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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

ACWI, ACWI ex-US Near Support; Inflation Peaking? Broad global MSCI equity indexes (ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM) remain bearish with YTD downtrends intact, while indexes in Japan, Hong Kong, China, Europe, and Germany all remain below key resistance levels (more on that below). Many are now near support, and we could see a bear market bounce, but until these indexes reverse their downtrends and break above resistance levels, we cannot be bullish. On a positive note, we are starting to see si...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Downgrading Materials to Market Weight We remain bearish as long as the YTD downtrends remain intact on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and as long as the 7.5-month downtrend remains intact on the Russell 2000 (IWM). There is potential for a bounce given the S&P 500, QQQ, and IWM are all at downtrend channel supports, but until we see reversals of the aforementioned downtrends, we view any rally as nothing more than another bear market bounce. U.S. Dollar, 10-Yr Treasury Yield, and WTI Crude...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Int'l Macro Vision: Sector Synopsis

Int'l Equity Strategy The recent bear market rally has run its course and market indicators are still largely bearish amid rapidly rising global rates/inflation and tightening monetary policy. Moreover, the broad MSCI global indexes (ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., EAFE, and EM) all remain in YTD downtrends. As long as these downtrends remain intact, we are bearish at the index level, and we expect more volatility and lower prices ahead. From a Sector perspective, we want to remain overweight commodity ...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Small-Caps Starting to Lead We continue to see the current environment as a bear market rally with the potential for it turn into something more following bullish breadth thrust signals. Large-cap US indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) have been treading water for a week (bull flags?), but many other indexes such as the Russell 2000 (IWM), DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI), and China Internet (KWEB) have continued to move higher following their bullish reversals from the prior two weeks. We are also ...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

CELC, RELY, STRY, FNKO, CVGW, TH, NAPA, NOC, DGII, RXST, OWLT, ESTE, AMPY, CIVI, WTI, SD, OAS, WLL, VOC, ROCC, LPI, SM, CVI, DK, PBF, RCKT, RXRX, CRSP, APYX, AMLX, IMPL, KDNY, IDYA, MIRM, YMAB, CYTK, HPK, RCMT, PWR, VTNR, In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term pa...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Cautiously Optimistic Following Downtrend Reversals The bear market rally that we were on watch for started shortly after we sent out last week's Int'l Compass (May 26), confirmed by the bullish reversals on the DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI-US), and China Internet (KWEB-US). Time will tell as to whether it is just another bear market rally, or if indexes are able to make a higher low and start a new bull market. Either way, it is a start. In today's report we highlight attractive ideas from...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Bear Market Rally With Potential for More In last week's Compass (May 24) we noted the S&P 500 was testing support at 3800-3860 within its downtrend channel and that we were on watch for a potential bear market rally/oversold bounce. This has officially begun following the break above 4030 on the S&P 500, which was confirmed by bullish reversals on the Russell 2000 (IWM), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI), and China Internet (KWEB). For now, we are treating this as a bear mark...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Still Bearish, But On Watch for Bear Market Rally Downtrends remain intact on the MSCI broad global indexes and also within Japan, Hong Kong, Europe, Germany, and China. We are bearish at the index level as long as these downtrends continue, but it is worth noting that the DAX is currently testing key downtrend resistance while the Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI-US), and China Internet (KWEB-US) are similarly testing their respective multi-month downtrends. Reversals of these downtrends would sign...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

S&P 500 Downtrend Channel Intact & Testing Support We see the S&P 500 as trading within a downtrend channel; as long as it remains within this channel, our intermediate to long-term outlook is bearish at the index level. With that said, the S&P 500 is currently testing support within the downtrend channel, and we are on watch for a potential bear market rally. S&P 500. Last week, on May 18th, the NYSE had a 93% downside volume day, effectively negating the May 13th 92% upside day. Still, the 3...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Still Bearish at the Index Level; Continue to Overweight Defensives & Commodity Sectors Our outlook remains bearish at the index level as downtrends remain intact on the MSCI broad global indexes and also within Japan, Hong Kong, Europe, Germany, and China. Our preferred Sector overweights continue to be defensives (Utilities, Staples, and Health Care) and commodity Sectors (Energy and Materials). Downtrends Intact. Downtrends remain intact for Japan's TOPIX/Nikkei 225, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, ...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Panic Buying Achieved, Waiting for More Confirmation of a Bottom While panic selling has occurred during a few sessions over the past month (back-to-back 80%+ NYSE downside volume days, and two other 90%+ downside volume days), we maintained that buying demand, or panic buying, was needed before we could signal that a bottom had been made. We finally saw panic buying last Friday in the form of 92% upside volume on the NYSE. There is hope that this panic buying could signal that a major bottom i...

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