ALK B ALK-abello A/S Class B

Nine-month interim report (Q3) 2018

Nine-month interim report (Q3) 2018

Better than expected performance continued in Q3 (unaudited)

Financial results in Q3 were again better than expected and the full-year outlook has been updated accordingly. Execution of ALK’s growth strategy saw good progress as the commercialisation of the SLIT-tablets gained further momentum with a 46% growth. The roll-out of ALK’s Consumer Care division also continued to advance and further general savings were captured in the quarter.



Q3 2018 highlights

  • Total revenue was DKK 661 million (667). This was slightly ahead of expectation and reflects strong growth from SLIT-tablets which was offset by an expected decline in SCIT and SLIT-drops sales. Exchange rates did not materially affect reported revenue.
  • Global SLIT-tablet sales grew by 46% to DKK 138 million (95), driven by Europe.
  • Global SCIT/SLIT-drops sales were down 11% to DKK 401 million (451), largely as a consequence of product rationalisations and the effect of previous capacity constraints.
  • Sales of other products were up 1%, with strong growth from European Jext® sales being offset elsewhere.
  • Operating profit (EBITDA) was DKK 24 million (36) and ahead of expectations.
  • In the first 9 months, total revenue was DKK 2,128 million (2,147) and operating profit (EBITDA) was DKK 126 million (192).
  • In the first 9 months, free cash flow was minus DKK 354 million (minus 686).

 

Progress on the four strategic priorities

  • In North America, the focus on rolling-out ACARIZAX®/ODACTRA™ continues, targeting increased acceptance among prescribers, and with the launch of the first US direct-to-consumer campaign aimed at mobilising relevant patients to see an allergist. ALK has growing confidence in the long-term opportunity, however, the exact time scale for a broad uptake remains difficult to predict.
  • Commercialisation of the tablet portfolio gained further momentum. An ALK SLIT-tablet is now the most frequently initiated AIT treatment within its indication in 11 European markets while, together, MITICURETM and CEDARCURETM are unlocking the market opportunity in Japan. All clinical trial activities are on track.
  • Patient engagement and Consumer Care division activities are progressing fast. ALK’s eCommerce platform was launched in the UK and activities are making headway in Germany, where ALK has launched an award-winning App for patients. ALK also agreed a regional sales and distribution agreement with Bosch Healthcare Solutions for a new diagnostic tool for airway inflammation.
  • Efficiency measures are showing continued results, and recent inspections of ALK facilities underlined the improvements that have been made to quality and robustness in product supply.

 

2018 financial outlook

Full-year outlook has slightly improved compared with the Q2 report, which was released on 15 August 2018.

  • Full-year revenue is now projected to be DKK 2,850-2,900 million (previously: more than DKK 2.8 billion).
  • Operating profit (EBITDA) is now expected at DKK 50-100 million (previously around DKK 50), reflecting the better than expected year to date performance and more clarity on market conditions in Southern Europe.
  • ALK will continue to invest significantly in the strategic transformation of the company in Q4.  
  • Free cash flow is now expected at minus DKK 500 million or better (previously: minus DKK 550 million or better).

 

Hørsholm, 9 November 2018



ALK-Abelló A/S



Comparative figures for 2017 are shown in brackets. Growth rates are stated in local currencies, unless otherwise indicated



For further information, contact:

Investor Relations: Per Plotnikof, tel. , mobile



Media: Jeppe Ilkjær, tel. , mobile



Today, ALK is hosting a conference call for analysts and investors at 1.30 p.m. (CET) at which Management will review the financial results and the outlook. The conference call will be audio cast on Participants for the audio cast are kindly requested to call in before 1.25 p.m. (CET). Danish participants should call in on tel. and international participants should call in on tel. +44 (0) 20 7572 1187 or . Please use the Participant Pin Code: 43754705#. The conference call will also be webcast live on our website, where the related presentation will be made available shortly before the call begins.

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Reports on ALK-abello A/S Class B

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ALK-Abello (Buy, TP: DKK190.00) - Sales trump one-offs in Q4

While one-off costs took the initial focus (albeit broadly pre-warned), a solid underlying performance in Q4 was anchored in the important European tablet sales, which exceeded expectations. We find the 2025 guidance in line with expectations, but see upside risk to consensus on the top line given strong momentum in tablet sales in Europe. We reiterate our BUY and DKK190 target price.

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ALK-Abello (Buy, TP: DKK190.00) - Expecting strong year end

We expect a strong Q4, with c12% organic revenue growth YOY, but the EBIT margin to be under pressure from well flagged one-offs related to optimisation initiatives and revision of its Chinese plans. We expect the 2025 guidance to be in line with expectations and its long-term strategy announced last year for >10% organic revenue growth and a c25% EBIT margin. We reiterate our BUY and DKK190 target price.

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ALK-Abello (Buy, TP: DKK190.00) - Solid momentum reaffirmed

We find ALK’s solid momentum reaffirmed with the strong Q3 results, where higher European tablet sales more than offset the softness in SCIT/SLIT-drops. We believe the results also confirmed continued profitability improvement, leaving ALK on track to meet its 2025 EBIT margin target of c25% and in a position of strength to invest in growth opportunities, with the Neffy deal as a good example. We reiterate our BUY and DKK190 target price.

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