSTAR CORPORATION CLASS A
CXW CORECIVIC INC.
AXS AXIS CAPITAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
ACIW ACI WORLDWIDE INC.
NTNX NUTANIX INC. CLASS A
ADT ADT INC
ICL ICL GROUP LTD.
RRTS ROADRUNNER TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS
MEG MONTROSE ENVIRONMENTAL GROUP
PRVA PRIVIA HEALTH GROUP INC
ZI ZOOMINFO TECHNOLOGIES INC
ROOT BRISTOW GROUP INC
SARO ROOT INC
STANDARDAERO INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
PTC PTC INC.
PHM PULTEGROUP INC.
WMS ADVANCED DRAINAGE SYSTEMS INC.
WING WINGSTOP INC.
TOL TOLL BROTHERS INC.
SPSC SPS COMMERCE INC.
RDNT RADNET INC.
PYPL PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC
NSY NICE SYSTEMS LTD (ADR)
MSI MOTOROLA SOLUTIONS INC.
MKSI MKS INSTRUMENTS INC.
KFY KORN FERRY
IT GARTNER INC.
IPGP IPG PHOTONICS CORPORATION
HUBB HUBBELL INCORPORATED CLASS B
ETN EATON CORP. PLC
CSL CARLISLE COMPANIES INCORPORATED
CDE COEUR MINING INC.
CAT CATERPILLAR INC.
MLM MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS INC.
MOG.A MOOG INC. CLASS A
AMWD AMERICAN WOODMARK CORPORATION
EXP EAGLE MATERIALS INC.
FBHS FORTUNE BRANDS HOME & SECURITY INC.
MBUU MALIBU BOATS INC. CLASS A
TREX TREX COMPANY INC.
PI IMPINJ INC.
NXE. NEXGEN ENERGY LTD
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AMKR AMKOR TECHNOLOGY INC.
NVT NVENT ELECTRIC PLC
A2H5RW ERO COPPER
BV BRIGHTVIEW HOLDINGS
KTB KONTOOR BRANDS
IR INGERSOLL RAND INC.
MARA MARATHON DIGITAL HOLDINGS INC
TT TRANE TECHNOLOGIES PLC
VAL VALARIS LTD
OLEM ONTO INNOVATION INC.
SDRL IPATH PURE BETA CRUDE OIL ETN
GMS SEADRILL LTD
NYE GENERAL MOTORS CORP NT 7/1/44
NYESA VALORES CORPORACION S.A.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
PMT PENNYMAC MORTGAGE INVESTMENT TRUST
BKD BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC.
WBA WALGREENS BOOTS ALLIANCE INC
PLOW DOUGLAS DYNAMICS INC.
NSP INSPERITY INC.
NEU NEWMARKET CORPORATION
MDLZ MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC. CLASS A
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
HSY HERSHEY COMPANY
DLTR DOLLAR TREE INC.
BMRN BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC.
BAX BAXTER INTERNATIONAL INC.
SBL SAFE BULKERS INC.
CYH COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC.
LKO LAKES OIL N.L.
AWK AMERICAN WATER WORKS COMPANY INC.
CWT CALIFORNIA WATER SERVICE GROUP
TNC TENNANT COMPANY
NGVT INGEVITY CORPORATION
KALV KALVISTA PHARMACEUTICALS
SSTI SHOTSPOTTER
VIAC VIACOMCBS INC. CLASS B
STTK SHATTUCK LABS
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
LUNG PULMONX
BBWI BATH & BODY WORKS INC
UWMC UWM HLDGS CORP
UDMY UDEMY INC
AMGN AMGEN INC
NYMT NEW YORK MORTGAGE TRUST INC.
HSHP HIMALAYA SHIPPING LTD.
PCH PICOMAT PLASTIC JSC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Near-Term Downside Likely Following False Breakouts Our long-term outlook remains bullish as long as the S&P 500 remains above 5770-5850 and 5600-5670 (worst case), and we are buyers at these levels. With that said, we see potential for near-term downside as the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and FANG+ (FNGS) (1) could not decisively break out to new highs, (2) display bearish false breakouts, (3) have fallen back into their 2+ month trading ranges, (4) are violating their 1+ month uptrends, and (5...
LLY ELI LILLY AND COMPANY
CFSL COCA-COLA FEMSA SAB DE CV (ADR)
JNJ JOHNSON & JOHNSON
BMY BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY
AKOB EMBOTELLADORA ANDINA S.A. SERIES B ADS
FMX FOMENTO ECONOMICO MEXICANO S.A.B. DE C.V. ADS
BMTA BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO PLC ADS
PM PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC.
ABBV ABBVIE INC.
CCHGY COCA-COLA HBC AG
ABT ABBOTT LABORATORIES
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC ADS
GSK. GLAXOSMITHKLINE PLC CEDEAR
IMBBY IMPERIAL BRANDS PLC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
AMN AMN HEALTHCARE SERVICES INC.
TSN TYSON FOODS INC. CLASS A
PNM PNM RESOURCES INC.
OGE OGE ENERGY CORP.
