reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
20-Day MA Supports Holding on SPX, QQQ, IWM The S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) each continue to hold above short-term support at their respective 20-day MAs (currently 5966 on SPX, $526.50 on QQQ, and $208.75 on IWM) -- and have not closed below their 20-day MAs for two months. As long as 20-day MA supports hold, our near-term bullish outlook that we have had since our 4/22/25 Compass remains intact. We will need to see breakdowns below 20-day MA supports in order to ex...
TXRH TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC.
PLAY DAVE & BUSTER'S ENTERTAINMENT INC.
HRL HORMEL FOODS CORPORATION
EAT BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC.
DIN DINE BRANDS GLOBAL INC.
DAR DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
CALM CAL-MAINE FOODS INC.
CAKE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED
P5Y BRF SA
BJRI BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC.
SEB MIEN TRUNG POWER INVESTMENT AND DEVELOPMENT
NATH NATHAN'S FAMOUS INC.
BH BIGLARI HOLDINGS B
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
RMAX RE/MAX HOLDINGS INC.
NCLH NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDINGS LTD.
MDLZ MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC. CLASS A
LOCO EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC
DIN DINE BRANDS GLOBAL INC.
MSGS MADISON SQUARE GARDEN SPORTS CORP. CLASS A
TCI TRANSCONTINENTAL REALTY INVESTORS INC
RDFN REDFIN CORPORATION
NANX NANOPHASE TECHNOLOGIES CORP.
BH BIGLARI HOLDINGS B
PAYS PAYSIGN INC
BBIO BRIDGEBIO PHARMA
VIAC VIACOMCBS INC. CLASS B
HIMS HIMS AND HERS HEALTH INC (A)
OSCR OSCAR HEALTH
LMND LEMONADE INC
ASTS AST SPACEMOBILE INC
SRM SRM ENTERTAINMENT INC
LGCY LEGACY EDUCATION INC.
BATRA LIBERTY MEDIA CORPORATION
OXOTECH OXO TECHNOLOGIES HLDG PLC
PHH PARK HA BIOLOGICAL TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Semiconductors and Technology Leading the Way We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 5700-5785 (up from 5500). We continue to be buyers in the 5700-5785 range if it gets there, and we would also be buyers at 5804-5854 gap support. We are expecting all-time highs soon on the SPX. Technolo...
LPG DORIAN LPG
G2O GOLAR LNG LIMITED
RIGN TRANSOCEAN LTD.
TRT1 TRANSATLANTIC PETROLEUM LTD.
INSW INTERNATIONAL SEAWAYS INC.
SMH MARKET VECTORS SMEICONDOUCTOR ETF
SDRL SEADRILL LTD.
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
VAL VALARIS LTD
ALCC ALTC ACQUISITION CORP
SMR NUSCALE POWER CORP
FRO FRONTLINE PLC
NE NOBLE CORP (NEW)
NNE NANO NUCLEAR ENERGY
TNK SEADRILL LTD
CPLPB TEEKAY TANKERS LTD.
TK CARGOPORT LOGISTICS CA PFD B
TEEKAY CORPORATION LTD.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
n this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
OXY OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORPORATION
VSAT VIASAT INC.
RDWR RADWARE LTD.
MRCY MERCURY SYSTEMS INC.
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
DAR DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
AVAV AEROVIRONMENT INC.
EFR ENERGY FUELS
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
FSLR FIRST SOLAR INC.
SJT SAN JUAN BASIN ROYALTY TRUST
LEU CENTRUS ENERGY CORPORATION
ISSC INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC.
SDRL SEADRILL LTD.
NEON NEONODE INC.
LHX L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC
JAN JANONE INC
MP MP MATERIALS CORP (A)
RTX RAYTHEON TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION
APA APA CORPORATION
SHLS SHOALS TECHNOLOGIES GROUP
OVV OVINTIV INC
SBTX SILVERBACK THERAPEUTICS
CIVI CIVITAS RESOURCES INC
ASTS AST SPACEMOBILE INC
CHRD CHORD ENERGY CORPORATION
METC RAMACO RESOURCES INC.
UMAC UNUSUAL MACHS INC NEV
VG VENTURE GLOBAL INC.
