reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Upgrading Financials and Consumer Discretionary We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we flipped to neutral. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX, $580-$583 on QQQ, and $245 on IWM continue to hold. Market dynamics have mildly deteriorated, but it is nothing abnormal considering the broad marke...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Macro Vision: Sector Synopsis
STRATEGY We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we flipped to neutral. Our intermediate-term bullish outlook has been in place since our 5/14/25 Compass. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX, $580-$583 on QQQ, and $245 on IWM continue to hold. We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view ...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Rising Yields a Problem?; Russell 2000 Breakout We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we flipped to neutral. Our intermediate-term bullish outlook has been in place since our 5/14/25 Compass. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ continue to hold. We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term v...
RY. ROYAL BANK OF CANADA
LYG.. LLOYDS BANKING GROUP PLC ADS
BNS. BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA
BCS BARCLAYS PLC ADS
RIO RIO TINTO LIMITED
CENX CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY
BANK OTKRITIE FINANCIAL CORPORATION PJSC
AA ALCOA CORPORATION
NOHA NORSK HYDRO ASA ADS
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
NWG NATWEST GROUP
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Int'l Insights: Bullish Stocks
Remain Overweight South Korea and Taiwan We remain bullish on EM with the 7-month uptrends intact on the MSCI Emerging Markets index (local currency) and EEM-US (USD). The latest pullback in November found support precisely at the uptrend, which is something we have been discussing and expecting for months. Supports to buy on EEM-US are at the uptrend (currently $53.60) and also the $51.80-$52.35 horizontal support level. The recent 2.5-month uptrend violation on the U.S. dollar (DXY) contin...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
RPM RPM INTERNATIONAL INC.
UNVA UNILEVER PLC ADS
LNG CHENIERE ENERGY INC.
WDAY WORKDAY INC. CLASS A
SYY SYSCO CORPORATION
SLGN SILGAN HOLDINGS INC.
SLF. SUN LIFE FINANCIAL INC.
POST POST HOLDINGS INC.
PG PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY
OMC OMNICOM GROUP INC
MKTX MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INC.
MKC MCCORMICK & COMPANY INCORPORATED
MDLZ MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC. CLASS A
LOPE GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC.
GIS GENERAL MILLS INC.
CPB CAMPBELL SOUP COMPANY
CHD CHURCH & DWIGHT CO. INC.
CALM CAL-MAINE FOODS INC.
CAG CONAGRA BRANDS INC.
BAH BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON HOLDING CORPORATION CLASS A
AMSF AMERISAFE INC.
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
EFX. ENERFLEX
STN. STANTEC INC
BRO BROWN & BROWN INC.
MSM MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO. INC. CLASS A
AJG ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER & CO.
RDED RELX PLC
NTNX NUTANIX INC. CLASS A
TRNS TRANSCAT
KNSL KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP INC.
WDFC WD-40 COMPANY
AXON AXON ENTERPRISE INC
CRVL CORVEL CORP.
ZLAB ZAI LAB LTD. SPONSORED ADR
SMPL SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO
ABT ABBOTT LABORATORIES
ZS ZSCALER INC.
SPOT SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA
IIIV I3 VERTICALS
VITL VITAL FARMS
LI LI AUTO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
OTIS OTIS WORLDWIDE CORPORATION
TT TRANE TECHNOLOGIES PLC
2VZ LEONARDO DRS INC.
SKWD SKYWARD SPECIALTY INS GROUP INC
LIN LINDE PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
ASPI ASP ISOTOPES INC
TRI THOMSON REUTERS CORPORATION
TXO TXO PARTNERS L.P.
WAY WAYSTAR HOLDING CORP
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
"Lockout Rally" Underway; Downgrading China We had a near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&P 500 (SPX) from 4/22/25 to 11/18/25. After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $135.70 on ACWI-US continue to hold. We will maintain our bullish intermediate...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
PLAY DAVE & BUSTER'S ENTERTAINMENT INC.
MATX MATSON INC.
LOCO EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC
LEN LENNAR CORPORATION CLASS A
FANG DIAMONDBACK ENERGY INC.
CVLG COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP INC
CHDN CHURCHILL DOWNS INCORPORATED
UPS UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC. CLASS B
PAL PANTALEON ENTERTAINMENT ORD SHS
HTLD HEARTLAND EXPRESS INC.