MNST MONSTER BEVERAGE CORPORATION
MDLZ MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC. CLASS A
LNT ALLIANT ENERGY CORP
KHC KRAFT HEINZ COMPANY
HSY HERSHEY COMPANY
GIS GENERAL MILLS INC.
FE FIRSTENERGY CORP.
ED CONSOLIDATED EDISON INC.
DUK DUKE ENERGY CORPORATION
D DOMINION ENERGY INC
CPB CAMPBELL SOUP COMPANY
CAG CONAGRA BRANDS INC.
GASS STEALTHGAS
SJM J.M. SMUCKER COMPANY
IRTC IRHYTHM TECHNOLOGIES INC.
NOMDN NOMAD FOODS LTD.
SOI SOLARIS OILFIELD INFRASTRUCTURE
CELH CELSIUS HOLDINGS INC.
KDP KEURIG DR PEPPER INC.
CWAN CLEARWATER ANALYTICS HLDGS INC
KVUE KENVUE INC
WAY WAYSTAR HOLDING CORP
PRMB PRIMO BRANDS CORP
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
SHAK SHAKE SHACK INC. CLASS A
SKT TANGER FACTORY OUTLET CENTERS INC.
RGR STURM RUGER & COMPANY INC.
POWI POWER INTEGRATIONS INC.
MD MEDNAX INC.
ICLR ICON PLC
HAS HASBRO INC.
CRAI CHARLES RIVER ASSOCIATES INC.
BMRN BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC.
AVNW AVIAT NETWORKS
LKO LAKES OIL N.L.
MX MAGNACHIP SEMICONDUCTOR CORP.
BELFB BEL FUSE INC. CL B
LAUR LAUREATE EDUCATION INC. CLASS A
PMTS CPI CARD GROUP
KRYS KRYSTAL BIOTECH INC
SWTX SPRINGWORKS THERAPEUTICS
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
AM ANTERO MIDSTREAM CORP.
CADL CANDEL THERAPEUTICS INC
FTAI FORTRESS TRANSN & INFRAS INVS LLC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We have been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late September 2024 when we were neutral. We discussed in last week's Int'l Compass (Feb. 13, 2025) how both ACWI-US and the S&P 500 were coiling just below all-time highs, likely setting up for major breakouts; the breakouts are here. We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have ...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
TNET TRINET GROUP INC.
MOD MODINE MANUFACTURING COMPANY
CLH CLEAN HARBORS INC.
BCC BOISE CASCADE CO.
BAH BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON HOLDING CORPORATION CLASS A
FLR FLUOR CORPORATION
WFT. WEST FRASER TIMBER CO. LTD.
MLM MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS INC.
MOD RESOURCES LTD
BLD TOPBUILD CORP.
EXP EAGLE MATERIALS INC.
HP HELMERICH & PAYNE INC.
OXM OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC.
SDRL SEADRILL LTD.
IR INGERSOLL RAND INC.
UFPI UFP INDUSTRIES INC.
NE NOBLE CORP (NEW)
GLDD BETAPRO GOLD BULLION -2X DAILY BEAR ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Breaking Out We are seeing signs that this 2+ month consolidation in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is ready to break out to the upside. Part of that is the obvious; both the SPX and QQQ are breaking out to marginal new highs. The other part that has kept us bullish this whole time is that market dynamics have remained risk-on, which we have discussed on a weekly basis. Bottom line: our outlook remains bullish as long as the S&P 500 remains above 5770-5850. Our recommen...
PAG PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC
KMX CARMAX INC.
LYG.. LLOYDS BANKING GROUP PLC ADS
LOPE GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC.
LINC LINCOLN EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
LAD LITHIA MOTORS INC. CLASS A
GPI GROUP 1 AUTOMOTIVE INC.
BFAM BRIGHT HORIZONS FAMILY SOLUTIONS INC.
BCS BARCLAYS PLC ADS
APEI AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION
AN AUTONATION INC.
SAH SONIC AUTOMOTIVE INC. CLASS A
LAUR LAUREATE EDUCATION INC. CLASS A
ATGE ADTALEM GLOBAL EDUCATION INC.
STRA STRATEGIC EDUCATION INC.
AFYA AFYA
PRDO PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORP
DUOL DUOLINGO INC
UTI MULTI UNITS LU - AMUNDI STOXX EUROPE 600 UTILITIES UCITS ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
MPAA MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA INC.
GT GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER COMPANY
ETSY ETSY INC.
BFAM BRIGHT HORIZONS FAMILY SOLUTIONS INC.
UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC.
ROKU ROKU INC. CLASS A
10JF SEBATA HOLDINGS LTD
APP APPLOVIN CORP
KRT KARAT PACKAGING INC
TSE TRINSEO PLC
ASTS AST SPACEMOBILE INC
AUR AURORA INNOVATION INC
PHIN PHINIA INC
KLG_w WK KELLOGG CO
ATGL ALPHA TECHNOLOGY GROUP LTD
INLF INLIF LTD
MPLN MULTIPLAN CORPORATION
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