OWLT OWLET INC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
LINC LINCOLN EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
IMAX IMAX CORPORATION
AXS AXIS CAPITAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
PATK PATRICK INDUSTRIES INC.
MEG. MEG ENERGY CORP.
HRTG HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC.
ELF E.L.F. BEAUTY INC.
PAYS PAYSIGN INC
RPRX ROYALTY PHARMA PLC CLASS A
IMTX IMMATICS N V (A)
CVAC CUREVAC NV
IHS IHS HLDG LTD
SGHC SUPER GROUP (SGHC) LIMITED
CMPO COMPOSECURE INC
FTREV FORTREA HOLDINGS INC.
SGMT SAGIMET BIOSCIENCES INC
PC PREMIUM CATERING HOLDINGS LIMITED
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
MSCI ACWI and EM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea to Overweight We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115). ACWI-US is now breaking out above 6-month resistance to all-time highs and EEM-US is breaking above $47, further confirming our bullish outl...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Gap Supports Holding; Expecting Test of All-Time Highs We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 5500. Our base case expectation is that SPX holds above short-term gap support at 5700-5785 (which is also where the 20-day, 100-day, and 200-day MAs all converge). However, if 5700 does break (a...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Macro Vision: Sector Synopsis
STRATEGY We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 5500. Our base case expectation is that SPX tests all-time highs soon, then we expect it to hold above short-term gap support at 5700-5785 should we get a pullback. Perhaps one of the most encouraging signs yet (and there have been many) is...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
RCKY ROCKY BRANDS
PZZA PAPA JOHN'S INTERNATIONAL INC.
PLAY DAVE & BUSTER'S ENTERTAINMENT INC.
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
MSA MSA SAFETY INC.
MPC MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
MCHP MICROCHIP TECHNOLOGY INCORPORATED
KOP KOPPERS HOLDINGS INC.
GPC GENUINE PARTS COMPANY
DLTR DOLLAR TREE INC.
DG DOLLAR GENERAL CORPORATION
CVGW CALAVO GROWERS INC.
BEN FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC.
AAP ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC.
MEG. MEG ENERGY CORP.
FSLR FIRST SOLAR INC.
KALU KAISER ALUMINUM CORPORATION
PVH PVH CORP.
NHC NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORP.
ELF E.L.F. BEAUTY INC.
DK DELEK US HOLDINGS INC
SCPH SCPHARMACEUTICALS INC
MTW MANITOWOC COMPANY INC.
TTEC TTEC HOLDINGS INC.
ADNT ADIENT PLC
ULBI ULTRALIFE
ELAN ELANCO ANIMAL HEALTH INC.
OCGN OCUGEN INC
ITOS ITEOS THERAPEUTICS
ETWO E2OPEN PARENT HOLDINGS INC (A)
PAX PATRIA INVESTMENTS
VAL VALARIS LTD
DINO HOLLYFRONTIER CORP
NE NOBLE CORP (NEW)
ADCT ADC THERAPEUTICS SA
SVV SAVERS VALUE VILLAGE INC
GUTS FRACTYL HEALTH INC
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
MSCI ACWI Coiling Under All-Time Highs We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, we continue to believe the SPX and MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) likely bottomed at 4800-4820 and $101-$102 (May 13, 2025 Int'l Macro Vision), and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5500 and $115. We just discussed in last week's Int'l Compass (May 22, 2025) how we w...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Upgrading Consumer Discretionary (XLY) to Overweight A weak 20-year note auction last Wednesday sparked the first semi-meaningful pullback since this lockout rally began on April 22nd, which is when we turned short-term bullish (4/22/25 Compass) as the SPX was testing 5100-5120 support. We will be watching the 10- and 30-year Treasury yields closely, as both are approaching important resistance levels (more on that below). Unsurprisingly, SPX only tested short-term gap support on the pullback a...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
PSIX POWER SOLUTIONS INTERNATIONAL INC.
GT GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER COMPANY
GPS GAP INC.
CYBR CYBERARK SOFTWARE LTD.
CVI CVR ENERGY INC.
CAR AVIS BUDGET GROUP INC.
APEI AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION
ALLT ALLOT LTD
AAP ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC.
