reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Upgrading Real Estate, Transportation to Market Weight Ongoing developments have been almost exclusively of the risk-on variety ever since we discussed that risk/reward favored buyers in late-October (10/24/23 and 10/31/23 Compass reports). The latest risk-on developments include the Russell 2000 (IWM) and DJI breaking above resistances of $180 and 35,650, respectively, to go along with bullish 9-month RS reversals for small-, mid-, and micro-caps. Breadth improvement and broadening participati...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
SBH SALLY BEAUTY HOLDINGS INC.
NCLH NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDINGS LTD.
LMNR LIMONEIRA CO.
AMWD CARTHAGE CEMENT
CC AMERICAN WOODMARK CORPORATION
PAGS CHEMOURS CO.
GLOB PAGSEGURO DIGITAL LTD
LYFT GAZIT-GLOBE LTD.
VIACA LYFT
JOBY VIACOMCBS INC
METBV JOBY AVIATION INC
QUICKTOU RAMACO RESOURCES INC.
QUICKTOUCH TECHNOLOGIES LTD.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Still Riding the Trend Higher; Upgrading Real Estate to Market Weight After discussing our expectations for a bounce in our 10/30/23 ETF Pathfinder with the Russell 2000 (IWM) testing major support at $162-$163, we outlined in our 11/20/23 ETF Pathfinder that we were shifting our outlook to bullish. Market-generated information has continued to be of the risk-on variety, which has only reinforced our bullish outlook on the broad equity market. Therefore, we continue to expect a rally into year-...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
Bullish Outlook Intact; Upgrading Brazil to Overweight In our October 26, 2023 Int'l Compass we discussed our expectations for a bounce in global equities (MSCI ACWI). So far, that has been the low. Then, in our November 2, 2023 Int'l Compass, we discussed the bullish implications of the false breakdown in the MSCI ACWI (local currency). Finally, we outlined in our November 16, 2023 Int'l Compass our belief that a year-end rally has begun in global equities (MSCI ACWI). Recent developments have...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
SSL SASOL LTD. ADS
PII POLARIS INC.
MGPI MGP INGREDIENTS INC.
HAE HAEMONETICS CORPORATION
FNV. FRANCO-NEVADA CORPORATION
EXTR EXTREME NETWORKS INC.
CMP COMPASS MINERALS INTERNATIONAL INC.
AGCO AGCO CORPORATION
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
ACLS AXCELIS TECHNOLOGIES INC.
SWM SCHWEITZER-MAUDUIT INTERNATIONAL INC.
HI HILLENBRAND INC.
MATW MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION CLASS A
LTHM LIVENT
HLIO HELIOS TECHNOLOGIES INC.
BROOKFIELD RESIDENTIAL PROPERTIES INC.
PLL PIEDMONT LITHIUM INC
CR CRANE HOLDINGS CO
NPWR NET POWER INC
LAAC_w LITHIUM ARGENTINA CORP
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
RGLD ROYAL GOLD INC.
DPZ DOMINO'S PIZZA INC.
TRIP TRIPADVISOR INC.
PODD INSULET CORPORATION
PENN PENN NATIONAL GAMING INC.
OMI OWENS & MINOR INC.
NG. NOVAGOLD RESOURCES INC.
MYGN MYRIAD GENETICS INC.
MNRO MONRO INC
M MACY'S INC
KHC KRAFT HEINZ COMPANY
GCO GENESCO INC.
EMN EASTMAN CHEMICAL COMPANY
EDIT EDITAS MEDICINE INC.
ANIK ANIKA THERAPEUTICS INC.
UFCS UNITED FIRE GROUP INC.
AXP 11 88 0 SOLUTIONS AG
UA AMERICAN EXPRESS COMPANY
TGT UNDER ARMOUR INC. CLASS C
ALCO TARGET CORPORATION
VMD ALICO INC.
