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Company Update | Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/HOLD/Bt190.00/Target: Bt180.00) We came away from the meeting with a slightly negative view. KBANK announced that its 2026 NIM target is set to drop significantly yoy, which leaves us concerned. However, KBANK reiterated that it will maintain prudent lending practices and improve asset quality, aiming for credit cost normalisation by the end of the year. We expect a special dividend payment in 2025 benefitting from excess capital. Maintain HOLD with a low...
Sector Update | Retail We do not expect the retail sector to see a severe post-election contraction, as sector returns did not outperform the SET Index in the pre-election period. The early signs of recovery should emerge from Mar 26 onwards. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We switch our top picks to BJC and CPALL, as they are clear laggards with the cheapest valuations.
Top Stories Sector Update | Retail We do not expect the retail sector to see a severe post-election contraction, as sector returns did not outperform the SET Index in the pre-election period. The early signs of recovery should emerge from Mar 26 onwards. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We switch our top picks to BJC and CPALL, as they are clear laggards with the cheapest valuations. Company Update | Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/HOLD/Bt190.00/Target: Bt180.00) We came away from the meeting with a slightly ...
Corporate Deals Galore Highlights Our channel checks suggest that many more value-accretive corporate exercises, such as M&A, privatisation, IPO and asset monetisation, as well as capital management, could materialise in 2026, following the heels of the first mega deal of Sunway Bhd’s proposed acquisition of IJM Corporation. Such deals relate mainly in the mid-cap space, and should help revive interests in the small-mid cap segment, beyond generating alpha returns for the pertinent companies...
Top Stories Strategy | Corporate Deals Galore Our channel checks suggest that more value-accretive M&A, privatisation, IPO and asset monetisation and capital management corporate exercises could materialise in 2026, following the heels of this year’s first mega deal of Sunway Bhd’s proposed acquisition of IJM Corporation. Such deals relate mainly in the mid-cap space, and should help revive interests in the small-mid cap segment. Beneficiaries include a handful of the O&G (eg Yinson Holdings) an...
As we continue to expect market volatility, we maintain exposure to names that have resilient earnings or are expected to enjoy an earnings growth recovery, such as Ausnutria Dairy (1717 HK), CSPC (1093 HK) and Dongfeng Motor (489 HK), and add PICC P&C (2328 HK) to our BUY list.
The stronger-than-expected 1Q19 economic data and central bank backstop have fuelled optimism that cycles are a thing of the past. With animal spirits rekindled, our more cautious view since end-February has not played out well. Although we have not seen an improvement in risk-reward so far and further meaningful monetary easing will be needed to see a sustainable recovery, we are adjusting our strategy to include laggards and policy-supported sectors in our BUY list.
The stronger-than-expected 1Q19 economic data and central bank backstop has fuelled optimism that cycles are a thing of the past. With animal spirits rekindled, our more cautious view since end-February has not played out well. Although we have not seen an improvement in risk-reward so far and further meaningful monetary easing will be needed to see a sustainable recovery, we are adjusting our strategy to include laggards and policy-supported sectors into our BUY list.
Top Stories Company Results | Yum China Holdings, Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$392.40) In 4Q25, YUMC’s total revenue reached US$2,823m, up 9% yoy. Total system sales grew 7% yoy, with a 3% increase in same-store sales. Operating profit rose 25% yoy to US$187m, with operating margin at 6.6% (+80bp). For 1Q26, management targets positive SSS. It aims to maintain flat yoy restaurant margin and operating profit margin on a high base. For 2026, it expects to open more than 1,900 net new stores, with 40...
Top Stories Company Update | Prudential (2378 HK/BUY/HK$123.40/Target: HK$138.00) We expect Prudential to report >10% growth in NBP, earnings and free surplus generation in 2025, in line with management guidance. It also announced that it would utilise part of the US$1.4b net proceeds from the IPAMC IPO to conduct a US$700m share buyback, with the remainder to be distributed in 2027. With a solid 5% yield and attractive growth outlook over the next two years, we believe Prudential continues to ...
Top Stories Economics | PMI December Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1, back in the expansionary zone for the first time since March. Non-manufacturing PMI also improved at 50.2 (+0.7pt mom), driven by a rebound in construction activity, while services PMI remained slightly contractionary, pointing to weak domestic demand. Enterprise PMI showed divergent trends, with large firms leading the improvement. Overall, the December data points to an uneven recovery despite the positive headline numbers. ...
Top Stories Small/Mid Cap Highlights | Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK/BUY/HK$5.90/Target: HK$7.60) We held a pre-blackout call with Plover Bay. In 2H25, growth momentum continued across all markets and management saw growing demand from new verticals. Meanwhile, subscription take-up rates continued to improve on enhanced software features and organic growth. Plover Bay has seen strengthened brand awareness for its Peplink routers since its collaboration with Starlink in Jan 24, and will conti...
Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile We expect China’s vehicle wholesale shipment to grow 4.9% to 35.7m units in 2026, with EV shipments surging 22.9% and exports rising 20.8%. The anti-involution policy and subsidy rollback will curb overall sales growth but improve OEM margins by banning price wars, while auto parts suppliers will regain bargaining power. Key 2026 investment themes include ADAS, humanoid robotics, eVTOL and recovery of lithium carbonate prices. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top B...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply A little less to cheer. Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly Riding on the wave of AI PC; Thunder Software Technology is a beneficiary. Sector Internet 3Q23 results preview: Solid e-commerce ad growth to drive sector growth; potential positive surprise from online game grossing. Internet Muted growth acceleration from 11.11 campaign. Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$6.43/Target: HK$9.50) Revenue guidance revised down yet sales target mainta...