MRTN MARTEN TRANSPORT LTD.
OXM OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC.
JBSS JOHN B. SANFILIPPO & SON INC.
WGO WINNEBAGO INDUSTRIES INC.
ARHS ARHAUS INC
CCS COMCASTNEW PFD 6.625%56
BFBI39 FIRST TRUST NYSE ARCA BIOTECH BDR
FFFLP FIDELITY CAPITAL TRUST I PFD TR 8.3
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
New Lockout Rally Underway? We had a near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) from 4/22/25 to 11/19/25. After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass last week, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ continue to hold. We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view...
ZEUS OLYMPIC STEEL INC.
TMST TIMKENSTEEL CORP
STLD STEEL DYNAMICS INC.
RYI RYERSON HOLDING CORPORATION
CMC COMMERCIAL METALS COMPANY
KALU KAISER ALUMINUM CORPORATION
IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX FUND
RTP.. RIO TINTO PLC ADS (MEXICO)
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
SMH MARKET VECTORS SMEICONDOUCTOR ETF
KBE SPDR KBW BANK ETF
QQQ INVESCO QQQ TRUST
SMSMY SERIES 1
ELA SIMS METAL MANAGEMENT LTD. ADS
ENTERGY LA LLC DEB 5.875%41
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and QQQ We downgraded our near-term outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) to neutral last week (11/19/25 Compass), after being bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are right back to being near-term bullish as long as these support levels continue to hold. Just know that SPX could see...
WAT WATERS CORPORATION
VCYT VERACYTE INC
TMO THERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC INC.
RGEN REPLIGEN CORPORATION
PACB PACIFIC BIOSCIENCES OF CALIFORNIA INC.
IDXX IDEXX LABORATORIES INC.
HALO HALOZYME THERAPEUTICS INC.
EXEL EXELIXIS INC.
CRL CHARLES RIVER LABORATORIES INTERNATIONAL INC.
BRKR BRUKER CORPORATION
ASND ASCENDIS PHARMA A/S SPONSORED ADR
ANGO ANGIODYNAMICS INC.
BIO BIO-RAD LABORATORIES INC. CLASS A
IONS IONIS PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
PKI PERKINELMER INC.
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS CORPORATION
FLGT FULGENT GENETICS
MDGL MADRIGAL PHARMACEUTICALS
CELC CELCUITY
DNLI DENALI THERAPEUTICS INC
STE STERIS PLC
CSTL CASTLE BIOSCIENCES
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
VIR VIR BIOTECHNOLOGY
RPRX ROYALTY PHARMA PLC CLASS A
ADPT ADAPTIVE BIOTECHNOLOGIES
PRPO PRECIPIO INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
MTH MERITAGE HOMES CORPORATION
DHI D.R. HORTON INC.
COLM COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR COMPANY
VFC V.F. CORPORATION
HBB HAMILTON BEACH BRANDS HOLDING COMPANY
TNDM TANDEM DIABETES CARE
QTRX QUANTERIX CORPORATION
WGO WINNEBAGO INDUSTRIES INC.
NRIX NURIX THERAPEUTICS
TNGX TANGO THERAPEUTICS INC
FTREV FORTREA HOLDINGS INC.
BBNX BETA BIONICS
SION SIONNA THERAPEUTICS INC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Are the Lows In for SPX and QQQ? We downgraded our near-term outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) to neutral as of last Wednesday (11/19/25 Compass), after being bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass. The SPX, QQQ, and Russell 2000 (IWM) broke below their 50-day MAs and also violated their multi-month uptrends, signaling a consolidation period is here. With that said, our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), and we will maintain our bullish intermediat...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
n this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
SHOO STEVEN MADDEN LTD.
NTRA NATERA
MMS MAXIMUS INC.
ISRG INTUITIVE SURGICAL INC.
HOO HERBALIFE NUTRITION LTD.
HIG HARTFORD FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUP INC.
CPSI COMPUTER PROGRAMS & SYSTEMS INC.
BIIB BIOGEN INC.
ADMA ADMA BIOLOGICS INC
D4V G. WILLI-FOOD INTERNATIONAL LTD.
LZB LAZBOY INCORPORATED
HOFT HOOKER FURNITURE CORP.