PNTG VIEMED HEALTHCARE
TWST PENNANT GROUP
ALXO TWIST BIOSCIENCE
CG ALX ONCOLOGY HOLDINGS
CLSK CARLYLE GROUP INC
BEAM CLEANSPARK
XMTR BEAM THERAPEUTICS
VSCO XOMETRY INC
EMBC VICTORIA'S SECRET & CO
VH EMBECTA CORP
VASTRA HAMNEN CORPORATE FINANCE AB
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Continue to Ride the Trend Higher After discussing that risk/reward favored buyers in late-October as our key supports were being tested (10/24/23 and 10/31/23 Compass reports), we outlined in our 11/7/23 Compass our belief that a significant year-end rally was likely underway. Market-generated information has continued to be of the risk-on variety, which has only reinforced our bullish outlook on the broad equity market. Therefore, we continue to expect a rally into year-end and beyond. S&P 5...
BKD BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC.
TJX TJX COMPANIES INC
ENSG ENSIGN GROUP INC.
BSBR BANCO SANTANDER BRAZIL S.A. ADS
G4RA BANCO DE CHILE ADS
ROST ROSINTER RESTAURANTS HOLDING ORD SHS
GGAL. GRUPO FINANCIERO GALICIA SA SPONSORED ADR CLASS B
BVXB ITAU UNIBANCO HOLDING S.A. SPONSORED ADR PFD
BMA. BANCO MACRO SA SPONSORED ADR CLASS B
CSU CAPITAL SENIOR LIVING
NHC NHC COMMUNICATIONS
INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Year-End Rally to Continue? The broad equity market has been on an absolute tear since we discussed in our 10/31/23 Compass how risk/reward favored buyers as key supports were being tested, including 4165 on the S&P 500, $162-$163 on the Russell 2000 (IWM), and $350 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). Furthermore, we discussed in our 11/7/23 Compass our belief that this was more than just another counter-trend rally, and that it is likely the start of a significant year-end rally. We also reiterated our b...
TLYS TILLYS
LOPE GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC.
LINC LINCOLN EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
GPS GAP INC.
ENSG ENSIGN GROUP INC.
BKE BUCKLE INC.
ATRA ATARA BIOTHERAPEUTICS INC
ANF ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO. CLASS A
AEO AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS INC.
UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC.
VRA VERA BRADLEY INC.
ATGE ADTALEM GLOBAL EDUCATION INC.
AFYA AFYA
APELY ALPS ALPINE
PRDO PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORP
LRN STRIDE INC
NHC NHC COMMUNICATIONS
DUOL INC.
EDU DUOLINGO INC
NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
RGLD ROYAL GOLD INC.
WING WINGSTOP INC.
EVEREST RE GROUP LTD.
R RYDER SYSTEM INC.
NEO NEOGENOMICS INC.
MPAA MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA INC.
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
M MACY'S INC
LWAY LIFEWAY FOODS INC.
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
HCI HCI GROUP INC.
CB CHUBB LIMITED
ARCO ARCOS DORADOS HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
AMT AMERICAN TOWER CORPORATION
ALL ALLSTATE CORPORATION
UVE UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC.
ABC AMERISOURCEBERGEN CORPORATION
SGC SAGIANG IMPORT EXPORT CORP
108N RCL FOODS LTD
UEC UNIMIT ENGINEERING
CCL CARNIVAL CORPORATION
THG HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP INC.
AJG ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER & CO.
WRB W. R. BERKLEY CORPORATION
CRSP CRISPR THERAPEUTICS AG
HCC WARRIOR MET COAL INC.
DESP DESPEGAR.COM CORP.
FDBC FIDELITY D&D BANCORP INC.
SONO SONOS
ALXO ALX ONCOLOGY HOLDINGS
FOUR SHIFT4 PAYMENTS
GE GENERAL ELECTRIC CO.
RXST RXSIGHT INC
ACLX ARCELLX INC
ANTX AN2 THERAPEUTICS INC
DKNG DRAFTKINGS INC.