PARR PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC
SOI SOLARIS OILFIELD INFRASTRUCTURE
DK DELEK US HOLDINGS INC
FMCC FREDDIE MAC
PAGS PAGSEGURO DIGITAL LTD
DOMO DOMO INCORPORATED
LASR NLIGHT
LEVI LEVI STRAUSS & CO. CLASS A
OPRX OPTIMIZERX CORP
PTON PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC. CLASS A
SNOW SNOWFLAKE INC. CLASS A
TDUP THREDUP INC
QUBT QUANTUM COMPUTING INC
COIN COINBASE GLOBAL INC
RGTI RIGETTI COMPUTING INC
OPFI OPPFI INC
SYM SYMBOTIC INC
GCT GIGACLOUD TECHNOLOGY INC
QBTS D-WAVE QUANTUM INC.
GNMA ISHARES BARCLAYS GNMA BOND FUND
ODD ODDITY TECH LTD
AISP AIRSHIP AI HOLDINGS INC
RBRK RUBRIK INC
PDYN PALLADYNE AI CORP
LZMH LZ TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS LTD
AEVA AEVA TECHNOLOGIES INC.
PRE PRENETICS GLOBAL LIMITED
ASST ASSET ENTITIES INC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
DXCM DEXCOM INC.
XRAY DENTSPLY SIRONA INC.
WING WINGSTOP INC.
VRTS VIRTUS INVESTMENT PARTNERS INC.
UHS UNIVERSAL HEALTH SERVICES INC. CLASS B
STKS ONE GROUP HOSPITALITY
SNPS SYNOPSYS INC.
SMG SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO COMPANY CLASS A
SFST SOUTHERN FIRST BANCSHARES
RGNX REGENXBIO INC.
RCKY ROCKY BRANDS
PRGO PERRIGO CO. PLC
MPWR MONOLITHIC POWER SYSTEMS INC.
JRVR JAMES RIVER GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
IRM IRON MOUNTAIN INC.
GPC GENUINE PARTS COMPANY
GD GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION
DLTR DOLLAR TREE INC.
DG DOLLAR GENERAL CORPORATION
CROX CROCS INC.
CAL CALERES INC.
BKE BUCKLE INC.
ASC ARDMORE SHIPPING
AMOT ALLIED MOTION TECHNOLOGIES
ACAD ACADIA PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
SBL SAFE BULKERS INC.
LPG DORIAN LPG
MEG. MEG ENERGY CORP.
MDU MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC
NAT NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS LIMITED
EVTC EVERTEC INC.
FSLR FIRST SOLAR INC.
IONS IONIS PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
NMIH NMI HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
AGYS AGILYSYS INC.
SJM J.M. SMUCKER COMPANY
FIZZ NATIONAL BEVERAGE CORP.
NHC NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORP.
INSW INTERNATIONAL SEAWAYS INC.
FLGT FULGENT GENETICS
DK DELEK US HOLDINGS INC
CELH CELSIUS HOLDINGS INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
TTEC TTEC HOLDINGS INC.
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
ST SENSATA TECHNOLOGIES HOLDING PLC
ELAN ELANCO ANIMAL HEALTH INC.
MEC MAYVILLE ENGINEERING
DELL DELL TECHNOLOGIES INC CLASS C
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
OI O-I GLASS INC
BWMN BOWMAN CONSULTING GROUP LTD
DINO HOLLYFRONTIER CORP
EVEX EVE HOLDING INC
SPXC SPX TECHNOLOGIES INC
WEST WESTROCK COFFEE COMPANY LLC
ADCT ADC THERAPEUTICS SA
SVV SAVERS VALUE VILLAGE INC
GUTS FRACTYL HEALTH INC
AGEN AGENUS INC.
ARDT ARDENT HEALTH PARTNERS INC
PCT PROVIDENT CAP TR II SKIS 8.75%29
MKTW MARKETWISE INC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Expecting a Test of All-Time Highs The market remains relentlessly strong, shrugging off the latest "bearish" headline regarding Moody's U.S. debt downgrade on Friday. This is exactly what we would expect to happen in a bull market, particularly during this "lockout rally," and helps confirm our bullish outlook. To recap, we have been short-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass -- when the SPX was testing 5100-5120 support -- but we upgraded our intermediate-term outlook to bullish as well, as...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
SEDG SOLAREDGE TECHNOLOGIES INC.
PSIX POWER SOLUTIONS INTERNATIONAL INC.