TNDM TANDEM DIABETES CARE
RCUS ARCUS BIOSCIENCES
CSTL CASTLE BIOSCIENCES
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
NRIX NURIX THERAPEUTICS
ADPT ADAPTIVE BIOTECHNOLOGIES
TYRA TYRA BIOSCIENCES INC
GFR GREENFIRE RESOURCES LTD
SOLV_w SOLVENTUM CORPORATION
PACS PACS GROUP INC
NUTX NUTEX HEALTH INC
BBNX BETA BIONICS
KLRS KALARIS THERAPEUTICS INC
CCHH CCH HOLDINGS LTD
FBRX FORTE BIOSCIENCES INC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight We had been near-term bullish on the S&P 500 (SPX) since our 4/22/25 Compass, however, we are officially downgrading our near-term outlook to neutral. The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are breaking below their 50-day MAs and are also violating their multi-month uptrends, signaling a consolidation period is here. With that said, our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish (as of our 5/14/25 Co...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Int'l Macro Vision: Sector Synopsis
Open the attached file to read our complete International Strategy document, and to find links to detailed comments and recommendations for each of our 12 Sectors. Int'l Equity Strategy We had been near-term bullish on the S&P 500 (SPX) and global equities (ACWI-US) since our 4/22/25 Compass, however, we are officially downgrading our near-term outlook to neutral. Both the SPX and MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) are breaking below their 50-day MAs and are also violating their multi-month uptrends, sign...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Upside Ahead for Gold and Silver; DXY Below $100.25 We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 6200. We have also discussed weekly since our 10/14/25 Compass how our near-term bullish outlook remains intact as long as the SPX holds above the 3-month uptrend, which coincid...
VIAV VIAVI SOLUTIONS INC
SEDG SOLAREDGE TECHNOLOGIES INC.
GLW CORNING INC
EURN EURONAV NV
DHT DHT HOLDINGS INC.
CSIQ CANADIAN SOLAR INC.
CIEN CIENA CORPORATION
NVGS NAVIGATOR HOLDINGS
KNOP KNOT OFFSHORE PARTNERS
NAT NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS LIMITED
FSLR FIRST SOLAR INC.
JKS JINKOSOLAR HOLDING CO. LTD. SPONSORED ADR
INSW INTERNATIONAL SEAWAYS INC.
OCC OPTICAL CABLE
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
TNP TSAKOS ENERGY NAVIGATION LTD.
FRO FRONTLINE PLC
ENLT ENLIGHT RENEWABLE ENERGY LTD
TNK TEEKAY TANKERS LTD.
TE ALUSSA ENERGY ACQUISITION CORP
TK TEEKAY CORPORATION LTD.
NXT KON TUM CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS ORD
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
ATNI ATN INTERNATIONAL INC.
35G GENPACT LIMITED
EXPE EXPEDIA GROUP INC.
CRK COMSTOCK RESOURCES INC.
AXTI AXT INC.
ALB ALBEMARLE CORPORATION
ACRE ARES COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE
AGO ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
HRTG HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC.
DRH DIAMONDROCK HOSPITALITY COMPANY
ELY CALLAWAY GOLF COMPANY
FLGT FULGENT GENETICS
DK DELEK US HOLDINGS INC
TALO TALOS ENERGY INC.
LASR NLIGHT
GLOB GAZIT-GLOBE LTD.
ARVN ARVINAS HOLDING
PLMR PALOMAR HOLDINGS
BW BABCOCK & WILCOX ENTERPRISES
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
PGNY PROGYNY
AMPY AMPLIFY ENERGY
EOSE EOS ENERGY ENTERPRISES INC (A)
MSGE MADISON SQUARE GARDEN ENTERTAINMENT
DOCN DIGITALOCEAN HLDGS INC
DSGN DESIGN THERAPEUTICS INC
FIGS FIGS INC
YOU ONTO INNOVATION INC.
PPTA CLEAR SECURE INC
AMPX PERPETUA RESOURCES CORP
OS AMPRIUS TECHNOLOGIES INC
SNDK ONESTREAM INC
CSIOX SANDISK CORP
BALY CATALYST PERINI STRATEGIC INCOM ORD
HOII BALLY'S CORPORATION
REX HOOD GROWTH & INCOME ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Int'l Insights: Bullish Stocks
Buy the Pullback in Emerging Markets The 6-month uptrends on MSCI Emerging Markets index (local currency) and EEM-US (USD) remain intact, and we remain bullish. We have discussed for months how we expect support at the uptrend, which also coincides with the 50-day MA on EEM-US. We are getting that test now -- buy. While a more significant pullback is not our expectation, we would view any pullback to $48 support on EEM-US as a buying opportunity. Below we highlight attractive and actiona...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
ATNI ATN INTERNATIONAL INC.