LUXH LUXURBAN HOTELS INC
ISRG ISRAIR GROUP LTD
UTIL HORIZONS CANADIAN UTILITY SERVICES HIGH DIVIDEND INDEX ETF
MMS LYXOR MSCI EMU SMALL CAP (DR) UCITS ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
Year-End Rally Underway We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. In our previous Int'l Compass (November 2, 2023), we discussed how the MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) did not display a decisive breakdown, and that we would be on the lookout for a false breakdown, something that was already evident in the MSCI ACWI when priced in local currency. We discussed how this is bullish as long as the index does not break to a new...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
YPF YPF SA SPONSORED ADR CLASS D
WYNN WYNN RESORTS LIMITED
NYCB NEW YORK COMMUNITY BANCORP INC.
NTCT NETSCOUT SYSTEMS INC.
MRK MERCK & CO. INC.
MGPI MGP INGREDIENTS INC.
KR KROGER CO.
GPRE GREEN PLAINS INC.
GOGO GOGO INC.
FNV. FRANCO-NEVADA CORPORATION
CNK CINEMARK HOLDINGS INC.
BIIB BIOGEN INC.
TKO. TASEKO MINES LIMITED
MDU MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
VODJ VODAFONE GROUP PLC (ADR)
ABBV ABBVIE INC.
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC ADS
A2H5RW ERO COPPER
NABL N-ABLE
WDS INC.
CLB WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LTD
TH CORE LABORATORIES INC
THERATECHNOLOGIES INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Macro Vision: Sector Synopsis
STRATEGY Since the pullback began in August, we have pointed to longer-term support at 4300-4325 and 4165-4200 on the S&P 500 as areas that offer a more attractive entry point. 4300-4325 did break, but the 4165-4200 area has held. We also discussed in our 10/31/23 Compass how risk/reward favored buyers with key supports being tested, including 4165 on the S&P 500, $162-$163 on the Russell 2000 (IWM), and $350 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). A potent rally ensued, and we discussed in our 11/7/23 Compas...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Just Another Counter-Trend Rally, or Something More? We believe there is significant evidence that the broad equity market has bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. In last week's Compass (10/31/23) we discussed how the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) did not display decisive breakdowns, and that a break above 4165-4200 and $350-$355, respectively, would be bullish, since that would indicate false breakdowns. False breakdowns are officially in place, and these levels remain important supports ...
TLYS TILLYS
RGA REINSURANCE GROUP OF AMERICA INCORPORATED
EVEREST RE GROUP LTD.
GPS GAP INC.
GLRE GREENLIGHT CAPITAL RE LTD. CLASS A
CTRN CITI TRENDS INC.
BKE BUCKLE INC.
ANF ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO. CLASS A
AEO AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS INC.
ACGL ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD.
GES GUESS? INC.
URBN URBAN JAKARTA PROPERTINDO
SPNT SIRIUSPOINT LTD
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
Int'l Compass: Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact With Supports Holding on EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI ex-U.S., and MSCI EAFE; Actionable Themes: Consumer Discretionary, Technology, SerJapan Bullishly Inflecting The MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) briefly fell below major support at $90.50-$91.50, though we do not consider it a "decisive" breakdown and we would be on the lookout for a false breakdown. Indeed, on MSCI ACWI (local currency), a false breakdown appears to already be in ...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
DOV DOVER CORPORATION
RBC REGAL BELOIT CORP
ON ON SEMICONDUCTOR CORPORATION
NWL NEWELL BRANDS INC
NDSN NORDSON CORPORATION
MKSI MKS INSTRUMENTS INC.
FNV. FRANCO-NEVADA CORPORATION
FELE FRANKLIN ELECTRIC CO. INC.
FCX FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC.
DIOD DIODES INCORPORATED
AEIS ADVANCED ENERGY INDUSTRIES INC.
ENPH ENPHASE ENERGY INC.
MT ARCELORMITTAL
MATW MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION CLASS A
VICR VICOR CORP.