ENLV ENLIVEX THERAPEUTICS
OLLI OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDINGS INC
FRPT FRESHPET INC
GSHD GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE
JAN JANONE INC
CURI CURIOSITYSTREAM INC (A)
PTLO PORTILLOS INC
ACHR ARCHER AVIATION INC
HTZ HERTZ GLOBAL HLDGS INC
QBTS D-WAVE QUANTUM INC.
WEST WESTROCK COFFEE COMPANY LLC
PDYN PALLADYNE AI CORP
VIK VIKING HOLDINGS LTD
LB LANDBRIDGE COMPANY LLC
CDTX CIDARA THERAPEUTICS INC.
LGCY LEGACY EDUCATION INC.
AEVA AEVA TECHNOLOGIES INC.
ALMU AELUMA INC
JNVR JANOVER INC
ACOG ALPHA COGNITION INC
PCT PROVIDENT CAP TR II SKIS 8.75%29
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Lockout Rally Continues As discussed for the past two weeks, we are seeing more and more signs that lead us to believe the S&P 500 (SPX) made a major bottom at 4800-4820, which is where we initially discussed in our 4/8/25 Compass to look for a local bottom to develop. We have been short-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass -- when the SPX was testing 5100-5120 support -- but now we are upgrading our intermediate-term outlook to bullish as well. We titled last week's 5/6/25 Compass "Lockout R...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Int'l Macro Vision: Sector Synopsis
Int'l Equity Strategy We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, when we discussed that 5110-5120 on the S&P 500 (SPX) was a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against. We have been trying to play the role of short-term trader, all while keeping an eye on intermediate-term trends (discussed support/bottom in 4/8/25 Compass, expected the rally to fizzle in our 4/15/25 Compass, and then discussed a likely bounce in our 4/22/25 Compass, with Int'l Compass reports all echoing this ...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Lockout Rally in Full Swing Continuing the trend from last week's U.S. Macro Vision (4/29/25), we are seeing more and more signs that lead us to believe the S&P 500 (SPX) made a major bottom at 4800-4820, which is where we initially discussed in our 4/8/25 Compass to look for a local bottom to develop. As a result, we have been short-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, when we noted that the SPX was testing 5100-5120 support, a potential bounce spot and a level to trade long against. With t...
LOPE GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC.
ENSG ENSIGN GROUP INC.
BFAM BRIGHT HORIZONS FAMILY SOLUTIONS INC.
UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC.
LAUR LAUREATE EDUCATION INC. CLASS A
ATGE ADTALEM GLOBAL EDUCATION INC.
AFYA AFYA
PRDO PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORP
CSU CAPITAL SENIOR LIVING
LRN STRIDE INC
DUOL DUOLINGO INC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
TITN TITAN MACHINERY
RCKY ROCKY BRANDS
LNDC LANDEC CORP.
EXAS EXACT SCIENCES CORPORATION
CRK COMSTOCK RESOURCES INC.
BEN FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC.
ATI ALLEGHENY TECHNOLOGIES INCORPORATED
BJRI BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC.
AVH AVITA MEDICAL CDI
ATEC ALPHATEC HOLDINGS INC.
WHG WESTWOOD HOLDINGS GROUP INC.
FLGT FULGENT GENETICS
IRTC IRHYTHM TECHNOLOGIES INC.
LAUR LAUREATE EDUCATION INC. CLASS A
ATGE ADTALEM GLOBAL EDUCATION INC.
OCBI ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP
ATOM ATOMERA
FULC FULCRUM THERAPEUTICS
IESC IES HOLDINGS INC.
ADPT ADAPTIVE BIOTECHNOLOGIES
PRDO PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORP
HIMS HIMS AND HERS HEALTH INC (A)
ACHR ARCHER AVIATION INC
ASTS AST SPACEMOBILE INC
RGTI RIGETTI COMPUTING INC
SKWD SKYWARD SPECIALTY INS GROUP INC
ASPI ASP ISOTOPES INC
BTSG BRIGHTSPRING HEALTH SERVICES INC.
DAVE DAVE INC
ASMB ASSEMBLY BIOSCIENCES INC
AEVA AEVA TECHNOLOGIES INC.
BKTI BK TECHNOLOGIES CORP
ALMU AELUMA INC
ACOG ALPHA COGNITION INC
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