PAHC PHIBRO ANIMAL HEALTH CORPORATION CLASS A
LGND LIGAND PHARMACEUTICALS INCORPORATED
PLNT PLANET FITNESS INC. CLASS A
HOO HERBALIFE NUTRITION LTD.
COLL COLLEGIUM PHARMACEUTICAL INC.
AMBA AMBARELLA INC.
SKY SKYLINE CHAMPION CORPORATION
NYT NEW YORK TIMES COMPANY CLASS A
DLX DELIGNIT AG
MTSI MACOM TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS HOLDINGS INC.
NOMDN NOMAD FOODS LTD.
LILA LIBERTY LATIN AMERICA A
DUBA DRDGOLD LTD. ADS
BW BABCOCK & WILCOX ENTERPRISES
SITM SITIME
LZ LEGALZOOM.COM INC
DERM JOURNEY MEDICAL CORP
COHR COHERENT CORP
GPCR STRUCTURE THERAPEUTICS
SBGI SINCLAIR INC
FBYD FALCONS BEYOND GLOBAL INC
MRX MAREX GROUP PLC
LB LANDBRIDGE COMPANY LLC
ORKA ORUKA THERAPEUTICS INC
ECG_w EVERUS CONSTRUCTION GROUP INC.
BKTI BK TECHNOLOGIES CORP
RAL RALLIANT CORP
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
TGL. TECNOGLASS INC.
SM SM ENERGY COMPANY
MTDR MATADOR RESOURCES COMPANY
MDLZ MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC. CLASS A
KAI KADANT INC.
JJSF J & J SNACK FOODS CORP.
HRL HORMEL FOODS CORPORATION
EEFT EURONET WORLDWIDE INC.
CVLT COMMVAULT SYSTEMS INC.
APOG APOGEE ENTERPRISES INC.
APD AIR PRODUCTS AND CHEMICALS INC.
ADP AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING INC.
WFT. WEST FRASER TIMBER CO. LTD.
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
HNI HNI CORPORATION
LPX LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORPORATION
SXC SUNCOKE ENERGY INC.
TREX TREX COMPANY INC.
WSO WATSCO INC.
SPOT SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA
MGY MAGNOLIA OIL & GAS CORP. CLASS A
CARR CARRIER GLOBAL CORP.
HPK HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (A)
DFH DREAM FINDERS HOMES
FOUR SHIFT4 PAYMENTS
SRAD SPORTRADAR GROUP AG
2VZ LEONARDO DRS INC.
LIN LINDE PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
ETOR ETORO GROUP LTD
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
ZEUS OLYMPIC STEEL INC.
SEE SEALED AIR CORPORATION
REGN REGENERON PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
OMCL OMNICELL INC.
MDXG MIMEDX GROUP INC.
LOCO EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC
HVT HAVERTY FURNITURE COS. INC.
GMED GLOBUS MEDICAL INC CLASS A
FFIC FLUSHING FINANCIAL CORP.
EXPO EXPONENT INC.
CRK COMSTOCK RESOURCES INC.
BJRI BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC.
CTS CTS CORP.
HLX HELIX ENERGY SOLUTIONS GROUP INC.
PTEN PATTERSON-UTI ENERGY INC.
NOVT NOVANTA INC
WGO WINNEBAGO INDUSTRIES INC.
WHD CACTUS INC
NRIX NURIX THERAPEUTICS
VTRS VIATRIS INC.
APA APA CORPORATION
REYN REYNOLDS CONSUMER PRODUCTS
DIBS 1STDIBS COM INC
ZI ZOOMINFO TECHNOLOGIES INC
CTO CTO REALTY GROWTH INC
JANX JANUX THERAPEUTICS INC
MCW MISTER CAR WASH INC
AFRI FORAFRIC GLOBAL PLC
FTREV FORTREA HOLDINGS INC.
INO INOVIO PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
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