A2H5RW ERO COPPER
BE BLOOM ENERGY
MP MP MATERIALS CORP (A)
SGML SIGMA LITHIUM CORP
ENOV ENOVIS CORPORATION
GFS GASFRAC ENERGY SERVICES
LAAC_w INC.
ITW LITHIUM ARGENTINA CORP
MIDD INTRAWEST ULC
ISHARES - ISHARES FTSE 250
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Bullish Breadth Divergences Persist The S&P 500 is just below 4165-4200 support, and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is just below $350-$355 support. Given they were only 1%-1.5% below these supports at last week's lows, we cannot call them "decisive" breakdowns quite yet. Regardless, these levels are now resistance (in addition to the 200-day MA on SPX), and they are important lines-in-the-sand moving forward. We cannot be bullish if the SPX and QQQ are below the aforementioned levels, but it would be bu...
LINC LINCOLN EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
DHT DHT HOLDINGS INC.
NVGS NAVIGATOR HOLDINGS
LPG DORIAN LPG
EGO ELDORADO GOLD CORP.
TK TEEKAY CORPORATION
K. KINROSS GOLD CORPORATION
NAT NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS LIMITED
IMG. IAMGOLD CORPORATION
FRO FRONTLINE LTD.
UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC.
BVN... COMPANIA DE MINAS BUENAVENTURA SAA SPONSORED ADR
OSG OVERSEAS SHIPHOLDING GROUP
INSW INTERNATIONAL SEAWAYS INC.
LAUR LAUREATE EDUCATION INC. CLASS A
STRA STRATEGIC EDUCATION INC.
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
AFYA AFYA
SFL SFL CORPORATION LIMITED
PRDO PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORP
TNP TSAKOS ENERGY NAVIGATION LTD.
LRN STRIDE INC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
WABC WESTAMERICA BANCORPORATION
RGR STURM RUGER & COMPANY INC.
PPC PILGRIM'S PRIDE CORPORATION
MCY MERCURY GENERAL CORPORATION
LDOS LEIDOS HOLDINGS INC.
IBCP INDEPENDENT BANK CORP. MICHIGAN
HMN HORACE MANN EDUCATORS CORPORATION
HII HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES INC.
GILD GILEAD SCIENCES INC.
EAT BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC.
CUBI CUSTOMERS BANCORP INC.
CRK COMSTOCK RESOURCES INC.
CL COLGATE-PALMOLIVE COMPANY
BPMC BLUEPRINT MEDICINES CORP.
AR ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION
SAFT SAFETY INSURANCE GROUP INC.
AROW ARROW FINANCIAL CORP.
CHE CHEMED CORPORATION
NOC NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORPORATION
LMT LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION
THG HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP INC.
WRB W. R. BERKLEY CORPORATION
ACNB ACNB CORP.
SRCE 1ST SOURCE CORP.
CSTR CAPSTAR FINANCIAL HOLDINGS
BL BEST LEASE
WRK WESTROCK COMPANY
NKE NIKE INC. CLASS B
ESSA ESSA BANCORP
CHMG CHEMUNG FINANCIAL CORP.
SRRK SCHOLAR ROCK HOLDING CORPORATION
ALXO ALX ONCOLOGY HOLDINGS
MODV MODIVCARE INC
VSCO VICTORIA'S SECRET & CO
CHK CHESAPEAKE ENERGY CORP
FRST PRIMIS FINANCIAL CORP
P RAILPOWER TECHNOLOGIES CORP.
MSBI HAMASHBIR 365 LTD
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
Remain Overweight and Add Exposure to Japan The MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) continues to hold above major support at $90.50-$91.50; as long as this support area holds, we remain constructive on global equities. MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to hold above $$37 support, while MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US) and EAFE (EFA-US) are testing supports at $45 and $65-$66, respectively. Japan Remains Leadership. Remain overweight and add exposure to Japan; the TOPIX remains in a 1.5-year RS uptrend (vs. MSCI ACWI)...
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